Jenny Powell
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (43 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.9% (n=43, Fair A/E 1.18), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.8% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.74). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 13.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.48 and +8.39 to a £1 stake over 170 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Brendan Powell supplied 32% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (8.6% vs 11.4%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well over 1m2f – 1m4f (16.5%, n=103) and off a 31-60-day break (17.5%, n=40). The record read poorly off a 8-14-day break — 7% over 71 rides, 4.4pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired Jul–Aug.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2013→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 333 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 333 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 February 2013 to 26 December 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jenny Powell's strike rate?
- Jenny Powell has won 38 of 333 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jenny Powell do best at?
- Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 37 rides (16.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jenny Powell ride most for?
- Brendan Powell, with 105 rides since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (8.6%).
- What is Jenny Powell's Fair A/E?
- 1.15, from 331 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.