Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.44).
Deterministic profile computed from 156 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read
The market has also underrated the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 1.26 across 71 runners (9.9% strike, +24.40 to a £1 stake). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Andre Adele at Auteuil (FR) (Oct 2013, £34,756). The stable star of the record: Bello Matteo (FR) — 5 wins from 12 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4%−5.0
n=25 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −19.10
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −0.10
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.7%−0.3
n=23 · A/E 2.19 · £1 −4.50
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking3.8% vs 9% · n=53
With C&D winners4.3% vs 9% · n=70
At Deauville (FR)6.1% vs 9% · n=49
At Chantilly (FR)10.1% vs 9% · n=69 · A/E 1.47
Off a 15-30-day break9.9% vs 9% · n=71 · A/E 1.26
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)10798.4%−3.30
Good to Soft2328.7%−5.80
Soft1616.3%+3.70
Good7114.3%+0.30
Heavy3133.3%+35.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR)69710.1%−14.60
Deauville (FR)4936.1%+7.60
Saint-Cloud (FR)28310.7%+27.20
Longchamp (FR)10110%+9.70
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite5120%1.08−0.10
2nd–3rd fav23521.7%1.62+8.70
4th–6th fav30413.3%1.76+15.50
7th+ in betting9744.1%1.17+5.80
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m – 1m1f8378.4%−17.30
1m2f – 1m4f4948.2%−16.50
6f – 7f16212.5%+52.00
1m5f – 2m8112.5%+11.70
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
202288910.2%+17.00
20236857.4%+12.90
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps148138.8%+32.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners10387.8%−18.60
11-13 runners22313.6%+51.90
17+ runners18211.1%+4.70
8-10 runners1119.1%−6.10
5-7 runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 18 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Guillaume Courbot (4) and H-A Pantall (4); 3 had their first archived run for this yard.
12 have since run for another yard, most often for J Leroy (8) and Guillaume Courbot (2); 6 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
76131003007018814
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Anik De Maspie (FR) — Prix Andre Adele (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2013
£34,756
Thyflori (FR) — Prix Chinco (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Jun 2013
Progeny have won 12.1% of 5,572 runs since 2008 (510 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 15.9% from 1,079. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.8% from 1,277. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15.1% from 589. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.7% from 572.
Progeny have won 9% of 3,605 runs since 2008 (244 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 1,045 · newest first
The latest 50 of 1,045 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 May 2005 to 29 November 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is R Le Gal's strike rate?
R Le Gal has won 14 of 156 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does R Le Gal do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 69 runners (10.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is R Le Gal's Fair A/E?
1.44, from 155 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
R Le Gal·SR 9%·A/E 1.44
KTB
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