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Trainer profile

P Cottier

617 runners in the last 5 seasons · 125 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 2.3% of 214 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.
Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
104–617
Wins / Runs
16.9%
Strike rate
n=617
238 (39%)
Placed
1.21
n=616 · 1.00 incl. margin
+151.29
£1 level stake
n=617 at SP · +24.5%
£5.48m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
19%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.21). New recruits from other yards win at 19% first time out (37 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 617 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec 35.8% when favourite Hugo Besnier: 21.1% from 128 New recruits: 18.9% Sends off the favourite in 17% of races
The read

It is weakest at Longchamp (FR) (10.7% over 103 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 10.4% (n=48, Fair A/E 0.94). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 15.9% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.24 and +0.55 to a £1 stake over 170 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Hugo Besnier rides 21% of the entries and edges the yard's average (21.1% vs 16.9%, A/E 1.65) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 11.3% over 62 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. 30 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de Diane Longines at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2024, £496,870). The stable star of the record: Horizon Dore (FR) — 8 wins from 25 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
15.9%−1.0
n=170 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +0.55
New recruits · first run for the yard
18.9%+2.0
n=37 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +25.90
Debutants · first career start
13.5%−3.4
n=89 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −23.25
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10.4%−6.5
n=48 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −21.40
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
11.1%−5.8
n=9 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −6.40
When favourite
35.8%
n=106 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −10.37
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
13.3%−3.6
n=15 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +21.40
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
14.4%−2.5
n=209 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +31.60

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Tony Piccone 28.6% vs 16.9% · n=35
With Anthony Crastus 6.3% vs 16.9% · n=32
With C&D winners 9.8% vs 16.9% · n=112
At Longchamp (FR) 10.7% vs 16.9% · n=103
With first-time headgear 10.4% vs 16.9% · n=48
On Heavy going 11.3% vs 16.9% · n=62
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 181 25 13.8% +23.33
Standard (AW) 169 34 20.1% +94.10
Good to Soft 142 26 18.3% +44.58
Heavy 62 7 11.3% −13.60
Good 54 10 18.5% +3.80
Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (AW) 140 25 17.9% +86.50
Chantilly (FR) 106 23 21.7% +9.80
Longchamp (FR) 103 11 10.7% −17.80
Saint-Cloud (FR) 82 12 14.6% −0.50
Vichy (FR) 43 7 16.3% +8.83
Marseille Borely (FR) 29 7 24.1% +35.70
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 23 1 4.3% −18.60
Lyon Parilly (FR) 14 4 28.6% +2.08
La Teste De Buch (FR) 13 5 38.5% +22.13
Salon-de-Provence (FR) 12 0 0% −12.00
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 10 2 20% −0.35
Toulouse (FR) 7 1 14.3% −3.60
Lyon-La Soie (FR) 4 2 50% +37.00
Ascot 4 0 0% −4.00
Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 221 35 15.8% +60.18
Class 3 17 2 11.8% −11.52
Class 2 15 5 33.3% +21.00
Class 4 6 1 16.7% −0.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 108 38 35.2% 1.07 −12.37
2nd–3rd fav 186 37 19.9% 1.23 +8.16
4th–6th fav 169 11 6.5% 0.78 −61.70
7th+ in betting 154 18 11.7% 2.88 +217.20
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ten Horns (FR) 28 3 12 4 Oct 26
Horizon Dore (FR) 25 8 17 20 Sep 26
We Ride The World (IRE)from Cedric Rossi 20 2 5 26 Sep 26
Indian Pacific (FR)from Cedric Rossi 19 4 10 12 Oct 26
Morphewan (FR)from R Le Gal 19 3 5 12 Oct 26
Cambronne (FR) 19 6 9 11 Oct 26
Tomakay (FR) 15 4 8 10 Oct 26
Game Run (FR)from M Pimbonnet · then Elias Mikhalides 15 2 8 19 Dec 24
Stolen Kiss (FR) 14 4 7 13 Sep 26
Saint Hellier (FR)from J Reynier · then C Boutin 12 3 4 22 Aug 26
Daylight (FR) 12 2 10 27 Oct 25
Belgian Prince (FR)from Cedric Rossi 12 1 4 16 Feb 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 125 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Cedric Rossi (3) and R Chotard (2); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
4 from 12
Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
25139151624141515171826
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderHugo Besnier
21% of all rides
21.1% SR · A/E 1.65
RiderRWSR£1
Hugo Besnier 128 27 21.1% +67.63
M Barzalona 126 24 19% −16.50
M Grandin 106 14 13.2% +47.50
Tony Piccone 35 10 28.6% +32.53
Alexis Pouchin 33 6 18.2% +9.80
Anthony Crastus 32 2 6.3% +35.10
Cristian Demuro 30 6 20% −8.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
108
Archived wins
30
Pattern / graded wins
£5.55m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 35 wins
Sparkling Plenty (FR) — Prix de Diane Longines (3yo Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2024 · Group 1
£496,870
Sauterne (FR) — Prix du Moulin de Longchamp (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2023 · Group 1
£227,549
Trafalgar Square (FR) — Arqana Series des 3 Ans (Conditions) (3yo) (Round Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2024
£139,130

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Prince Gibraltar (FR) 15% · 6–40
Progeny have won 9.6% of 866 runs since 2008 (127 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 155. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.6% from 127.
Ten Sovereigns (IRE) 12.5% · 5–40
Progeny have won 10.9% of 1,576 runs since 2008 (239 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.2% from 157. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.4% from 148.
Chachnak (FR) 22.9% · 8–35
Progeny have won 12.2% of 221 runs since 2008 (41 horses).
Toronado (IRE) 16.1% · 5–31
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,848 runs since 2008 (416 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.5% from 142.
Kingman (GB) 33.3% · 10–30
Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,470 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 959. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
Dabirsim (FR) 28.6% · 8–28
Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,127 runs since 2008 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 254. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 142.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 667 · newest first

The latest 50 of 667 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 January 2011 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Clea Chope (FR)J: Hugo Besnier Prix Via MilanoClass 1 · 8.5f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 9/2
10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Tomakay (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix De CoyeClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 15/8F
02 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Vaticana (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix CoronationClass 1 · 8f · Heavy · 13 ran 1st 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P Cottier's strike rate?
P Cottier has won 104 of 617 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 16.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P Cottier do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 23 wins from 106 runners (21.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P Cottier?
Hugo Besnier, with 128 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (21.1%).
Is P Cottier in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is P Cottier's Fair A/E?
1.21, from 616 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).