What is Theo Bachelot's strike rate?

Theo Bachelot has won 260 of 2,664 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Theo Bachelot do best at?

Deauville by strike rate: 86 wins from 825 rides (10.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Theo Bachelot ride most for?

S Wattel, with 469 rides since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 66 (14.1%).

Is Theo Bachelot in form?

In the last 14 days: 29 rides, 7 winners, a strike rate of 24.1%. That is above the baseline of 9.8% since 2022.

What is Theo Bachelot's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 2,662 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Theo Bachelot

2,664 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,331 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 7 winners last 14 days Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

from 1 Jan 2022

260–2,664

Wins / Runs

9.8%

Strike rate

n=2,664

776 (29%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=2,662 · 0.86 incl. margin

−490.23

£1 level stake

n=2,664 at SP · −18.4%

£7.45m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 530 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (241 rides). The rider is in form now — 7 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,664 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Feb 25.1% when favourite S Wattel: 14.1% from 469 LTO winners: 12.9% Rides the favourite in 9% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.9% (n=241, Fair A/E 1.09). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 10.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.24 and +13.15 to a £1 stake over 335 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the rider is firing: 7 winners from 29 rides in the last 14 days (24.1%, 14.3pts above the 9.8% baseline). S Wattel supplies 18% of the rides and edges the rider's average (14.1% vs 9.8%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Class 4 (21.2%, n=33). 75 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Criterium de Saint-Cloud at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Oct 2019, £128,694). The standout partner of the record: Caramelito (FR) — 6 wins from 17 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Nov–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.6%−2.2

n=1,222 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −349.05

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.9%+3.1

n=241 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −39.30

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.9%−2.9

n=706 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −113.40

When favourite

25.1%

n=239 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −28.43

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.2%−1.6

n=1,247 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −238.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.4%+0.6

n=335 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +13.15

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 4 21.2% vs 9.8% · n=33

With N Paysan 18.8% vs 9.8% · n=48

With M Munch 2.3% vs 9.8% · n=43

With E D Monfort 3.1% vs 9.8% · n=65

With Francois Monfort 2.4% vs 9.8% · n=42

With S Wattel 14.1% vs 9.8% · n=469

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,655 259 9.8% −487.33

NH Flat 9 1 11.1% −2.90

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,155 121 10.5% −232.17

Soft 582 54 9.3% −100.41

Good to Soft 555 52 9.4% −107.40

Heavy 186 18 9.7% −35.35

Good 185 14 7.6% −36.90

Good to Firm 1 1 100% +22.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville 825 86 10.4% −149.75

Chantilly 730 66 9% −168.90

Saint-Cloud 447 45 10.1% −40.80

Longchamp (FR) 444 39 8.8% −66.10

Clairefontaine (FR) 35 2 5.7% −21.10

Vichy (FR) 28 6 21.4% +20.94

Dieppe (FR) 23 1 4.3% −18.50

Compiegne (FR) 15 0 0% −15.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 14 1 7.1% −10.20

Fontainebleau (FR) 13 0 0% −13.00

Lyon-La Soie (FR) 10 1 10% −8.82

Craon (FR) 10 1 10% −2.40

Lyon Parilly (FR) 8 1 12.5% +3.00

Toulouse (FR) 7 1 14.3% +3.60

Le Touquet (FR) 7 2 28.6% +0.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 345 35 10.1% +3.15

Class 3 44 5 11.4% −7.50

Class 2 33 5 15.2% +6.00

Class 4 33 7 21.2% +0.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 253 60 23.7% 0.96 −42.43

2nd–3rd fav 551 89 16.2% 1.12 −39.70

4th–6th fav 890 70 7.9% 0.97 −216.10

7th+ in betting 970 41 4.2% 1.10 −192.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Caramelito (FR) 17 6 10 4 Oct 26

La Javanaise (FR) 15 3 8 24 Aug 23

Tamyz (FR) 13 3 8 6 Nov 26

Step Morning (FR) 13 2 7 27 Oct 26

Hey Vince (FR) 13 2 5 23 Sep 26

Rubis Gold (FR) 13 1 4 18 Nov 25

Hasapiko (FR) 12 2 4 25 Oct 26

Shyamala (GB) 12 2 5 21 Feb 25

Michelangelo (FR) 11 1 2 10 Nov 26

Quiet King (FR) 11 2 7 7 Nov 26

Zerostress (GER) 11 1 5 27 Oct 26

Dreamliner (FR) 11 4 5 25 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,331 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

7 from 29 24.1% · +14.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days24.1%

5-season base9.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1611669131281091211

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardS Wattel

18% of all rides
14.1% SR · A/E 1.08

TrainerRWSR£1

S Wattel 469 66 14.1% −28.83

Gianluca Bietolini 143 15 10.5% −11.00

Mlle A Wattel 66 4 6.1% −46.90

E D Monfort 65 2 3.1% −50.90

R Le Dren Doleuze 57 6 10.5% −7.00

M Krebs 52 4 7.7% −7.60

N Caullery 50 4 8% −23.60

S Cerulis 48 2 4.2% −32.80

N Paysan 48 9 18.8% +60.90

M Munch 43 1 2.3% −30.10

Francois Monfort 42 1 2.4% −36.20

A & G Botti 41 6 14.6% +3.30

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

794

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£21.7m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 82 wins

Mkfancy (FR) — Criterium de Saint-Cloud (2yo Colts & Fillies) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2019 · Group 1

£128,694

City Light (FR) — Betway All-weather Sprint Championships Conditions Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2018 · Class 2

£93,375

Lucky Team (FR) — Sunbets All-weather Mile Championships Conditions Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2018 · Class 2

£93,375

Notable horses

Caramelito (FR) Vodkato (FR) Dalstar (FR) Rock D'Or (FR) The Good Man (FR) Vasy Sakhee (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Siyouni (FR) 21.4% · 15–70

Progeny have won 13% of 8,377 runs since 2014 (980 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.5% from 462.

Zarak (FR) 23.1% · 15–65

Progeny have won 15.2% of 2,055 runs since 2021 (331 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.8% from 378. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 20.1% from 264. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.9% from 204.

Zelzal (FR) 11.3% · 7–62

Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,752 runs since 2021 (242 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.3% from 111.

Dabirsim (FR) 11.7% · 7–60

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,175 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 258. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.7% from 146.

Anodin (IRE) 6% · 3–50

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,458 runs since 2018 (277 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 116.

Kendargent (FR) 14.3% · 7–49

Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,255 runs since 2011 (580 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 256.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 8,371 · newest first

The latest 50 of 8,371 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 April 2010 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Rue De L'odeon (FR)T: D Artu Prix De La Vallee De Chevreuse10f · Heavy · 15 ran 10th 18/1

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Miss Tech (FR)T: S Wattel Prix Du Haras D'ouilly12f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 8/1

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Astraway (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix Pharsale10f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 7/1

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Je Vais A Rio (FR)T: S Wattel Prix Kantar10f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 9/1

12 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) En Plein Air (FR)T: Gianluca Bietolini Prix Du Carrefour Des Hautes CoutumesClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 11/2

12 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Shiawase (FR)T: P Decouz Prix De MayselClass 3 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 11/2

12 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Felicia Storm (GB)T: Gianluca Bietolini Prix De La Remise Des LilasClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 20/1

12 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Gizmo (GB)T: Gianluca Bietolini Prix Du Poteau Du Gateau8f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 9/2

11 Nov 26 Strasbourg (FR) Dublin Calling (FR)T: A Botti Prix Albert Schweitzer7.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran 1st 7/4F

11 Nov 26 Strasbourg (FR) Kaleocreek (FR)T: M Krebs Prix Du Haras De Montier-en-der7f · Very Soft · 16 ran 11th 9/1

11 Nov 26 Strasbourg (FR) Piyango (FR)T: A Botti Prix Nicolas Dieu10.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 6th 13/8F

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Michelangelo (FR)T: D Artu Prix De Chateau-Landon6f · Very Soft · 15 ran 11th 4/1

09 Nov 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Fasoldofa (FR)T: Mickael Berto Prix La Cote9f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 7/2F

09 Nov 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Treasure Keeper (FR)T: Laurent Girel Prix d'Aix-les-Bains9f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 10/1

09 Nov 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Maranello (FR)T: Marian Falk Weissmeier Prix Signora12f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 5/4F

09 Nov 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Success Story (FR)T: Mme Manon Scandella-Lacaille Prix Du Canal12f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 7/2

09 Nov 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Nousdeux (FR)T: M Krebs Prix De Vancia12f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 5/1

09 Nov 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Zarland (FR)T: S Wattel Prix Cinq Cinq10.5f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 2/11F

08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Land Of Liberty (FR)T: S Kobayashi Prix Solitude10f · Heavy · 14 ran 10th 80/1

08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Trystar (FR)T: S Wattel Prix Antivari7.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Theo Bachelot's strike rate?: Theo Bachelot has won 260 of 2,664 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Theo Bachelot do best at?: Deauville by strike rate: 86 wins from 825 rides (10.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Theo Bachelot ride most for?: S Wattel, with 469 rides since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 66 (14.1%).
Is Theo Bachelot in form?: In the last 14 days: 29 rides, 7 winners, a strike rate of 24.1%. That is above the baseline of 9.8% since 2022.
What is Theo Bachelot's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 2,662 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.