4:20 Sedgefield
This Class 4 mares' NH Flat race at Sedgefield over 2m1f on good ground features a small field of seven with limited previous racecourse evidence overall. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched between 58 and 42, underlining how little separates the runners on known form. With the pace shape unclear due to insufficient run-style data, the race is difficult to read confidently in advance.
How the race shapes up
Run-style information is sparse across the field, leaving the pace shape unclear and confidence in any forecast low. Youlooklikeyourmum and Moyanna have both shown a tendency to be held up and produce their efforts late, though the evidence is limited in each case. The key question is whether any runner can impose early or whether the race will develop into a test of stamina and timing from off the pace on this sharp track.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Bonnie Beacon KTB Selection58/100
Bonnie Beacon is the KTB Selection. Henry Daly holds a solid record at Sedgefield with a 27% strike rate and A/E of 1.3 from 11 runs, and he teams up with David Bass who is even stronger here boasting a 37% strike rate and A/E of 1.43 from 19 rides. The trainer and jockey combination has produced a 16/94 (17%) record together with an A/E of 1.03 and +£2.95 LSP. As a 4-year-old debutant by Telescope, she has no racecourse form to go on and the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background. With low data confidence any judgement on her ability remains tentative and the going is unproven for this sire who has an 8% overall win rate from 1880 runners.
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2Ace Artist53/100
Ace Artist has shown very little in two starts so far, recording form figures of 59/, and now returns from a long absence. The drop back to 2m is an unknown at this stage while the small sample makes going suitability impossible to gauge after one run on good that brought neither win nor place. Hughie Morrison has a 50% strike rate at Sedgefield with an A/E of 1.96 from four runs, though the trainer and jockey partnership shows only 1/8 (13%). Tom Cannon's 8% strike rate at the track from 12 rides with an A/E of 0.42 offers no strong pointers either. This represents a step up in class and the overall picture remains modest.
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3Youlooklikeyourmum51/100
Youlooklikeyourmum finished third on debut over this trip and track on good ground, where she was competitive without winning. Justin Landy's modest 11% strike rate at Sedgefield from 28 runs is offset by the claiming jockey William Maggs who brings a solid 20% record from 46 rides with an A/E of 1.12. She is usually held up and produces her effort late, though the evidence is limited and confidence in that run-style is low. With only one run in the book data confidence remains low and this remains very much an unknown quantity. She has shown she handles good ground.
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4Cumnock50/100
Cumnock finished second on debut over this trip and track, showing some promise in a small-field affair on good ground where she was competitive without winning. Robbie Llewellyn has a solid 20% strike rate at Sedgefield from five runs with an A/E of 0.9, though the trainer and jockey partnership stands at 17/132 (13%) with an A/E of 0.89 and -£6.41 LSP. Charlie Price operates at a lower 9% strike rate from 11 rides here with an A/E of 0.46. Everything else is based on a single run so it should be read with caution.
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5Moyanna49/100
Moyanna showed fair promise when third on debut over hurdles and now steps up in trip having been placed on her only start on good ground. Tom George has a solid 16% strike rate at Sedgefield from 37 runs with an A/E of 0.8 while Brian Hughes brings strong figures here with a 20% strike rate from 1278 rides and an A/E of 0.96. She is usually held up and produces her effort late though the evidence is limited and confidence is low. This is a step up in class and the small sample overall means this remains one to treat with caution.
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6Lady Scarphia47/100
Lady Scarphia showed some promise when third on her only start so far. The small sample means her ability remains hard to gauge with any confidence and she is unproven on good ground. Micky Hammond and Sean Quinlan both have solid records at Sedgefield, the trainer on 11% from 974 runs with an A/E of 0.86 and the jockey on 14% from 530 rides with an A/E of 0.91. Their partnership stands at 4/40 (10%) with an A/E of 0.87 and -£14.50 LSP. The trip is an unknown.
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7Starlet Du Brizais42/100
Starlet Du Brizais is a debutant with very limited public form to go on, recording figures of 4-3. Philip Kirby has a solid 14% strike rate at Sedgefield from a big sample of 376 runs with an A/E of 0.96 while Joe Williamson posts an 11% record here from 135 rides with an A/E of 0.86. Their partnership stands at 57/539 (11%) with an A/E of 0.88 and -£155.44 LSP. Pedigree and sales background will have to carry the assessment given the low data confidence.
KTB verdict
The KTB Selection is Bonnie Beacon. The combination of Henry Daly's strong record at Sedgefield and David Bass's even better figures at the track gives her the strongest trainer-jockey read in the race, while the pedigree assessment carries extra weight in a field short of solid form. She is preferred to the placed debutants Cumnock and Youlooklikeyourmum, both of whom showed some promise here last time but come with caveats around small samples and yard form. Ace Artist looks modest on what she has shown and the remainder, while not without hope, have even less to recommend them on the KTB numbers.
KTB Selection Bonnie Beacon
This is the narrative read of the 4:20 Sedgefield. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Sedgefield racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Sedgefield results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest trainer-jockey record at Sedgefield in this field?
Bonnie Beacon, with Henry Daly at 27% strike rate and A/E 1.3, and David Bass at 37% strike rate and A/E 1.43.
How many runners have previous placed form at this track and trip?
Two: Youlooklikeyourmum (3rd) and Cumnock (2nd).
Which runners are noted as usually held up?
Youlooklikeyourmum and Moyanna, though with limited evidence and low confidence in both cases.
What is the pace shape assessment for the race?
Pace unclear with low confidence, as there is not enough run-style evidence across the field.
Which horse is stepping up in class?
Ace Artist and Moyanna.
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About the A/E figures in this preview. They are the data supplier’s: the winners a trainer or jockey had, divided by the winners the starting prices implied, over the runs in that record. Above 1.0 means more wins than the prices suggested. It is not KTB’s fair A/E, which allows for the bookmakers’ margin and the favourite–longshot bias, and the two are not comparable.
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