1:50 Wetherby

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1I've Got A Friend KTB Selection68/100

   Form U2-11 · Gary Hanmer · Brian Hughes

   I've Got A Friend heads the KTB Fit ratings on 68 and is the selection. He has shown promise in his two completed starts, winning on good ground last time out, though he remains lightly raced overall. Today marks a marked step up in trip which introduces an unknown, yet his record of two wins from two starts on good ground is a positive. The Gary Hanmer yard posts a 13% strike rate at Wetherby from 32 runs, in line with its record elsewhere, while Brian Hughes matches that 13% figure from 875 rides at the track. With a front-running style that sees him tend to make the running or race on the pace, he is expected to set the tempo in a race that should unfold at a genuine gallop. Data confidence remains low, so this is still a cautious read overall.

2. 2Nate of Spades65/100

   Form 1 · Charlie Longsdon · Gavin Sheehan

   Family: half-brother to Sporty Jim (1 win from 21 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Nate of Spades is rated a close second on KTB Fit with a score of 65. He won on debut over 2m, but the bare form looks ordinary for a Class 4 event and he is stepping up in class as well as in trip, the latter posing a fresh question. The family record is modest, as he is a half-brother to Sporty Jim who managed just one win from 21 starts, while the dam has had two other runners including one winner. The Charlie Longsdon stable has a strong 20% strike rate at Wetherby from 139 runs, above its 14% elsewhere, and jockey Gavin Sheehan is even better with a 23% strike rate from 160 rides here compared to 17% at other tracks. His prominent run style, though with limited evidence, suggests he will be on or close to the lead in what is set to be a genuinely-run contest.

3. 3Wings of The Glen48/100

   Rebecca Menzies · Shane Fitzgerald

   Wings of The Glen is the third principal on KTB Fit at 48. As a newcomer he brings no racecourse form to go on, so pedigree and sales background must carry the assessment in what is a low data confidence scenario. The Rebecca Menzies yard operates at a 10% strike rate at Wetherby from 187 runs, which sits in line with its overall record. By Wings Of Eagles, whose progeny have a 10% win rate from 1022 runners, he has no course win on record and the jockey Shane Fitzgerald has a neutral score with no record at Wetherby. How he handles the demands of a genuinely-run race on his debut will be the main interest.

4. 4Starlet du Brizais44/100

   Form 4-37 · Philip Kirby · Joe Williamson

   Family: half-sister to Surin, a Grade 3 winner (4 wins from 12 runs). The dam has had 6 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Starlet du Brizais is lightly raced with just three runs and a recent 4-37 sequence that offers little encouragement. A half-sister to Grade 3 winner Surin from a dam who has produced one winner from six other foals, she steps up in trip having last run over 2m1f and has no win or place from one run on good ground.

5. 5Arcimboldo35/100

   Form P7 · Mike Sowersby · Charlie Maggs

   Arcimboldo arrives with a modest recent record of P7 and has failed to win or place in four runs on good ground. The trainer's 1% strike rate at Wetherby from 255 runs sits below their 4% at other tracks while the jockey's 5% strike rate here from 37 rides is in line with their record elsewhere. This first run at the course, drop back in trip and held-up style pose fresh questions.