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Jockey profile

Shane Fitzgerald

917 rides in the last 5 seasons · 490 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
57–917
Wins / Runs
6.2%
Strike rate
n=917
193 (21%)
Placed
1.05
n=917 · 0.84 incl. margin
−409.12
£1 level stake
n=917 at SP · −44.6%
£978k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
1.4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 180 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (50 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 917 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 37.8% when favourite Declan Queally: 7.5% from 133 LTO winners: 22% Rides the favourite in 4% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Downpatrick (15%, n=40) and Clonmel (12.8%, n=47) — all clear of the rider's 6.2% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22% (n=50, Fair A/E 1.89). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.66 and −126.13 to a £1 stake over 165 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Declan Queally supplies 15% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 0.95). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (14.3%, n=42). 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase at Listowel (Sep 2021, £88,500). The standout partner of the record: Kilashee (IRE) — 6 wins from 14 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.9%−2.3
n=441 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −278.02
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
22%+15.8
n=50 · A/E 1.89 · £1 +0.28
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.6%−2.6
n=165 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −126.13
When favourite
37.8%
n=37 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +5.80
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.1%−0.1
n=314 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −155.01
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.6%−1.6
n=497 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −238.87
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.8%−0.4
n=52 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +10.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 22% vs 6.2% · n=50
At Downpatrick 15% vs 6.2% · n=40
Off a 0-7-day break 14.3% vs 6.2% · n=42
At Clonmel 12.8% vs 6.2% · n=47
With debutants 0% vs 6.2% · n=59
With David Kenneth Budds 0% vs 6.2% · n=37
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.3% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 685 39 5.7% −308.31
Chase 232 18 7.8% −100.81

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 393 15 3.8% −226.22
Good 223 22 9.9% −20.68
Good to Soft 183 15 8.2% −85.47
Heavy 117 5 4.3% −75.75
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 82 5 6.1% −57.63
Tramore 73 2 2.7% −64.92
Cork 69 3 4.3% −46.50
Limerick 69 6 8.7% −17.75
Fairyhouse 62 1 1.6% −41.00
Wexford 54 1 1.9% −42.00
Ballinrobe 47 3 6.4% −12.62
Clonmel 47 6 12.8% −15.63
Kilbeggan 46 4 8.7% −23.50
Downpatrick 40 6 15% +27.85
Galway 39 4 10.3% −15.17
Thurles 30 1 3.3% −22.00
Killarney 27 3 11.1% −11.75
Roscommon 26 3 11.5% +1.00
Tipperary 26 0 0% −26.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 55 3 5.5% +7.50
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 47 17 36.2% 1.62 +11.30
2nd–3rd fav 125 19 15.2% 1.08 −16.92
4th–6th fav 205 12 5.9% 0.87 −92.50
7th+ in betting 540 9 1.7% 0.73 −311.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.7% completed · 917 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 232 75% 16 4 37 0 1
Hurdle 685 89.3% 8 6 57 1 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Walnut Beach (IRE) 15 2 6 17 Mar 25
Mister Beeton (IRE) 14 2 5 25 Aug 25
In The Minus (IRE) 12 2 5 24 Oct 26
Missus Beeton (IRE) 11 1 6 4 Oct 24
Kilashee (IRE) 11 4 6 27 Sep 24
Benzine (GB) 10 0 1 30 Jun 26
Je T'ai Porte (IRE) 10 2 4 7 Feb 26
Mephisto (IRE) 10 3 4 29 Sep 25
Natural Look (IRE) 10 3 6 16 May 24
Oogum Boogum (IRE) 9 0 4 22 Jul 26
Sea The Sunset (GB) 7 1 1 8 Aug 25
Andyourbirdcansing (IRE) 7 1 2 21 Nov 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 490 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
37357169541120
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
15% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 0.95
TrainerRWSR£1
Declan Queally 133 10 7.5% −69.10
John Patrick Ryan 81 6 7.4% −44.87
Shane Nolan 57 4 7% −31.50
Gavin Cromwell 39 3 7.7% −4.50
David Kenneth Budds 37 0 0% −37.00
J Morrison 31 1 3.2% −18.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
92
Archived wins
6
Pattern / graded wins
£1.57m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 35 wins
Assemble (GB) — Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase (Grade A) Listowel · Sep 2021 · Grade A
£88,500
Commander Of Fleet (IRE) — Bective Stud Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Navan · Dec 2021 · Grade B
£59,000
A Wave Of The Sea (IRE) — Paddy Power 'I'm Never Going Back To The Office' Handicap Chase (0-150) (Grade B) Leopardstown · Feb 2022 · Grade B
£59,000

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Arctic Cosmos (USA) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,308 runs since 2017 (131 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.3% from 194.
Ocovango (GB) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,015 runs since 2019 (308 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 196.
Mamool (IRE) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 12.6% of 605 runs since 2010 (61 horses). Strongest on Good going: 17.2% from 186. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 8.5% from 106. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 17.6% from 165. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 8.6% from 139.
Court Cave (IRE) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,961 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Free Eagle (IRE) 19% · 4–21
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,417 runs since 2019 (190 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.1% from 131.
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,006 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,263 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,263 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 25 April 2014 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Shane Fitzgerald's strike rate?
Shane Fitzgerald has won 57 of 917 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shane Fitzgerald do best at?
Downpatrick by strike rate: 6 wins from 40 rides (15%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Shane Fitzgerald ride most for?
Declan Queally, with 133 rides since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (7.5%).
Is Shane Fitzgerald in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Shane Fitzgerald's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 917 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).