What is Rebecca Menzies's strike rate?

Rebecca Menzies has won 276 of 2,639 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Rebecca Menzies do best at?

Newcastle by strike rate: 21 wins from 131 runners (16%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Rebecca Menzies?

Nathan Moscrop, with 489 runners since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 51 (10.4%).

Is Rebecca Menzies in form?

In the last 14 days: 19 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 15.8%. That is above the baseline of 10.5% since 2022.

What is Rebecca Menzies's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 2,632 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Rebecca Menzies

2,639 runners in the last 5 seasons · 304 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 8.9% of 519 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 8 Nov 2026.

In form — 3 winners last 14 days Won yesterday Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

276–2,639

Wins / Runs

10.5%

Strike rate

n=2,639

742 (28%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=2,632 · 0.83 incl. margin

−754.33

£1 level stake

n=2,639 at SP · −28.6%

£2.81m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 530 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). The yard is in form now — 3 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,639 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Apr 34.8% when favourite Nathan Moscrop: 10.4% from 489 Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 2.6% (n=115, Fair A/E 0.43). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.54 and −179.87 to a £1 stake over 431 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is firing: 3 winners from 19 runners in the last 14 days (15.8%, 5.3pts above the 10.5% baseline). Nathan Moscrop rides 19% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.4%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (19.5%, n=164). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.4% over 164 runners, 8.1pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the CAA Stellar Lily Agnes EBF Conditions Stakes at Chester (May 2026, £25,770). The stable star of the record: Celtic Artisan (IRE) — 9 wins from 72 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.2%−6.3

n=431 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −179.87

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.1%−6.4

n=145 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −88.67

Debutants · first career start

2.6%−7.9

n=115 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −76.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.1%−2.4

n=111 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −7.38

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.4%−3.1

n=81 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −41.38

When favourite

34.8%

n=244 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −13.89

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.3%−0.2

n=551 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −126.17

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8%−2.5

n=25 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 20.4% vs 10.5% · n=275

Off a 0-7-day break 19.5% vs 10.5% · n=164

With Sean Quinlan 21.3% vs 10.5% · n=47

Off a break of 180+ days 2.4% vs 10.5% · n=164

With Brian Hughes 18.9% vs 10.5% · n=90

With debutants 2.6% vs 10.5% · n=115

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 7.2% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,351 126 9.3% −430.75

Hurdle 892 100 11.2% −210.44

Chase 290 42 14.5% −56.42

NH Flat 106 8 7.5% −56.72

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 752 82 10.9% −174.77

Standard (AW) 671 65 9.7% −264.19

Good to Soft 519 48 9.2% −167.11

Soft 419 46 11% −123.20

Good to Firm 156 16 10.3% −31.17

Heavy 122 19 15.6% +6.11

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 408 36 8.8% −139.82

Carlisle 163 22 13.5% +25.64

Sedgefield 143 20 14% −51.67

Hexham 140 14 10% −58.94

Southwell (AW) 137 16 11.7% −62.07

Musselburgh 135 16 11.9% −6.05

Catterick 132 21 15.9% −20.42

Newcastle 131 21 16% −10.08

Kelso 128 7 5.5% −96.37

Ayr 101 8 7.9% −13.67

Wolverhampton (AW) 97 11 11.3% −45.80

Wetherby 93 7 7.5% −60.50

Redcar 77 6 7.8% −18.67

Cartmel 76 8 10.5% −30.07

Hamilton 74 9 12.2% +52.37

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 807 73 9% −308.02

Class 4 766 74 9.7% −251.05

Class 6 714 85 11.9% −141.72

Class 3 189 27 14.3% −6.87

Class 2 125 13 10.4% −48.42

Class 1 31 2 6.5% +0.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 280 93 33.2% 1.09 −17.81

2nd–3rd fav 575 92 16% 0.93 −116.02

4th–6th fav 973 63 6.5% 0.82 −368.50

7th+ in betting 811 28 3.5% 1.03 −252.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

One Of Our Own (GB) 52 6 18 26 Oct 26

Odd Socks Havana (GB)from David O'Meara · then Seb Spencer 46 6 22 13 Mar 25

Kyber Crystal (IRE)from Alexandra Dunn 39 4 13 12 Oct 26

Brazilian Rose (IRE)from Richard Hughes 38 7 12 12 Oct 26

Lihyan (IRE)from Josh Halley 35 6 13 7 Nov 26

You Some Girl (IRE) 34 6 13 23 May 26

Golden Rainbow (GB)from Paul Midgley 33 6 12 7 Oct 25

Dogged (GB)from David Elsworth · then Daniel Steele 33 4 14 30 Oct 24

High Moon (GB)from Tim Easterby 32 3 13 1 Nov 25

Three Platoon (GB)from Roger Varian 32 2 9 12 Dec 24

Rafferty's Return (GB) 29 5 8 22 Mar 26

Show No Fear (IRE)from Adrian Brendan Joyce 27 5 9 13 Oct 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 304 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 36 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David O'Meara (2) and Ollie Sangster (2); 24 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for David Thompson (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

3 from 19 15.8% · +5.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days15.8%

5-season base10.5%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1315121288811129910

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderNathan Moscrop

19% of all rides
10.4% SR · A/E 0.97

RiderRWSR£1

Nathan Moscrop 489 51 10.4% −138.80

Ross Chapman 234 34 14.5% −5.33

Kaiya Fraser 220 26 11.8% −55.06

Aaron Anderson 105 8 7.6% −48.50

Paul Mulrennan 96 9 9.4% −9.25

Brian Hughes 90 17 18.9% −24.14

Charlie Maggs 53 8 15.1% +12.63

Andrew Mullen 52 1 1.9% −47.67

Jamie Hamilton 51 3 5.9% −41.17

William Maggs 50 8 16% +5.00

P J McDonald 49 4 8.2% −20.42

Sean Quinlan 47 10 21.3% +27.76

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

487

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.39m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 74 wins

Adonius (IRE) — CAA Stellar Lily Agnes EBF Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) Chester · May 2026 · Class 2

£25,770

Painters Palette (IRE) — William Hill Extra Place Races Daily Racing League Race 33 Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Sep 2023 · Class 3

£25,770

Painters Palette (IRE) — SDDE Smith Group Straight-Mile Series Final Handicap Redcar · Oct 2023 · Class 2

£23,193

Notable horses

Celtic Artisan (IRE) Halcyon Days (GB) Russian Virtue (GB) Major Snugfit (GB) Brazilian Rose (IRE) Nortonthorpelegend (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Churchill (IRE) 13.8% · 13–94

Progeny have won 11% of 4,850 runs since 2021 (462 horses).

Havana Gold (IRE) 15.2% · 12–79

Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,064 runs since 2017 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.

Schiaparelli (GER) 18.3% · 11–60

Progeny have won 12.1% of 1,839 runs since 2015 (203 horses).

Kingman (GB) 7% · 4–57

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,532 runs since 2018 (779 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 970. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 122.

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 16.1% · 9–56

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,495 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Dandy Man (IRE) 7.3% · 4–55

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,988 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,653 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,653 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 October 2013 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Leading Times (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 16/1

07 Nov 26 Aintree Lihyan (IRE)J: Benjamin Macey Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 12/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Battenburg Belle (IRE)J: Jason Hart Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 16/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Miss Eileen (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 33/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Naval Command (GB)J: Hollie Doyle Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 40/1

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Presentandcorrect (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 11/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Gemical (IRE)J: Molly Keegan-Price Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 12.5f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 16/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Forever Perfect (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 14/1

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Brave Move (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Sedgefield Christmas Jumper Raceday 22nd December Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 7/1

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Snapaudaciaheros (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Canine PREMIER FLEX Plus Joint Supplement Etc Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 5th 17/2

02 Nov 26 Southwell Pepite De Saphir (GB)J: Shane Fitzgerald Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 25/1

30 Oct 26 Wetherby Wings Of The Glen (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Best Odds Guaranteed At Bet365 Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 15/2

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) King Chaos (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 14/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Territorial Star (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 11/4F

27 Oct 26 Catterick Battenburg Belle (IRE)J: Jason Hart Celebrating Helen MacKinnon's LX Years Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 100/30F

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Shadow Dance (GB)J: Rhys Elliott Aw Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 14/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar One Of Our Own (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 10th 16/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Sergeeva (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Wear Your Poppy With Pride Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 300/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Sardinero (GER)J: Kaiya Fraser Ebf "double Trigger" Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 9f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 20/1

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Elm Creek (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Book Boxing Day At Market Rasen Juvenile Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 16 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Rebecca Menzies's strike rate?: Rebecca Menzies has won 276 of 2,639 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Rebecca Menzies do best at?: Newcastle by strike rate: 21 wins from 131 runners (16%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Rebecca Menzies?: Nathan Moscrop, with 489 runners since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 51 (10.4%).
Is Rebecca Menzies in form?: In the last 14 days: 19 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 15.8%. That is above the baseline of 10.5% since 2022.
What is Rebecca Menzies's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 2,632 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.