3:10 Clonmel
The 3.10 Clonmel Oil Steeplechase is a Grade 2 Class 1 contest over 2m4f171y on good to yielding ground, featuring a small but select field of four runners. With no obvious leader in a race that lacks early pace, the KTB numbers point to a tactical affair where positioning and timing will be key. Il Etait Temps heads the KTB Fit ratings on 76 while the other three are rated between 61 and 50, underlining the selection's clear superiority on the figures.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape indicates a lack of any natural front-runner, suggesting a steadily-run, tactical race in which being handy should pay dividends. Herja is the most likely to race prominently and could end up dictating matters by default, while Il Etait Temps is typically held up and will look to produce his effort late. Kappa Jy Pyke and Blaze The Way are both mid-division types, so the key question is whether the steady gallop will allow the closers enough time to reel in the prominent runners in the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Il Etait Temps KTB Selection76/100
Il Etait Temps is a high-class performer with a lofty official rating of 174 and recent form of 11F11-. He won on his only previous visit to Clonmel and the trainer has a 27% strike rate here from 808 runs, above their 21% at other tracks. Steps up in trip today having won at this distance on his sole attempt, though he is unproven on good to yielding ground. Usually held up, he produces his effort late and will be ridden by Paul Townend, who has a 23% strike rate at the track from 254 rides. The combination of W. P. Mullins and Townend carries a 31% strike rate overall, and this looks an ideal opportunity for the selection to add to his tally.
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2Herja61/100
Herja is a smart performer who arrives in solid form with three wins from her last six starts and an official rating of 110. She steps up in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance, while her record on good to yielding ground is limited to a single unplaced run. The yard has an 8% strike rate at Clonmel from 12 runs and the jockey, Harry Sexton, has an 11% strike rate at the venue from 27 rides. Usually races handily on or close to the lead, she could end up making the running in a race that lacks an obvious leader. While the trainer and jockey combination shows a modest 10% strike rate together, her recent consistency makes her the most obvious danger to the selection.
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3Kappa Jy Pyke56/100
Kappa Jy Pyke is a high-class performer who arrives off an official rating of 151 with strong recent form including two wins. He drops back in trip today having last run over 3m1f and with just one previous run at this distance without success. The trainer records a 27% strike rate at Clonmel from 808 runs which is above their 21% at other courses, though the jockey Danny Mullins is making a first appearance at the track. Typically settles in midfield, he will look to improve from that position in a steadily-run affair. The trainer and jockey combination shows a 15% strike rate together, and with a win from his only start on good to yielding ground he enters the race with few concerns about the conditions.
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4Blaze The Way50/100
Blaze The Way is a high-class performer on official ratings and past race history yet arrives with recent form of 157P-0. He drops back in trip today to a distance he has never tried, which asks a fresh question, while his record on good to yielding ground shows one placing from three starts without a win. The trainer operates at a 12% strike rate here in line with their record elsewhere, though this is the horse's first run at Clonmel and the trainer and jockey show a 29% strike rate together.
KTB verdict
Il Etait Temps stands out as the KTB Selection on a lofty official rating of 174 and with a strong recent record. His sole previous run at Clonmel brought a win and the Mullins yard's 27% strike rate at the track adds further confidence, even though he remains unproven on good to yielding ground. The steadily-run nature of the race should suit his held-up style, allowing him to come home strongly. Herja looks the most likely to make it a tactical affair from the front, while Kappa Jy Pyke drops back in trip with solid recent form and a good record on the ground. Blaze The Way is harder to fancy on recent efforts but cannot be entirely dismissed on his best days.
KTB Selection Il Etait Temps
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:04am, 5 Nov. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Il Etait Temps | 2/9 | William Hill, 12:04am |
| Herja | 100/1 | BetTom, 12:04am |
| Kappa Jy Pyke | 4/1 | William Hill, 12:04am |
| Blaze The Way | 28/1 | William Hill, 12:04am |
This is the narrative read of the 3:10 Clonmel. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Clonmel racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Clonmel results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Clonmel racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
How many times has Il Etait Temps won at Clonmel?
Il Etait Temps has won once from his only previous visit to Clonmel.
What is W. P. Mullins's strike rate at Clonmel?
W. P. Mullins has a 27% strike rate at Clonmel from 808 runs.
Which horse is most likely to race prominently?
Herja is the most prominent runner, usually racing handily on or close to the lead.
Has Kappa Jy Pyke won on good to yielding ground before?
Kappa Jy Pyke has one win from one run on good to yielding ground.
What distance is Blaze The Way dropping back to and has he tried it before?
Blaze The Way is dropping back to a distance he has never tried.
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