Skip to content
Trainer profile

W. P. Mullins

5,159 runners in the last 5 seasons · 765 individual horses
As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 4.3% of 1,212 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 26 Oct 2026.
Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 92% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
1,211–5,159
Wins / Runs
23.5%
Strike rate
n=5,159
2,319 (45%)
Placed
1.07
Fair A/E
n=5,159 · 0.89 incl. margin
−905.20
£1 level stake
n=5,159 at SP · −17.5%
£46.1m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
20%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 1,030 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 24% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). Debutants are a strength: 34% on first career starts (402 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 3 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 5,159 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 26 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb Fresh horses: 25.4% 48.3% when favourite Paul Townend: 35.5% from 1,525 New recruits: 32.3% Sends off the favourite in 32% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Clonmel (40%, n=105), clear of the yard's 23.5% baseline. It is weakest at Curragh (7% over 71 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants strike at 33.6% (n=402, Fair A/E 1.10), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 16.3% (n=98, Fair A/E 1.01). New recruits from other stables on their first run are the standout value angle: 32.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.17 and +100.32 to a £1 stake over 189 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 17.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −105.85 to a £1 stake over 239 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 3 from 22 runners in the last 14 days (13.6%, 9.9pts below the 23.5% baseline). Paul Townend rides 30% of the entries and beats the yard's average (35.5% vs 23.5%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 1,144 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Randox Grand National Handicap Chase at Aintree (Apr 2026, £500,000). The stable star of the record: Hurricane Fly (IRE) — 24 wins from 32 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 23.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
25.4%+1.9
n=1,364 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −163.88
New recruits · first run for the yard
32.3%+8.8
n=189 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +100.32
Debutants · first career start
33.6%+10.1
n=402 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −68.59
First-time headgear · true-first definition
17.6%−5.9
n=239 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −105.85
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
16.3%−7.2
n=98 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −5.28
When favourite
48.3%
n=1,667 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −139.54
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
19.3%−4.2
n=399 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −45.14
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
17.2%−6.3
n=2,144 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −477.06

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 23.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Paul Townend 35.5% vs 23.5% · n=1,525
With Rachael Blackmore 3.6% vs 23.5% · n=56
With Sean O'Keeffe 9.9% vs 23.5% · n=302
At Clonmel 40% vs 23.5% · n=105
With Brian Hayes 11.5% vs 23.5% · n=425
At Curragh 7% vs 23.5% · n=71
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 2,407 580 24.1% −404.15
Chase 1,689 379 22.4% −286.30
NH Flat 626 185 29.6% −173.70
Flat 437 67 15.3% −41.05

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 2,394 516 21.6% −518.28
Good to Soft 984 214 21.7% −107.02
Good 878 219 24.9% −176.62
Heavy 845 249 29.5% −122.12
Good to Firm 44 10 22.7% +17.68
Standard (AW) 14 3 21.4% +1.16

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 787 183 23.3% −182.26
Fairyhouse 535 127 23.7% −61.49
Leopardstown 528 83 15.7% −235.95
Cheltenham 393 48 12.2% −19.72
Galway 303 48 15.8% −33.56
Naas 209 67 32.1% −9.82
Tramore 161 54 33.5% −34.68
Listowel 159 41 25.8% −35.48
Thurles 156 52 33.3% +24.34
Cork 155 48 31% −28.41
Navan 148 36 24.3% −32.20
Limerick 145 54 37.2% +3.30
Gowran Park 142 44 31% −16.81
Kilbeggan 124 36 29% −33.24
Killarney 122 41 33.6% +31.85

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2,301 378 16.4% −499.06
Class 2 117 14 12% −50.41
Class 4 26 16 61.5% −1.75
Class 3 12 2 16.7% +6.73
Class 5 4 2 50% −0.74

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1,775 837 47.2% 1.12 −131.06
2nd–3rd fav 1,524 272 17.8% 0.97 −334.04
4th–6th fav 1,016 77 7.6% 0.98 −237.10
7th+ in betting 844 25 3% 0.95 −203.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.2% completed · 4,096 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 1,689 81.8% 85 46 167 6 3
Hurdle 2,407 89.2% 66 13 167 6 8
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Winter Fog (IRE)from Emmet Mullins 26 5 10 29 Dec 25
Adamantly Chosen (IRE) 26 4 9 30 Jul 25
Dinoblue (FR) 25 13 21 1 May 26
Saint Sam (FR)from J-P Dubois 25 9 12 6 Apr 26
Gentleman De Mee (FR)from G Macaire 24 5 8 11 May 26
Pink In The Park (IRE) 24 5 12 7 Nov 24
Blood Destiny (FR)from Gabriel Leenders 23 7 12 3 Oct 26
Gaucher (GB)from C Laffon-Parias 22 6 12 3 Oct 26
A Penny A Hundred (FR) 22 3 9 26 Sep 26
Classic Getaway (IRE) 22 4 7 1 Jun 26
Lot of Joy (IRE) 22 4 10 29 Jun 25
Bunting (FR) 21 2 5 14 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 765 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 16 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 32 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Laffon-Parias (2) and Gabriel Leenders (2); 28 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Faye Bramley (2); 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell
3 from 22 13.6% · −9.9pts vs baseline
Last 14 days13.6%
5-season base23.5%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
352620192333202520252422
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPaul Townend
30% of all rides
35.5% SR · A/E 1.10
RiderRWSR£1
Paul Townend 1,525 542 35.5% −165.15
Mr P W Mullins 640 217 33.9% −85.33
Danny Mullins 626 94 15% −51.31
Brian Hayes 425 49 11.5% −178.43
Sean O'Keeffe 302 30 9.9% −127.74
Mark Walsh 262 76 29% −26.47
Miss J Townend 194 47 24.2% −34.95
Kieran Callaghan 98 21 21.4% −26.37
Jack Foley 69 5 7.2% −52.56
Michael O'Sullivan 65 5 7.7% −40.17
Colin Keane 58 10 17.2% −12.08
Rachael Blackmore 56 2 3.6% −50.32
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
4,166
Archived wins
1,144
Pattern / graded wins
£129.1m
Prize money
2023
Best season · 275 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
I Am Maximus (FR) — Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2026 · Class 1
£500,000
I Am Maximus (FR) — Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2024 · Class 1
£500,000
Nick Rockett (IRE) — Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2025 · Class 1
£500,000
Notable horses
Hurricane Fly (IRE) Un De Sceaux (FR) Easy Game (FR) Wicklow Brave (GB) Faugheen (IRE) Bachasson (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Walk In The Park (IRE) 28.1% · 76–270
Progeny have won 13.3% of 6,967 runs since 2008 (691 horses).
Doctor Dino (FR) 36% · 64–178
Progeny have won 16% of 3,190 runs since 2008 (490 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.7% from 553. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.8% from 692. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.
Saint Des Saints (FR) 20.3% · 35–172
Progeny have won 15.1% of 5,345 runs since 2008 (643 horses).
No Risk At All (FR) 28.1% · 48–171
Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,124 runs since 2008 (433 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.4% from 943.
Authorized (IRE) 24.5% · 36–147
Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,024 runs since 2008 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,043. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Coastal Path (GB) 15.7% · 20–127
Progeny have won 12.8% of 2,207 runs since 2008 (247 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.8% from 499. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.1% from 495.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 17,386 · newest first

The latest 50 of 17,386 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Rebel Reba (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Glenlo Abbey Hotel & Estate Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 9/2
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Caher Roes Den (IRE)J: Paul Townend William Hill Challenge Series Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 5/2F
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Chart Topper (FR)J: Brian Hayes Gerry Coyne Memorial Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 6 ran 1st 10/11F
23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Mr Hollywood (IRE)J: Mr P W Mullins Mccoy Contractors Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 5/4F
23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Jarrive De Mee (FR)J: Mr P W Mullins Catesby Estates 'chasing Excellence' Novices' Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 3/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Ronnie's Rascal (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Sligo Fillies Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 2/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) La Note Verte (GB)J: Paul Townend Suir Blueway Mares Steeplechase18.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 1/10F
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Katie Can't Count (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 17/2
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) World As One (GER)J: Paul Townend Crottys Lake Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 11/4
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Sirius (FR)J: Mr David Dunsdon Every Race, Every Moment 1xBet.ie Amateur Riders Derby (Q.R.) Race12f · Yielding · 8 ran 5th 5/2
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Absurde (FR)J: Mr P W Mullins Every Race, Every Moment 1xBet.ie Amateur Riders Derby (Q.R.) Race12f · Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 11/2
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) System Reset (GB)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 12/1
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Straight Home (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 4th 18/1
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Future Prospect (IRE)J: Paul Townend Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 2nd 3/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Night Moon (GER)J: Colin Keane Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 11th 11/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Too Bossy For Us (IRE)J: W. M. Lordan Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 22/1
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Kimi De Mai (FR)J: Paul Townend PwC Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 1st 13/8
17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Lady Letita (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Laidlaw Cup Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 4th 16/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Emerald Enigma (IRE)J: Paul Townend Master Chefs Novice Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 21.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 3rd 15/8
14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Bunting (FR)J: Paul Townend Matchbook Betting Exchange Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 18.5f · Good · 4 ran UR 8/13F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is W. P. Mullins's strike rate?
W. P. Mullins has won 1,211 of 5,159 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 23.5% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does W. P. Mullins do best at?
Limerick by strike rate: 54 wins from 145 runners (37.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for W. P. Mullins?
Paul Townend, with 1,525 runners since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 542 (35.5%).
Is W. P. Mullins in form?
In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 13.6%. That is below the baseline of 23.5% since 2022.
What is W. P. Mullins's Fair A/E?
1.07, from 5,159 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 26 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).