Horse profile
Aeros Luck (IRE)
by My Dream Boat (IRE) out of Sapere Aude (IRE) (Broadway Flyer)
30 runs · 15 courses · from Apr 2023
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
2 wins · Punchestown & Listowel
New yard
Last run 4 Oct 2026 · 3rd of 4
Last raced off OR 123
KTB Profile
Aeros Luck is a gelding with two wins from 30 starts on turf, both over 1m5f – 2m on good to soft. He won the Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle at Listowel in Sep 2023 and the Ladbrokes 'Big Value You Can Bet On' Handicap Chase at Punchestown in Jun 2025 off an official rating of 125. He has raced 17 times without success over 2m1f – 2m4f. His last run, at Kelso in Oct 2026, was his first for Sandy Thomson and he finished 3 of 4 in the Nspcc School Service Handicap Steeple Chase, a Class 2 race, off an official rating of 123.
Based on 30 archived runs · run-style from 19 commented runs since Nov 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
- 2–30Wins / Runs
- 6.7%Strike rate
- 11 (36.7%)Placed
- −22.25£1 level staken=30 at SP
- 0.57Fair A/E n=29 · 0.44 incl. margin
- 129Highest OR
- 44dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating123↓ 6lb off peak
123
123–129
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 83
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 11 | 119A | 79 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 9 | 116B | 93 | 3 runs · 83 / 76 |
| Good | 4 | 129B | 85 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 13 | 129B | 81 | 4 runs · 83 / 79.5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 13 | 116B | 96 | 2 runs · 79 / 73.5 |
Of 30 runs looked at, 4 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2) · did not complete (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 26 figures from 30 runs · as at 12 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 19 analysed runs since Nov 2024
- Prominent 9 (47%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 5 (26%) · 1 win
- Held up 3 (16%) · 0 wins
- Led 2 (11%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 15.5% of 110 runs since Jan 2008 (15 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +34.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | +1.2 | 0 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | +5.9 | 2 from 9 |
| Soft | 35 | 3 | 8.6% | −6.9 | 0 from 13 |
| Heavy | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | −3 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −15.5 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −15.5 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −15.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | +5.3 | 2 from 13 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 43 | 4 | 9.3% | −6.2 | 0 from 17 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | +2.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −15.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Sapere Aude (IRE) (Broadway Flyer)
1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oneforbeano (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 13 | 0 | 0% | −13.00 |
| Good to Soft | 9 | 2 | 22% | −1.25 |
| Good | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelso | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Tipperary | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Kilbeggan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Leopardstown | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Killarney | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Punchestown | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.75 |
| Wexford | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bellewstown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Perth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 17 | 0 | 0% | −17.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 13 | 2 | 15% | −5.25 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Donoghue | 7 | 1 | 14% | −3.00 |
| William Maggs | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Conor Stone-Walsh | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Sean Flanagan | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Kieren Buckley | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.25 |
| Jack Kearney | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Mr J Dunne | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Mr Lucas Murphy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Craig Nichol | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hood + tongue tie | 13 | 0 | 0% | −13.00 |
| Tongue tie | 10 | 1 | 10% | −6.25 |
| None | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Hood | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2025 | 13 | 1 | 8% | −9.25 |
| 2024 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2023 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 16 | 1 | 6% | −12.25 |
| Hurdle | 13 | 1 | 8% | −9.00 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Oct 26+165d | Kelso | Nspcc School Service Handicap Steeple Chase (Registered As The Simply Ned) (GBB Race) Raced freely early - sat just behind the front runner - untidy jump at the 2nd - went to the front soon after - challenged at the last - overtaken on the run-in - weakened late to finish 3rd | 3/4 | 3¼ | 10-0 | 123 | 81C | 114B | Mr Lucas Murphy | 9/4J |
| 22 Apr 26+53d | Perth | Bedmax Capercaillie Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Tracked front group early - pushed along after the 8th - stumbled and lost fluency 3 out - unable to match leading pair approaching last and beaten into third | 3/7 | 10 | 10-10 | 125 | 79A | 117A | William Maggs | 11/2 |
| 28 Feb 26+27d | Kelso | bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled close up in second early - moved ahead with eventual winner four out - lost placing two out - eased back to finish third | 3/8 | ¾ | 11-5 | 126 | 83A | 123A | William Maggs | 13/2 |
| 01 Feb 26+34d | Musselburgh | bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Went straight to front - clear by a length 4 out - asked for effort soon after - challenged from outside 2 out - drew level near the last - caught in the final strides for second | 2/5 | ½ | 11-6 | 124 | 68C | 131B | William Maggs | 9/1 |
| 2025 · 13 runs | ||||||||||
| 29 Dec 25+22d | Kelso | Chas 'Chasing Excellence' Novices' Chase (GBB Race) Handy early - sat second from before the 3rd - hit a flat spot 4 out - driven from 2 out but couldn't get on terms | 2/3 | 16 | 11-5 | 125 | 76C | 115C | William Maggs | 9/2 |
| 07 Dec 25+43d | Kelso | Richard Landale Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled towards the back of the field - pressed for effort approaching the last - unable to close ground on the run to the line - eventually finished sixth | 6/9 | 2½ | 9-11 | 126 | 78A | 111A | William Maggs | 40/1 |
| 25 Oct 25+65d | Kelso | Nuts Well Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Held in third early - blundered three out and dropped a place two out - pushed along soon after - unable to make an impression through the closing stages | 5/5 | 26 | 11-8 | 129 | — | 111C | Craig Nichol | 9/1 |
| 21 Aug 25+18d | Killarney | Gallivan Financial Handicap Chase Settled in the pack early - jumped awkwardly around 6th and once more 5 out - driven from before 3 out but found nothing more and slipped to 7th late | 7/10 | 5 | 11-12 | 128 | 61C | 114C | Keith Donoghue | 7/2 |
| 03 Aug 25+16d | Galway | Lord Hemphill Memorial Handicap Chase Sat handy behind front group early - still 4th with three furlongs left - pressed for effort two out then slipped back to sixth entering the straight - lost touch late to finish sixth | 6/10 | 12 | 11-1 | 129 | 34B | 109A | Conor Stone-Walsh | 9/1 |
| 18 Jul 25+17d | Killarney | BoyleSports Daily Money Back Meeting Handicap Chase Sat handy in third early - held position at midpoint - well placed with real prospects approaching two out - came down three out | F/9 | — | 11-3 | 129 | — | — | Sean Flanagan | 5/1 |
| 01 Jul 25+24d | Tipperary | Tipperary Town Plate Handicap Chase Settled in the pack - clipped the first fence - moved through to hit the front after the 3rd - pressed for effort past two out and quickly overtaken - dropped to third-last before fading through the run-in to finish 5th | 5/15 | ½ | 11-9 | 129 | 103B | 131A | Conor Stone-Walsh | 10/3 |
| 07 Jun 25+22d | Punchestown | Ladbrokes 'Big Value You Can Bet On' Handicap Chase Settled midpack early - improved into second by the 4th - third from 5 out - back to second 3 out - driven to the front two out - stumbled at the last - fought off a determined rival to the line | 1/8 | 10-11 | 125 | 68A | 133A | Kieren Buckley | 11/4F | |
| 16 May 25+8d | Kilbeggan | Shanette Superior Space Handicap Chase Held up towards the back - still down in 8th before 4 out - moved into 5th 2 out - improved into 2nd after the last - unable to challenge in front and slipped to 3rd on the run-in finishing well held | 3/11 | 2½ | 11-12 | 126 | — | 131A | Keith Donoghue | 10/3 |
| 08 May 25+34d | Tipperary | Hotel Minella Beginners Chase Sat behind the front group early - 4th at halfway - urged forward on the inside approaching 3 out - shifted up to third after the following fence - held on for a one-paced finish to place third | 3/14 | 9 | 11-12 | — | 96B | 133A | Keith Donoghue | 9/2 |
| 04 Apr 25+32d | Wexford | Visit Wexford Beginners Chase Settled around midfield - 5th at halfway then pushed along without gaining ground - stayed on same speed to finish 5th | 5/8 | 3 | 11-12 | — | 106A | 122A | Sean Flanagan | 13/2 |
| 03 Mar 25+29d | Leopardstown | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase Set the pace early - lost front spot 4th and settled second going nicely - pushed along into the straight but couldn't close on the winner - still holding second when came down at the final fence | F/7 | — | 11-9 | — | — | — | Conor Stone-Walsh | 2/1F |
| 02 Feb 25+37d | Leopardstown | Timeless Sash Windows Handicap Hurdle (0-150) (Listed) Sat close to the front group early - pushed along in 6th two furlongs out - checked at the last and unable to threaten - finished a well-held 8th | 8/18 | 1¾ | 10-4 | 127 | 69B | 116A | Conor Stone-Walsh | 22/1 |
| 2024 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 27 Dec 24+27d | Leopardstown | Spinal Injuries Ireland Handicap Hurdle Settled midpack early - blundered at the 2nd - dropped to 12th after the 4th - improved position after two out but stayed at one level through the finish to come home 9th | 9/19 | 1 | 10-9 | 127 | 92B | 130A | Jack Kearney | 22/1 |
| 30 Nov 24+147d | Fairyhouse | Roganstown Hotel & Country Club 20th Anniversary Handicap Hurdle (80-130) Held up towards the back of the pack - blundered 6th - unable to threaten from 3 out home and well beaten | 17/24 | 2¾ | 11-11 | 127 | 79C | 120C | Kieren Buckley | 11/1 |
| 06 Jul 24+38d | Bellewstown | Bia Energy Bellewstown Handicap Hurdle | 2/14 | 1¼ | 10-11 | 123 | 129B | 134A | Jack Kearney | 11/2 |
| 29 May 24+28d | Wexford | Wexford Racecourse Rated Hurdle | 3/9 | ½ | 11-7 | 123 | 112A | 136A | Keith Donoghue | 10/3 |
| 01 May 24+27d | Punchestown | Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Hurdle Series Final | 8/17 | nk | 11-4 | 124 | 93B | 123A | Kieren Buckley | 11/1 |
| 04 Apr 24+199d | Naas | Treo Eile Rated Novice Hurdle | 6/10 | ½ | 11-8 | 124 | 97A | 138A | Sean Flanagan | 22/1 |
| 2023 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Sep 23+19d | Listowel | Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle | 1/14 | 11-6 | — | 116B | 137A | Keith Donoghue | 3/1 | |
| 30 Aug 23+47d | Bellewstown | Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle | 2/11 | 1¾ | 11-6 | — | 91A | 115A | Keith Donoghue | 15/8F |
| 14 Jul 23+25d | Kilbeggan | Kilbeggan Irish Whiskey Maiden Hurdle | 2/9 | 2¾ | 10-11 | — | 119A | 118B | Kieren Buckley | 7/2 |
| 19 Jun 23+32d | Kilbeggan | www.kilbegganraces.com (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle | 2/14 | 2½ | 11-0 | — | 108B | 121A | Mr J Dunne | 15/2 |
| 18 May 23+12d | Tipperary | Tipperary Town Maiden Hurdle | 5/13 | 1¼ | 10-13 | — | 114B | 114A | Sean Flanagan | 100/1 |
| 06 May 23+27d | Cork | Sign Up To Our Newsletter Maiden Hurdle | 6/16 | 15 | 11-7 | — | 61C | 99C | Keith Donoghue | 125/1 |
| 09 Apr 23 | Fairyhouse | Tattersalls Ireland George Mernagh Memorial Sales Bumper | 14/18 | ¾ | 10-13 | — | 43B | 99A | Mr J Dunne | 66/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Aeros Luck won?
- Aeros Luck (IRE) won 2 of 30 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 6.7%. Placed 11 times in total (36.7% of starts).
- Who trains Aeros Luck?
- Aeros Luck (IRE) is trained by Sandy Thomson, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 4 October 2026.
- Who is Aeros Luck's sire?
- Aeros Luck (IRE) is by My Dream Boat (IRE) out of Sapere Aude (IRE), whose sire is Broadway Flyer.
- What going does Aeros Luck prefer?
- Aeros Luck (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 2 wins from 9 starts (22.2%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Aeros Luck's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 123, from the run on 4 October 2026. The highest on record is 129.
- What is Aeros Luck's sire's record?
- My Dream Boat (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 15.5% of 110 runs since Jan 2008 (15 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Aeros Luck's siblings?
- Out of Sapere Aude (IRE), Aeros Luck (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.