Air Force One (IRE)
Typically ridden with patience — held up in 6 of 8 analysed runs — Air Force One (IRE) is 6 from 22, including a Listed win. Won last time out in the Betmgm Rous Stakes at Ascot — a first Listed win in our archive. All 6 wins have come over trips under 6f. Last raced off a career-high mark of 102.
- 6–22Wins / Runs
- 27.3%Strike rate
- 11 (50%)Placed
- +18.12£1 level staken=22 at SP
- 2.14Fair A/E n=22 · 1.70 incl. margin
- 102Highest OR
- 59dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 126
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 9 | 109C | 95 | 4 · 109 / 97.5 |
| Good to Firm | 5 | 116C | 111 | 2 · 116 / 115 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 126A | 96 | 2 · 126 / 109 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 106B | 106 | 3 · 106 / 106 |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 19 | 126A | 100 | 9 · 126 / 106 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 116C | 92 | 2 · 116 / 104 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 22 figures from 22 runs · as at 11 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 8 analysed runs
- Held up 6 (75%) · 2 wins
- Prominent 1 (13%) · 1 win
- Midfield 1 (13%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 7,129 runs since Jan 2008 (659 horses).
Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,186.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 25 | 3 | 12% | +0.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,032 | 124 | 12% | +0.9 | 1 from 5 |
| Good | 1,735 | 183 | 10.5% | −0.6 | 3 from 9 |
| Good to Soft | 770 | 90 | 11.7% | +0.6 | 1 from 4 |
| Soft | 1,062 | 120 | 11.3% | +0.2 | 1 from 1 |
| Heavy | 292 | 33 | 11.3% | +0.2 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2,213 | 237 | 10.7% | −0.4 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1,186 | 172 | 14.5% | +3.4 | 6 from 19 |
| 6f – 7f | 3,553 | 394 | 11.1% | 0 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,379 | 135 | 9.8% | −1.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 648 | 60 | 9.3% | −1.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 267 | 25 | 9.4% | −1.7 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 83 | 4 | 4.8% | −6.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 13 | 0 | 0% | −11.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Oxbridge (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 5f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Oxbridge (IRE)).
Family form: Oxbridge (IRE) won at Southwell (AW), 17 Oct 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxbridge (IRE) | 2 | 1 | 5f | Class 4 |
| Valor Spirit (IRE) | 12 | 0 | — | — |
| Philly Special (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 9 | 3 | 33% | +13.50 |
| Good to Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | +4.50 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.50 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 12 | 2 | 17% | +2.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +5.50 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +8.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 10 | 2 | 20% | +6.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.50 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bellewstown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 1 | 100% | +8.50 |
| Beverley | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 19 | 6 | 32% | +21.12 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P J McDonald | 13 | 2 | 15% | +0.00 |
| W J Lee | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.38 |
| P. J. McDonald | 1 | 1 | 100% | +8.50 |
| Clifford Lee | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Danny McMenamin | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.50 |
| Jason Watson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Visor | 17 | 6 | 35% | +23.12 |
| Tongue tie + visor | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| None | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10 | 4 | 40% | +19.00 |
| 2025 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +2.50 |
| 2024 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.38 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct 26+21d | Ascot | Betmgm Rous Stakes (Listed Race) handy just behind the pace - shaken up 2f out - moved up to challenge entering final furlong - locked in a battle all the way to the line - got home on the nod to win | 1/11 | 9-3 | 102 | 114B | 109A | P. J. McDonald | 17/2 | |
| 12 Sep 26+21d | Doncaster | Betfred Portland (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Settled behind the front markers on one flank - driven on as rivals converged approaching 2f out - moved through to the front inside the final furlong before being overtaken - rallied to regain command close home | 1/21 | 9-7 | 98 | 89C | 126A | Clifford Lee | 11/2 | |
| 22 Aug 26+3d | York | Sky Bet Constantine Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Settled towards the far flank early - went on from the pack and pressed clear passing two out - overtaken with a furlong left - dropped away to finish eighth | 8/20 | hd | 9-4 | 91 | 92C | 103A | P J McDonald | 4/1 |
| 19 Aug 26+25d | York | Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Sluggish start - settled midpack on the far rail - roused to close strongly around 2f out - closed on the front group - driven to the front inside the final furlong - drew clear and won comfortably | 1/21 | 8-13 | 91 | 100C | 126A | P J McDonald | 13/2 | |
| 25 Jul 26+29d | York | Sky Bet Dash (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Settled towards the back of the pack early - made progress two furlongs out - briefly up into second inside the final furlong before dropping back to finish third | 3/21 | nk | 9-2 | 90 | 116C | 113A | P J McDonald | 9/1 |
| 26 Jun 26+34d | Newcastle (AW) | JenningsBet In Bradford Gosforth Park Cup Handicap Pulled hard early - settled mid-pack - pressed along 2f out - made progress a furlong out - briefly up to second inside final 110yds - edged back before finishing without response | 3/14 | ¾ | 9-4 | 90 | 106B | 98A | P J McDonald | 7/1 |
| 23 May 26+9d | York | William Hill Epic Boost Handicap Hesitant start - held up towards the back - driven approaching final furlong to finish with good late progress | 5/16 | shd | 9-7 | 90 | 109C | 108A | P J McDonald | 10/1 |
| 14 May 26+29d | York | Lindum York Handicap Sluggish start - held up towards the back and pushed along with 2f left - finished well to overhaul several rivals late | 12/21 | 1 | 8-13 | 90 | 95C | 86A | P J McDonald | 5/1 |
| 15 Apr 26+68d | Beverley | Beverley Beaker Handicap Held up in the pack early - shut in behind the front group approaching 2f out then found space and stayed on strongly - drifted left inside the final furlong to force a way through and got up close home | 1/10 | 9-3 | 88 | 126A | 107A | P J McDonald | 9/2 | |
| 06 Feb 26+77d | Newcastle (AW) | SBK: No Casino Just Sports Handicap Held a central position early - pushed along inside final furlong and stayed on - never a threat to front-runners | 5/14 | ½ | 9-3 | 89 | 106B | 94A | P J McDonald | 11/1 |
| 21 Nov 25+69d | Southwell (AW) | Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 Handicap Settled at the back early - pushed along with 2f to go - unable to close in the closing stages - finished 6th | 6/7 | 1¼ | 8-12 | 91 | 104A | 81A | P J McDonald | 7/1 |
| 13 Sep 25+6d | Doncaster | Betfred Portland (Heritage Handicap) Held up on the far rail early - tucked in behind the pace - dropped away with 2f left - finished 13th | 13/21 | nk | 8-9 | 87 | 76C | 83A | P J McDonald | 9/2 |
| 07 Sep 25+18d | York | Sky Bet Super Sub Sprint Handicap Broke sharply - up with the pace early - drifted left over 1f out before challenging at the front - hard at work inside the final furlong - couldn't quite peg back the winner and went down by a short head | 2/14 | nk | 9-0 | 87 | 103C | 113A | P J McDonald | 15/8F |
| 20 Aug 25+25d | York | Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Held up at the rear - boxed in approaching final 2f - shifted right with limited space inside final furlong - found gear and made up ground - drifted left but stayed on to move into 3rd close home - just failed to peg back the leading two | 3/20 | ½ | 8-10 | 84 | 89C | 108A | P J McDonald | 11/1 |
| 26 Jul 25+15d | York | Sky Bet 'Jump Jockeys' Nunthorpe' Handicap Tracked front group across the middle of the track - pushed to the front inside the last furlong - finished strongly to score | 1/19 | 11-10 | 78 | 78C | 115A | Danny McMenamin | 15/2 | |
| 11 Jul 25+318d | York | William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap Sat close to the pace on the near flank - lost touch inside final furlong - finished ninth | 9/16 | hd | 9-9 | 80 | 111C | 87A | P J McDonald | 18/1 |
| 27 Aug 24+54d | Bellewstown | Dolly's Bar & Pantry Handicap Sluggish start - settled midfield without threatening leaders - pushed along a furlong out - unable to close and beaten into 10th | 10/13 | nk | 9-13 | 82 | 81C | 77A | W J Lee | 4/1J |
| 04 Jul 24+29d | Bellewstown | Indaver Ireland Handicap | 2/8 | ½ | 9-7 | 84 | 100A | 93A | W J Lee | 7/2J |
| 05 Jun 24+29d | Curragh | Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Premier Handicap | 8/11 | hd | 9-5 | 85 | 82A | 76A | W J Lee | 9/4F |
| 07 May 24+271d | Navan | NavanRacecourse.ie Maiden | 1/14 | 9-8 | — | 98C | 105A | W J Lee | 13/8F | |
| 10 Aug 23+84d | Sandown | British Stallion Studs Ebf Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/8 | 4 | 9-7 | — | 100B | 85A | Jason Watson | 12/1 |
| 18 May 23 | York | Frank Whittle Partnership ebfstallions.com Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 7/10 | ¾ | 9-7 | — | 47A | 61A | Paul Mulrennan | 9/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Air Force One (IRE) won?
- Air Force One (IRE) won 6 of 22 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 27.3%. Placed 11 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trains Air Force One (IRE)?
- Air Force One (IRE) is trained by Geoff Oldroyd, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 3 October 2026.
- Who is Air Force One (IRE)'s sire?
- Air Force One (IRE) is by Starspangledbanner (AUS) out of Great Dame (IRE), whose sire is Dandy Man.
- What going does Air Force One (IRE) prefer?
- Air Force One (IRE) has the best record on good going: 3 wins from 9 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Air Force One (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 102, from the run on 3 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Air Force One (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Starspangledbanner (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 7,129 runs since Jan 2008 (659 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,186.
- Who are Air Force One (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Great Dame (IRE), Air Force One (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Oxbridge (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Oxbridge (IRE)). The wins came over 5f. As at Oct 2026.