Aurora Thunder (GB)
Aurora Thunder (GB) is 3 from 36. Hasn't won since Jan 2022. All 3 wins have come over 2m1f – 2m4f. Last raced off 104, 16lb below the career-high mark.
- 3–36Wins / Runs
- 8.3%Strike rate
- 17 (47.2%)Placed
- −15.00£1 level staken=36 at SP
- 0.73Fair A/E n=36 · 0.64 incl. margin
- 120Highest OR
- 55dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 123
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 13 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 142B | 112 | — |
| Soft | 9 | 144B | 117 | — |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 123A | 105.5 | — |
| Heavy | 3 | 99A | 98 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 13 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 13 | 144B | 104 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 12 | 142B | 117 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 112A | 102 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 36 runs looked at, 7 have no figure: did not complete (6) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 29 figures from 36 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 14.1% of 3,931 runs since Jan 2008 (418 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −14.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | +2.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 1,182 | 169 | 14.3% | +0.2 | 0 from 14 |
| Good to Soft | 910 | 139 | 15.3% | +1.2 | 1 from 6 |
| Soft | 1,235 | 166 | 13.4% | −0.7 | 2 from 11 |
| Heavy | 532 | 74 | 13.9% | −0.2 | 0 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 34 | 1 | 2.9% | −11.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −14.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | −5.8 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 50 | 5 | 10% | −4.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,093 | 152 | 13.9% | −0.2 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,367 | 182 | 13.3% | −0.8 | 3 from 17 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,077 | 175 | 16.2% | +2.1 | 0 from 14 |
| Over 3m | 330 | 41 | 12.4% | −1.7 | 0 from 1 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 13 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
8 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Jacks Last Hope (GB) (11 wins).
The wins came over 1m7½f–3m3f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Jacks Last Hope (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacks Last Hope (GB) | 46 | 11 | 2m–3m3f | Class 2 |
| Mofasa (GB) | 14 | 3 | 2m4f–2m7½f | Class 2 |
| Ninna Collina (GB) | 7 | 3 | 1m7½f–2m | Class 4 |
| Ballycross (GB) | 39 | 2 | 2m5½f–3m | Class 3 |
| Get Rhythm (IRE) | 20 | 2 | 2m–2m½f | Class 4 |
| Kilfera (GB) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Amybell (GB) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Jacqanina (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 14 | 0 | 0% | −14.00 |
| Soft | 11 | 2 | 18% | +0.50 |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 1 | 17% | +3.50 |
| Heavy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 14 | 1 | 7% | −5.00 |
| Class 2 | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Class 3 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +3.50 |
| Class 5 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.50 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr | 10 | 2 | 20% | +1.50 |
| Kelso | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Musselburgh | 7 | 1 | 14% | +2.50 |
| Perth | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Carlisle | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hexham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 17 | 3 | 18% | +4.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 14 | 0 | 0% | −14.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blair Campbell | 15 | 2 | 13% | −3.50 |
| Patrick Wadge | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Alan Doyle | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Derek Fox | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Stephen Mulqueen | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Conner McCann | 1 | 1 | 100% | +8.50 |
| Tom Scudamore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2023 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2022 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +3.50 |
| 2021 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2020 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +4.00 |
| 2019 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.50 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 31 | 3 | 10% | −10.00 |
| NH Flat | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Chase | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Aurora Thunder (GB) won?
- Aurora Thunder (GB) won 3 of 36 archived starts between 2018 and 2024, a strike rate of 8.3%. Placed 17 times in total (47.2% of starts).
- Who trained Aurora Thunder (GB)?
- Aurora Thunder (GB) was trained by Lucinda Russell on the most recent run on record, at Musselburgh on 1 January 2024.
- Who is Aurora Thunder (GB)'s sire?
- Aurora Thunder (GB) is by Malinas (GER) out of Ninna Nanna (FR), whose sire is Garde Royale.
- What going does Aurora Thunder (GB) prefer?
- Aurora Thunder (GB) has the best record on soft going: 2 wins from 11 starts (18.2%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Aurora Thunder (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 104, from the run on 1 January 2024. The highest on record is 120.
- What is Aurora Thunder (GB)'s sire's record?
- Malinas (GER)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.1% of 3,931 runs since Jan 2008 (418 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Aurora Thunder (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Ninna Nanna (FR), Aurora Thunder (GB) has 8 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Jacks Last Hope (GB) (11). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Jacks Last Hope (GB)). The wins came over 1m7½f–3m3f. As at Oct 2026.