What is Blair Campbell's strike rate?

Blair Campbell has won 62 of 601 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Blair Campbell do best at?

Hexham by strike rate: 13 wins from 79 rides (16.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Blair Campbell ride most for?

Lucinda Russell, with 468 rides since 2008 — 78% of the total. That pairing has won 55 (11.8%).

What is Blair Campbell's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 600 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Blair Campbell

601 rides in the lifetime window · 201 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2021 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

62–601

Wins / Runs

10.3%

Strike rate

n=601

184 (31%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=600 · 0.81 incl. margin

−175.14

£1 level stake

n=601 at SP · −29.1%

£564k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

1.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (57 rides). Rode mostly for Lucinda Russell — 78% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 601 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr 22.7% when favourite Lucinda Russell: 11.8% from 468 LTO winners: 21.1% Claiming: 10.6% Rode the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hexham (16.5%, n=79), clear of the rider's 10.3% baseline. It is weakest at Newcastle (2.8% over 36 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.1% (n=57, Fair A/E 1.04), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.6% (n=65, Fair A/E 0.80). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 7.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −73.25 to a £1 stake over 140 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Lucinda Russell supplied 78% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.8%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record read poorly off a 8-14-day break — 2.5% over 40 rides, 7.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.55 across 59 rides (5.1% strike, −43.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The standout partner of the record was Mighty Thunder (GB) — 7 wins from 20 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.5%−0.8

n=201 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −32.84

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.1%+10.8

n=57 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −18.51

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.1%−3.2

n=140 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −73.25

When favourite

22.7%

n=44 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −17.47

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10.6%+0.3

n=567 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −193.14

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.6%−5.7

n=65 · A/E 0.80 · £1 +3.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.3

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 21.1% vs 10.3% · n=57

Off a 8-14-day break 2.5% vs 10.3% · n=40

At Hexham 16.5% vs 10.3% · n=79

At Newcastle 2.8% vs 10.3% · n=36

Off a break of 180+ days 5.1% vs 10.3% · n=59

On Good going 6.3% vs 10.3% · n=189

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 393 42 10.7% −92.85

Chase 141 16 11.3% −45.79

NH Flat 66 4 6.1% −35.50

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 190 21 11.1% −56.68

Good 189 12 6.3% −62.12

Good to Soft 110 14 12.7% −9.59

Heavy 102 14 13.7% −43.25

Good to Firm 6 1 16.7% +0.50

Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Perth 100 8 8% −41.34

Musselburgh 89 9 10.1% −29.25

Kelso 85 12 14.1% +1.79

Hexham 79 13 16.5% −8.71

Ayr 77 9 11.7% −23.25

Carlisle 55 4 7.3% −35.50

Newcastle 36 1 2.8% −29.00

Wetherby 20 1 5% +21.00

Sedgefield 17 3 17.6% −0.38

Aintree 7 0 0% −7.00

Bangor-on-Dee 7 0 0% −7.00

Cartmel 6 1 16.7% +2.00

Catterick 5 0 0% −5.00

Uttoxeter 4 0 0% −4.00

Doncaster 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 315 34 10.8% −122.60

Class 5 186 17 9.1% −32.87

Class 3 56 7 12.5% −6.50

Class 2 24 2 8.3% −4.67

Class 6 17 2 11.8% −5.50

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 58 14 24.1% 0.89 −13.09

2nd–3rd fav 163 27 16.6% 0.95 −29.05

4th–6th fav 209 14 6.7% 0.83 −93.00

7th+ in betting 171 7 4.1% 1.19 −40.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.9% completed · 534 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 141 73.8% 4 6 26 0 1

Hurdle 393 83.5% 8 4 51 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mighty Thunder (GB) 20 7 12 20 Mar 21

Misfits (IRE) 18 2 8 27 Feb 20

Haul Us In (IRE) 17 3 8 27 Feb 21

Andhaar (GB) 17 2 6 21 May 19

Aurora Thunder (GB) 15 2 7 16 Feb 21

Prince Dundee (IRE) 13 2 7 3 Oct 21

Emissaire (FR) 13 1 3 22 Mar 21

Vino's Choice (IRE) 12 1 5 7 Feb 21

Bialco (FR) 11 3 4 21 Feb 21

Saint Freule (FR) 11 3 5 14 Nov 20

Make It Happen (IRE) 11 1 1 22 Jun 19

Catchthemoonlight (GB) 11 1 3 25 Apr 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 201 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

510121610141011415118

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardLucinda Russell

78% of all rides
11.8% SR · A/E 0.98

TrainerRWSR£1

Lucinda Russell 468 55 11.8% −127.14

N W Alexander 43 5 11.6% −5.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

£564k

Prize money

2019

Best season · 18 wins

Mighty Thunder (GB) — bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase Musselburgh · Feb 2021 · Class 2

£19,028

Big River (IRE) — Edinburgh Gin Handicap Hurdle Kelso · Mar 2017 · Class 2

£14,621

Tantamount (GB) — Ayrshire Magazine Racing Excellence 'hands & Heels' Finale Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Ayr · Apr 2017 · Class 3

£9,747

Notable horses

Mighty Thunder (GB) Thorpe (IRE) Haul Us In (IRE) Saint Freule (FR) Bialco (FR) Misfits (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milan (GB) 2.6% · 1–39

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,848 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Malinas (GER) 25% · 9–36

Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,939 runs since 2008 (419 horses).

Kalanisi (IRE) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,742 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.

Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–25

Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Beneficial (GB) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Gold Well (GB) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2008 (363 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 601 · newest first

The latest 50 of 601 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 March 2012 to 3 October 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Oct 21 Kelso Prince Dundee (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Belhaven Brewery Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 5/2J

03 Oct 21 Kelso Gemologist (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Welcome To Family Day Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 9/1

22 Sep 21 Perth Vengeur De Guye (FR)T: Lucinda Russell Join Racing TV Now Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 18/1

22 Mar 21 Kelso Slainte Mhor (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran UR 13/2

22 Mar 21 Kelso Emissaire (FR)T: Lucinda Russell Join Racing TV Now Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 13/2

22 Mar 21 Kelso Our Elsie (GB)T: Donald Whillans William Hill Leading Racecourse Bookmaker Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran F 125/1

20 Mar 21 Uttoxeter Voix D'eau (FR)T: Lucinda Russell 61 Deep Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 33/1

20 Mar 21 Uttoxeter Mighty Thunder (GB)T: Lucinda Russell Marston's 61 Deep Midlands Grand National (Listed Open Handicap Chase) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 34f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 2nd 18/1

18 Mar 21 Hexham A Ladies Milan (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Hexham Racecourse Holiday Home & Caravan Park Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 10/3F

18 Mar 21 Hexham Buddha Scheme (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell BK Racing Grand National Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 32f · Soft · 7 ran PU 9/4F

18 Mar 21 Hexham Your Place (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Follow Hexham Racecourse On Facebook & Twitter Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 66/1

18 Mar 21 Hexham Lady Villanelle (IRE)T: Donald Whillans Welcome To Hexham 2021 Conditional Jockeys' Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran PU 9/4J

13 Mar 21 Ayr Corrieben Reiver (GB)T: Alistair Whillans Virgin Bet Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 2/1F

13 Mar 21 Ayr Wind Of Hope (IRE)T: Alistair Whillans Virgin Bet Free Bets For Winners Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 6/1

11 Mar 21 Carlisle Fudgeman (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Watch Racing TV Now Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 50/1

11 Mar 21 Carlisle Bonny Houxty (GB)T: Donald Whillans Join Racing TV Now Mares' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 33/1

09 Mar 21 Newcastle Bella Bluesky (GB)T: Alistair Whillans Download The QuinnBet App Mares' Intermediate Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 18/1

09 Mar 21 Newcastle Methodtothemadness (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Quinnbet.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 14/1

09 Mar 21 Newcastle Big Bad Dream (IRE)T: Donald Whillans Quinnbet Casino Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 17/2

06 Mar 21 Kelso Netywell (FR)T: Lucinda Russell bet365 Standard Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Blair Campbell's strike rate?: Blair Campbell has won 62 of 601 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Blair Campbell do best at?: Hexham by strike rate: 13 wins from 79 rides (16.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Blair Campbell ride most for?: Lucinda Russell, with 468 rides since 2008 — 78% of the total. That pairing has won 55 (11.8%).
What is Blair Campbell's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 600 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.