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Jockey profile

Alan Doyle

569 rides in the last 5 seasons · 246 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 114 days ago 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
from 1 Jan 2022
46–569
Wins / Runs
8.1%
Strike rate
n=569
130 (23%)
Placed
0.89
Fair A/E
n=569 · 0.76 incl. margin
−148.26
£1 level stake
n=569 at SP · −26.1%
£583k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 110 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.89). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (48 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 569 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 37.5% when favourite Lucinda Russell: 12.8% from 141 LTO winners: 14.6% Claiming: 8.3% Rides the favourite in 6% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Musselburgh (16.9%, n=59), clear of the rider's 8.1% baseline. It is weakest at Hexham (3.8% over 53 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.6% (n=48, Fair A/E 0.85), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.8% (n=57, Fair A/E 0.33). Lucinda Russell supplies 25% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.8% vs 8.1%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well in Class 2 (16.2%, n=37). Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.2%−0.9
n=235 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −99.34
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
14.6%+6.5
n=48 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −23.18
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8%−0.1
n=100 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +21.37
When favourite
37.5%
n=32 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +3.11
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.3%+0.2
n=507 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −175.09
Big fields · 14+ runners
1.8%−6.3
n=57 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −46.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Musselburgh 16.9% vs 8.1% · n=59
In Class 2 16.2% vs 8.1% · n=37
On last-time-out winners 14.6% vs 8.1% · n=48
With Lucinda Russell 12.8% vs 8.1% · n=141
With C&D winners 12.7% vs 8.1% · n=71
At Hexham 3.8% vs 8.1% · n=53
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 376 29 7.7% −88.64
Chase 156 15 9.6% −28.50
NH Flat 37 2 5.4% −31.12

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 204 12 5.9% −134.97
Good to Soft 166 17 10.2% +12.93
Soft 151 13 8.6% +6.62
Heavy 42 3 7.1% −32.34
Good to Firm 5 1 20% +0.50
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Perth 89 7 7.9% +31.50
Ayr 89 6 6.7% −42.22
Musselburgh 59 10 16.9% +36.46
Kelso 57 4 7% −34.37
Hexham 53 2 3.8% −41.25
Newcastle 50 6 12% +10.67
Carlisle 30 1 3.3% −23.50
Sedgefield 28 2 7.1% −14.50
Wetherby 19 2 10.5% −12.63
Cartmel 18 0 0% −18.00
Doncaster 14 1 7.1% −9.00
Haydock 13 2 15.4% +7.25
Uttoxeter 8 0 0% −8.00
Market Rasen 8 1 12.5% −3.67
Bangor-on-Dee 7 1 14.3% −5.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 246 13 5.3% −61.51
Class 4 220 21 9.5% −107.50
Class 3 60 6 10% −3.13
Class 2 37 6 16.2% +29.88
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 35 13 37.1% 1.22 +2.99
2nd–3rd fav 115 14 12.2% 0.73 −50.25
4th–6th fav 207 11 5.3% 0.68 −105.00
7th+ in betting 212 8 3.8% 1.34 +4.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.2% completed · 532 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 156 75% 7 6 26 0 0
Hurdle 376 83.8% 8 9 44 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Cuban Cigar (GB) 17 1 7 16 Aug 25
Killybegs Jet Lady (IRE) 13 1 8 13 Jun 26
Cave Hill (GB) 13 2 3 19 Feb 26
Garde Des Champs (IRE) 11 1 2 2 Jul 26
If Not For Dylan (IRE) 11 3 4 25 May 26
Bold Light (IRE) 11 2 2 14 May 26
Knomorediamonds (FR) 10 2 6 17 Apr 26
Maura Jeanne (GB) 9 1 2 16 Feb 26
Nathan Wells (GB) 9 2 5 21 Oct 25
El Jefe (IRE) 9 1 2 24 Apr 25
Toucan Sam (GB) 9 0 0 8 Mar 25
The Jeweller's Pet (IRE) 8 1 2 10 Feb 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 246 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
99885090189148
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardLucinda Russell
25% of all rides
12.8% SR · A/E 1.01
TrainerRWSR£1
Lucinda Russell 141 18 12.8% −51.17
Andrew Hamilton 72 6 8.3% −3.50
Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore 70 6 8.6% −5.50
Ian Duncan 66 4 6.1% −34.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
54
Archived wins
£661k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 17 wins
Cadell (IRE) — Ladbrokes 'Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2025 · Class 2
£18,472
Knomorediamonds (FR) — Coral Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Ayr · Apr 2026 · Class 2
£16,338
Bold Light (IRE) — LiveScore Bet Best Odds Daily Hogmaneigh Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Musselburgh · Jan 2025 · Class 2
£15,945
Notable horses
If Not For Dylan (IRE) Cave Hill (GB) Bold Light (IRE) Knomorediamonds (FR) Nathan Wells (GB) Chapel Green (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Jet Away (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,508 runs since 2008 (269 horses).
Leading Light (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,200 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,682 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Havana Gold (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,054 runs since 2008 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 116. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.
Jack Hobbs (GB) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,067 runs since 2008 (201 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.6% from 119.
Robin Des Champs (FR) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,006 runs since 2008 (425 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 675 · newest first

The latest 50 of 675 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 February 2016 to 2 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Jul 26 Perth Prince Nino (FR)T: Lizzie Quinlan AEJ Facilities Management Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 8th 22/1
02 Jul 26 Perth Garde Des Champs (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Secure Air Parks Edinburgh Airport Parking Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 9/4
02 Jul 26 Perth Tigress Lilly (GB)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Kettle Produce Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 16/1
01 Jul 26 Worcester Barry Fife (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Britannia Dynamic Logistics Promises Delivered Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran PU 6/1
21 Jun 26 Hexham Top Flight Century (FR)T: David Thompson L & R Pest Control Services Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 5th 50/1
13 Jun 26 Hexham Killybegs Jet Lady (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Stan Hayhurst Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran PU 9/2
13 Jun 26 Hexham Mr Globalist (IRE)T: Lizzie Quinlan Tileform Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 7/1
13 Jun 26 Hexham Autumn Getaway (IRE)T: Lizzie Quinlan Clean Sweep Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 5th 150/1
13 Jun 26 Hexham Bobby Socks (GB)T: Lizzie Quinlan Andy Calvert Celebration Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 7th 40/1
07 Jun 26 Perth Garde Des Champs (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Perth Silver Cup Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 17/2
07 Jun 26 Perth Magic Gloves (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Sun Racing The Home Of Racing Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 10th 22/1
07 Jun 26 Perth Dolly Dior (GB)T: Patrick Neville Scone Palace Jousting Tournament Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 4th 50/1
27 May 26 Cartmel Mr Globalist (IRE)T: Lizzie Quinlan In Memory Of Jimmy Latham Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good · 13 ran 4th 14/1
25 May 26 Cartmel If Not For Dylan (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Hugh Cavendish Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 29.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 9/1
24 May 26 Kelso Killybegs Jet Lady (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Komatsu Forest Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 7/4
24 May 26 Kelso Chapel Green (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Racing TV Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 9/2
23 May 26 Cartmel Clonakilty (IRE)T: Lizzie Quinlan St Marys Hospice Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 12 ran 9th 28/1
19 May 26 Hexham Malangen (IRE)T: Lisa Harrison Jason Arnup After Party 6th June Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 10/3F
19 May 26 Hexham East Eagle (IRE)T: Mike Sowersby Tynedale Agricultural Society Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 9/1
14 May 26 Perth Bold Light (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Edinburgh Gin Hugo Spritz Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 3rd 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alan Doyle's strike rate?
Alan Doyle has won 46 of 569 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alan Doyle do best at?
Musselburgh by strike rate: 10 wins from 59 rides (16.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Alan Doyle ride most for?
Lucinda Russell, with 141 rides since 2022 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (12.8%).
What is Alan Doyle's Fair A/E?
0.89, from 569 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).