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Jockey profile

Derek Fox

1,150 rides in the last 5 seasons · 304 individual horses
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
146–1,150
Wins / Runs
12.7%
Strike rate
n=1,150
361 (31%)
Placed
0.88
n=1,149 · 0.77 incl. margin
−269.68
£1 level stake
n=1,150 at SP · −23.5%
£3.02m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.2%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 230 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.88). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (151 rides). Rides mostly for Lucinda Russell — 58% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,150 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 12.8% 33.6% when favourite Lucinda Russell: 15.6% from 666 LTO winners: 16.6% Rides the favourite in 13% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Kelso (19%, n=189), clear of the rider's 12.7% baseline. It is weakest at Haydock (2.9% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.6% (n=151, Fair A/E 0.86), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.7% (n=89, Fair A/E 0.82). Lucinda Russell supplies 58% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.6% vs 12.7%, A/E 0.93). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 5.7% over 88 rides, 7pts below the baseline. 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Randox Health Grand National at Aintree (Apr 2017, £561,300). The standout partner of the record: Sword Of Fate (IRE) — 7 wins from 37 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10.2%−2.5
n=255 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −77.59
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
16.6%+3.9
n=151 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −45.98
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
12.8%+0.1
n=297 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −111.81
When favourite
33.6%
n=152 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −26.96
Big fields · 14+ runners
6.7%−6.0
n=89 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −27.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10.4%−2.3
n=67 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −16.52

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With William Young Jnr 2.2% vs 12.7% · n=45
At Haydock 2.9% vs 12.7% · n=35
At Kelso 19% vs 12.7% · n=189
At Carlisle 5.3% vs 12.7% · n=75
In Class 2 5.7% vs 12.7% · n=88
At Cartmel 5% vs 12.7% · n=40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 579 66 11.4% −150.02
Chase 522 77 14.8% −84.04
NH Flat 48 3 6.3% −34.62
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 358 42 11.7% −1.16
Soft 354 54 15.3% −103.99
Good 312 36 11.5% −98.94
Heavy 116 14 12.1% −55.59
Good to Firm 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kelso 189 36 19% −8.76
Ayr 165 26 15.8% −62.48
Perth 149 13 8.7% −55.50
Hexham 121 19 15.7% −25.34
Musselburgh 101 16 15.8% +54.43
Carlisle 75 4 5.3% −55.35
Newcastle 53 7 13.2% −14.59
Wetherby 47 8 17% +6.40
Cartmel 40 2 5% +4.00
Haydock 35 1 2.9% −32.00
Cheltenham 30 4 13.3% +0.50
Sedgefield 24 1 4.2% −7.00
Aintree 20 2 10% −6.00
Bangor-on-Dee 17 2 11.8% +0.50
Sandown 13 2 15.4% −6.87

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 532 88 16.5% −5.39
Class 5 223 17 7.6% −81.72
Class 3 214 27 12.6% −95.93
Class 1 93 9 9.7% −26.52
Class 2 88 5 5.7% −60.12

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 180 60 33.3% 0.97 −20.58
2nd–3rd fav 338 58 17.2% 0.92 −63.10
4th–6th fav 398 21 5.3% 0.66 −81.00
7th+ in betting 234 7 3% 0.87 −105.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.7% completed · 1,101 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 522 81.2% 23 11 62 2 0
Hurdle 579 89.8% 12 1 45 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Thereisnodoubt (IRE) 22 3 10 13 Jan 26
Inis Oirr (IRE) 21 2 5 22 Mar 26
Sword Of Fate (IRE) 20 3 7 9 Oct 24
Ahoy Senor (IRE) 19 3 5 1 Feb 26
Bollingerandkrug (IRE) 17 3 6 1 Mar 25
Primoz (IRE) 16 4 5 4 Oct 26
Walk On Quest (IRE) 15 3 8 22 Oct 26
Apple Away (IRE) 15 5 8 16 May 26
Corrigeen Rock (IRE) 15 4 7 22 Feb 25
Ardera Cross (IRE) 15 0 3 6 Jan 25
Your Own Story (IRE) 15 2 7 27 Dec 24
Wal Buck's (FR) 13 2 5 10 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 304 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
4 from 14
Only 14 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
15131713125741118137
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
58% of all rides
15.6% SR · A/E 0.93
TrainerRWSR£1
Lucinda Russell 666 104 15.6% −147.36
Leonard Kerr 51 3 5.9% −10.50
William Young Jnr 45 1 2.2% −11.00
Stuart Coltherd 33 3 9.1% +41.88
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
346
Archived wins
13
Pattern / graded wins
£5.59m
Prize money
2022
Best season · 37 wins
One For Arthur (IRE) — Randox Health Grand National (Grade 3 Handicap Chase) Aintree · Apr 2017 · Grade 3
£561,300
Corach Rambler (IRE) — Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2023 · Class 1
£500,000
Corach Rambler (IRE) — Ultima Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2023 · Class 1
£70,338

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Walk In The Park (IRE) 11.4% · 8–70
Progeny have won 13.3% of 6,958 runs since 2008 (691 horses).
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 22.6% · 12–53
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,491 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Getaway (GER) 13.5% · 7–52
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,923 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.5% from 132.
Westerner (GB) 20.5% · 8–39
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,830 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Jet Away (GB) 14.7% · 5–34
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,510 runs since 2008 (270 horses).
Arctic Cosmos (USA) 21.2% · 7–33
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,304 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.3% from 194.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,232 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,232 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 May 2009 to 24 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Derek Fox's strike rate?
Derek Fox has won 146 of 1,150 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.7% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Derek Fox do best at?
Kelso by strike rate: 36 wins from 189 rides (19%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Derek Fox ride most for?
Lucinda Russell, with 666 rides since 2022 — 58% of the total. That pairing has won 104 (15.6%).
Is Derek Fox in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Derek Fox's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 1,149 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 25 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).