What is Patrick Wadge's strike rate?

Patrick Wadge has won 108 of 855 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Patrick Wadge do best at?

Wetherby by strike rate: 7 wins from 30 rides (23.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Patrick Wadge ride most for?

Lucinda Russell, with 445 rides since 2022 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 74 (16.6%).

Is Patrick Wadge in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 13 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Patrick Wadge's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 854 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Patrick Wadge

855 rides in the last 5 seasons · 315 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2022

108–855

Wins / Runs

12.6%

Strike rate

n=855

269 (32%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=854 · 0.91 incl. margin

−232.33

£1 level stake

n=855 at SP · −27.2%

£1.47m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 170 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (96 rides). Rides mostly for Lucinda Russell — 52% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 855 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec 41.2% when favourite Lucinda Russell: 16.6% from 445 First rides: 14.2% LTO winners: 21.9% Claiming: 16.6% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wetherby (23.3%, n=30), clear of the rider's 12.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.9% (n=96, Fair A/E 1.20). Lucinda Russell supplies 52% of the rides and edges the rider's average (16.6% vs 12.6%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Heavy going (19%, n=79). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ultima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2025, £84,405). The standout partner of the record: Traprain Law (FR) — 6 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

14.2%+1.6

n=310 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −55.13

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.9%+9.3

n=96 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +9.15

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11.2%−1.4

n=178 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −37.06

When favourite

41.2%

n=85 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +8.31

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

16.6%+4.0

n=439 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −70.56

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.7%−2.9

n=93 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −25.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.3%−7.3

n=19 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −15.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 21.9% vs 12.6% · n=96

At Wetherby 23.3% vs 12.6% · n=30

With Sandy Forster 5.2% vs 12.6% · n=58

On Heavy going 19% vs 12.6% · n=79

With Lucinda Russell 16.6% vs 12.6% · n=445

When claiming 16.6% vs 12.6% · n=439

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 510 63 12.4% −101.85

Chase 288 40 13.9% −95.48

NH Flat 57 5 8.8% −35.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 278 31 11.2% −56.47

Good 264 30 11.4% −99.78

Soft 227 32 14.1% −51.13

Heavy 79 15 19% −17.95

Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Perth 139 12 8.6% −58.24

Kelso 123 21 17.1% −16.74

Ayr 114 17 14.9% −23.30

Musselburgh 80 7 8.8% −34.75

Hexham 76 11 14.5% −28.35

Newcastle 73 12 16.4% −2.22

Carlisle 59 7 11.9% −16.22

Wetherby 30 7 23.3% +37.66

Haydock 23 2 8.7% −13.25

Aintree 20 1 5% −11.50

Sedgefield 20 1 5% −17.00

Cartmel 18 0 0% −18.00

Doncaster 16 2 12.5% −8.42

Cheltenham 13 1 7.7% −5.50

Market Rasen 10 2 20% +2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 380 49 12.9% −95.22

Class 5 244 28 11.5% −73.42

Class 3 117 17 14.5% −47.64

Class 2 79 12 15.2% +8.20

Class 1 32 2 6.3% −21.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 103 39 37.9% 1.16 +4.56

2nd–3rd fav 222 39 17.6% 1.04 −36.89

4th–6th fav 298 22 7.4% 0.90 −85.00

7th+ in betting 232 8 3.4% 1.00 −115.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.6% completed · 798 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 288 80.2% 10 8 38 1 0

Hurdle 510 85.5% 10 3 61 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Starlyte (IRE) 25 3 8 4 Oct 26

Traprain Law (FR) 22 6 14 18 Apr 26

Idem (FR) 17 5 8 24 Sep 26

Divas Doyen (IRE) 17 1 6 13 Jun 26

Netywell (FR) 17 3 6 7 Mar 26

Serious Operator (IRE) 16 5 6 24 Apr 26

Return Fire (IRE) 15 4 5 14 Apr 25

Bishop Hill (IRE) 14 0 5 16 Aug 25

Spit Spot (GB) 13 2 6 8 Oct 26

Petite Rhapsody (IRE) 12 2 6 19 Aug 23

I Wish You (FR) 11 2 4 15 Oct 26

Rocheval (FR) 10 3 4 17 Apr 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 315 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 13

Only 13 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

9132099312713121817

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardLucinda Russell

52% of all rides
16.6% SR · A/E 1.16

TrainerRWSR£1

Lucinda Russell 445 74 16.6% −64.68

Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore 146 12 8.2% −74.65

Sandy Forster 58 3 5.2% −36.50

Sandy Thomson 33 6 18.2% +13.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

108

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.48m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 46 wins

Myretown (IRE) — Ultima Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2025 · Class 1

£84,405

Czech Her Out (IRE) — Jordan Electrics Ltd Seafield Trophy Mares' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Ayr · Apr 2024 · Class 2

£23,148

Myretown (IRE) — Edinburgh Gin Steeple Chase (a Limited Handicap) (gbb Race) Kelso · Oct 2026 · Class 2

£20,812

Notable horses

Traprain Law (FR) Idem (FR) Serious Operator (IRE) Return Fire (IRE) Starlyte (IRE) Netywell (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Malinas (GER) 11.5% · 6–52

Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,946 runs since 2008 (419 horses).

Sir Percy (GB) 13.3% · 6–45

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,149 runs since 2008 (473 horses).

Shirocco (GER) 7.4% · 2–27

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,172 runs since 2008 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Jet Away (GB) 15.4% · 4–26

Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,516 runs since 2008 (271 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 4% · 1–25

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,355 runs since 2008 (605 horses).

Martaline (GB) 27.3% · 6–22

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,345 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 897 · newest first

The latest 50 of 897 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 August 2020 to 24 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

24 Oct 26 Kelso Smoke Trail (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore luckytiger.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Nuts Well Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 17f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 5/6F

24 Oct 26 Kelso Myretown (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Edinburgh Gin Steeple Chase (a Limited Handicap) (gbb Race)Class 2 · 26f · Good · 4 ran 1st 5/4F

24 Oct 26 Kelso Malayalam (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Clifford, Martin & Sarah Firth Memorial Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 15/8F

24 Oct 26 Kelso Eazy Breezy (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Stay For The After Party 'national Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 5/6F

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Billable Grant (IRE)T: Jackie Stephen Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 80/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Eagle Warrior (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Class Of '63: 63 Years On Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 33/1

20 Oct 26 Hexham C'mon So (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Northumbria Leisure Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 1st 7/2

15 Oct 26 Perth Hombre De Guerra (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore RacingTV, Home Of Live Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 10/1

15 Oct 26 Perth Linalene (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Every Irish Race Live On RacingTV Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 9/1

15 Oct 26 Perth I Wish You (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Follow @racingtv On Instagram Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran UR 9/4F

15 Oct 26 Perth Miss Arabella (GB)T: Sandy Thomson Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 250/1

15 Oct 26 Perth Jet Noir (IRE)T: Jackie Stephen Join Racing TV Now Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 100/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Jambearee (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Visit racingtv.com Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 28/1

10 Oct 26 Hexham Circle Of Steel (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Hitz Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 33/1

08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Spit Spot (GB)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Park Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/1

04 Oct 26 Kelso Starlyte (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Percy's Racing Dream Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 21f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 7/2J

02 Oct 26 Hexham Stylish Recruit (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Heath RUFC A-Safe Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 5/2

24 Sep 26 Perth Tigress Lilly (GB)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 4th 9/4J

24 Sep 26 Perth Idem (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Edinburgh Gin Owner Trainer Jockey Awards Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 11 ran 1st 17/2

23 Sep 26 Perth Walk On Quest (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow David Whitaker Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 8 ran F 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Wadge's strike rate?: Patrick Wadge has won 108 of 855 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick Wadge do best at?: Wetherby by strike rate: 7 wins from 30 rides (23.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Patrick Wadge ride most for?: Lucinda Russell, with 445 rides since 2022 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 74 (16.6%).
Is Patrick Wadge in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 13 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Patrick Wadge's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 854 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.