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Horse profile

Believe In Lies (IRE)

5yo mare · Trainer David & Nicola Barron · Owner Harrowgate Bloodstock Ltd
by Make Believe (GB) out of More Lies Ahead (IRE) (Intense Focus)
12 runs · 9 courses · from May 2025
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won at Carlisle Off 236 days · 3rd of 9 Last raced off OR 55
KTB Profile

Believe In Lies is 1 from 12 with the win at Class 6 level in a 6f-7f handicap at Carlisle on good to firm in Aug 2025. The mare has four places from her 12 starts. She finished third of nine when last seen at Wolverhampton in Feb 2026, having raced off an official rating of 55. All wins are at Class 6.

Based on 12 archived runs · run-style from 4 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Won on turf, 0 on AW Win at Class 6
Official rating55↓ 6lb off peak
55 55–61

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 98 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Wolverhampton (AW), 23 Feb 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 12 figures · best 99A · median 80
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)598A765 · 98 / 76
Good484A56—
Good to Firm287C86.5—
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
6f – 7f899A784 · 98 / 76.5
1m – 1m1f384A761 · —
Under 6f1———

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 12 figures from 12 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 75A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Wolverhampton (AW), 23 Feb 2026 Official rating 55 at the last run, 23 Feb 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 12 figures · best 86A · median 71.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)576A755 · 76 / 75
Good474A66—
Good to Firm286A76—
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
6f – 7f886A69.54 · 75 / 69.5
1m – 1m1f376A741 · —
Under 6f1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 12 figures from 12 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 4 analysed runs

  • Held up 2 (50%) · 0 wins
  • Midfield 1 (25%) · 0 wins
  • Led 1 (25%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Make Believe (GB)

Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,596 runs since Jan 2008 (297 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm5120%+8.9—
Good to Firm3414312.6%+1.51 from 2
Good8729911.4%+0.30 from 4
Good to Soft4355612.9%+1.80 from 1
Soft6947110.2%−0.9—
Heavy270259.3%−1.8—
Standard (AW)97910410.6%−0.50 from 5
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f8178.6%−2.50 from 1
6f – 7f8469511.2%+0.11 from 8
1m – 1m1f1,04810710.2%−0.90 from 3
1m2f – 1m4f7869412%+0.9—
1m5f – 2m5337113.3%+2.2—
2m1f – 2m4f229229.6%−1.5—
2m5f – 3m6323.2%−7.9—
Over 3m10110%−1.1—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
More Lies Ahead (IRE) (Intense Focus)

1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Mary Doll (IRE) (1 win).

The wins came over 7f.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Mary Doll (IRE)117f—

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Good 4 0 0% −4.00
Good to Firm 2 1 50% +6.50
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 6 7 1 14% +1.50
Class 5 5 0 0% −5.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Newcastle (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Thirsk 2 0 0% −2.00
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Musselburgh 1 0 0% −1.00
Redcar 1 0 0% −1.00
Haydock 1 0 0% −1.00
Carlisle 1 1 100% +7.50
Pontefract 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
6f – 7f 8 1 13% +0.50
1m – 1m1f 3 0 0% −3.00
Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
David Nolan 4 1 25% +4.50
Lewis Edmunds 3 0 0% −3.00
Connor Beasley 2 0 0% −2.00
Lewis Chalkley 1 0 0% −1.00
Miss Alice Keighley 1 0 0% −1.00
Paul Mulrennan 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 4 0 0% −4.00
2025 8 1 13% +0.50

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
23 Feb 26+14d Wolverhampton (AW) Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap (Div 2) Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran Sat behind the front group early - moved into third under pressure with 2f left - found extra ground inside the final furlong but lacked the finishing speed to get on terms - finished third 3/9 1 9-9 5598A75A Lewis Edmunds 11/2
09 Feb 26+27d Wolverhampton (AW) Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Handicap Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran Settled in the pack - pushed along with two furlongs left then finding extra close home - kept on well to finish third beaten a half-length 3/11 ½ 9-5 5684A75A Lewis Edmunds 17/2
13 Jan 26+12d Newcastle (AW) Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Apprentice Handicap Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran Settled towards the back - pushed to chase leaders 2f out but couldn't land a blow - dropped away last furlong to finish fifth 5/6 2¾ 9-6 5748A62B Lewis Chalkley 12/1
01 Jan 26+20d Newcastle (AW) Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran Settled in the pack - moved right approaching final furlong and pushed along - held no more in final stages finishing 5th 5/11 ½ 9-8 5876A76A David Nolan 22/1
12 Dec 25+60d Southwell (AW) Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Handicap Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran Settled in the pack - pushed along with over 2f left - couldn't land a real challenge - finished 11th 11/14 ½ 9-9 6069B64A Lewis Edmunds 20/1
13 Oct 25+19d Musselburgh Ray Hawthorne Memorial Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Class 5 · 9f · Good · 9 ran Sat second on the rail early as pace kicked away 5f out - narrowed the gap 3f out before slipping back inside the final two - kept battling to finish third 3/9 1½ 10-9 6184A74A Miss Alice Keighley 8/1
24 Sep 25+19d Redcar Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Handicap (Div 1) Class 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran Settled midfield - moved into 4th and driven with two furlongs left - kept responding to close in 4th 4/12 shd 9-10 6199A83A Connor Beasley 20/1
05 Sep 25+16d Haydock M Group NW Fillies' Handicap Class 5 · 7f · Good · 10 ran Held up in the pack - nudged for effort with 2f left - soon faded - finished well held in 10th 10/10 2¾ 9-6 6172A55A David Nolan 7/1
20 Aug 25+49d Carlisle David Allen IT Solutions Maiden Handicap Class 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran Settled towards the back early - made progress through the field 2f out - driven out to get up close home 1/9 9-13 5986B86A David Nolan 15/2
02 Jul 25+26d Thirsk Racing TV Club EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Class 5 · 8f · Good · 10 ran Held a middle position early - lost touch with the pace 2f out - stayed on to finish sixth 6/10 ¾ 9-8 —39A69A Connor Beasley 66/1
06 Jun 25+14d Thirsk Thomas Lord Restaurant A View To Dine For Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Class 5 · 7f · Good · 11 ran Settled off the pace in the pack - made progress inside the final furlong - finished without threatening the front rank 7/11 ½ 9-11 —40A63A David Nolan 12/1
23 May 25 Pontefract James & Kathie Clements Memorial Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran Settled at the rear - lost touch entering final furlong - stayed on without threatening for 4th 4/4 2½ 9-10 —87C66B Paul Mulrennan 18/1

Quick answers

How many races has Believe In Lies (IRE) won?
Believe In Lies (IRE) won 1 of 12 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 8.3%. Placed 4 times in total (33.3% of starts).
Who trains Believe In Lies (IRE)?
Believe In Lies (IRE) is trained by David & Nicola Barron, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 23 February 2026.
Who is Believe In Lies (IRE)'s sire?
Believe In Lies (IRE) is by Make Believe (GB) out of More Lies Ahead (IRE), whose sire is Intense Focus.
What is Believe In Lies (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 55, from the run on 23 February 2026. The highest on record is 61.
What is Believe In Lies (IRE)'s sire's record?
Make Believe (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,596 runs since Jan 2008 (297 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Believe In Lies (IRE)'s siblings?
Out of More Lies Ahead (IRE), Believe In Lies (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Mary Doll (IRE) (1). The wins came over 7f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from May 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.