William Pyle
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 240 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (115 rides).
The record is strongest at Musselburgh (15.1%, n=73), clear of the rider's 8.5% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.9% (n=115, Fair A/E 1.23), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.2% (n=136, Fair A/E 0.36). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 7.6% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.33 and +39.00 to a £1 stake over 172 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Craig Lidster supplies 21% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.8% vs 8.5%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (14.9%, n=114). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 31 rides, 8.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.18 across 52 rides (1.9% strike, −43.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Kats Bob (GB) — 5 wins from 26 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,283 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,283 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 September 2020 to 17 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is William Pyle's strike rate?
- William Pyle has won 103 of 1,210 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does William Pyle do best at?
- Musselburgh by strike rate: 11 wins from 73 rides (15.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does William Pyle ride most for?
- Craig Lidster, with 249 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (10.8%).
- Is William Pyle in form?
- In the last 14 days: 17 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.5% since 2022.
- What is William Pyle's Fair A/E?
- 0.85, from 1,207 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.