Lewis Chalkley
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.83). Rides mostly for Michael & David Easterby — 94% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (10.3%, n=39), clear of the rider's 6.6% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.62). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 6.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −81.75 to a £1 stake over 232 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Michael & David Easterby supplies 94% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7%, A/E 0.88). The rider also reads well on Good going (11.3%, n=62). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 3.2% over 31 rides, 3.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.57 across 84 rides (4.8% strike, −43.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2023→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 243 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 243 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 May 2023 to 8 August 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Lewis Chalkley's strike rate?
- Lewis Chalkley has won 16 of 243 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Lewis Chalkley do best at?
- Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 39 rides (10.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Lewis Chalkley ride most for?
- Michael & David Easterby, with 228 rides since 2022 — 94% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (7%).
- What is Lewis Chalkley's Fair A/E?
- 0.83, from 241 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.