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Horse profile

Believe The Storm (IRE)

5yo gelding · Trainer Charlie Fellowes · Owner Basher Watts Racing
by Make Believe (GB) out of Tranquil Storm (IRE) (Oasis Dream)
8 runs · 6 courses · from Dec 2024
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won at Wolverhampton (AW) Last run 25 Apr 2026 · 5th of 9 Last raced off OR 83
KTB Profile

Believe The Storm is 1 from 8 with the win coming at Class 5 level on Standard going at Wolverhampton over 6f-7f in Dec 2024. He has four places from eight starts overall. The gelding last ran at Southwell over 1m in Apr 2026 when fifth of nine off an official rating of 83. He has raced on turf twice without success.

Based on 8 archived runs · run-style from 8 commented runs since Dec 2024 · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Typically held up Win at Class 5
Official rating83↓ 5lb off peak
83 83–88

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 95 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Newcastle (AW), 21 Aug 2025

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 8 figures · best 106A · median 91
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)6104A911 run · —
Good to Soft1———
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
6f – 7f492B811 run · —
1m – 1m1f4106A99.5—

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 96A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Newcastle (AW), 21 Aug 2025 Official rating 83 at the last run, 25 Apr 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 8 figures · best 105A · median 93
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)6105A941 run · —
Good to Soft1———
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
6f – 7f4105A80.51 run · —
1m – 1m1f4101A95—

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 8 analysed runs since Dec 2024

  • Held up 5 (63%) · 1 win
  • Prominent 2 (25%) · 0 wins
  • Mid-division 1 (13%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 11% of 3,620 runs since Apr 2019 (298 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm5120%+9—
Good to Firm3424312.6%+1.6—
Good8739911.3%+0.30 from 1
Good to Soft4385612.8%+1.80 from 1
Soft7027210.3%−0.7—
Heavy276259.1%−1.9—
Standard (AW)98410410.6%−0.41 from 6
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f8178.6%−2.4—
6f – 7f8489511.2%+0.21 from 4
1m – 1m1f1,05310810.3%−0.70 from 4
1m2f – 1m4f7929411.9%+0.9—
1m5f – 2m5417113.1%+2.1—
2m1f – 2m4f232229.5%−1.5—
2m5f – 3m6323.2%−7.8—
Over 3m10110%−1—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2019 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Tranquil Storm (IRE) (Oasis Dream)

1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Pretty Lavish (IRE) (1 win).

The wins came over 1m½f.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Pretty Lavish (IRE)111m½f—

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 6 1 17% +1.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Good 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 5 2 1 50% +5.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 2 1 50% +5.00
Kempton (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00
Newcastle (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Yarmouth 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
6f – 7f 4 1 25% +3.00
1m – 1m1f 4 0 0% −4.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Lewis Edmunds 2 0 0% −2.00
Kieran Shoemark 2 1 50% +5.00
Daniel Muscutt 1 0 0% −1.00
Jack Mitchell 1 0 0% −1.00
Hector Crouch 1 0 0% −1.00
James Doyle 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 1 0 0% −1.00
2025 6 0 0% −6.00
2024 1 1 100% +6.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 1 run
25 Apr 26+217d Southwell (AW) Happy Retirement Stephen Gregory Handicap Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran Sat close to front pack early - driven for effort with two furlongs left - lost ground final furlong to finish fifth 5/9 3¼ 9-7 8390A81A Lewis Edmunds 7/2
2025 · 6 runs
20 Sep 25+30d Newbury Conundrum Consulting Handicap Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran sat in the pack early - urged forward with over two furlongs left - dropped away rapidly a furlong out to finish well held 9/11 4 9-4 8553A69A Lewis Edmunds 15/2
21 Aug 25+21d Newcastle (AW) Racing League Race 34 Handicap Class 3 · 1m · Standard · 14 ran Settled towards the back - pushed along with 2f left and made progress inside final furlong - flattened out close home finishing sixth 6/14 ½ 9-9 8795B96A Daniel Muscutt 15/2
31 Jul 25+28d Wolverhampton (AW) Racing League Race 13 Handicap Class 3 · 1m½f · Standard · 11 ran Slow to break - settled towards the back - progress made from 3f out - up into 4th with a furlong left - held on for the same effort late 4/11 ½ 9-10 8886A92A Jack Mitchell 9/2
03 Jul 25+22d Kempton (AW) Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (Div 2) Class 4 · 1m · Standard To Slow · 10 ran Sluggish start - settled towards rear - improved through the field 2f out - pushed into second inside final furlong - stayed on at one speed but no match for winner 2/10 1¼ 9-10 86104A101A Hector Crouch 3/1
11 Jun 25+21d Yarmouth Paul Corrigan Memorial Handicap Class 4 · 1m · Good · 7 ran Settled towards the back - closed strongly along the inner passing the furlong marker - kept battling to the line but denied by a whisker 2/7 hd 9-7 83106A94A James Doyle 11/2
21 May 25+163d Kempton (AW) Unibet Support Safer Gambling Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran Settled up with the pace early - tracking the front group 3f out - moved into second spot 2f out - pressed the winner in the closing stages - stayed on but unable to get closer - beaten into second 2/13 1¼ 10-4 —92B105A Kieran Shoemark 4/1
2024 · 1 run
09 Dec 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran Sluggish start - settled towards rear - progress made wide with a furlong left - closed strongly to hit front close home and win 1/10 9-5 —72A80A Kieran Shoemark 6/1

Quick answers

How many races has Believe The Storm won?
Believe The Storm (IRE) won 1 of 8 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 12.5%. Placed 4 times in total (50% of starts).
Who trains Believe The Storm?
Believe The Storm (IRE) is trained by Charlie Fellowes, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 25 April 2026.
Who is Believe The Storm's sire?
Believe The Storm (IRE) is by Make Believe (GB) out of Tranquil Storm (IRE), whose sire is Oasis Dream.
What going does Believe The Storm prefer?
Believe The Storm (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Believe The Storm's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 83, from the run on 25 April 2026. The highest on record is 88.
What is Believe The Storm's sire's record?
Make Believe (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11% of 3,620 runs since Apr 2019 (298 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Believe The Storm's siblings?
Out of Tranquil Storm (IRE), Believe The Storm (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Pretty Lavish (IRE) (1). The wins came over 1m½f. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from December 2024. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.