What is Charlie Fellowes's strike rate?

Charlie Fellowes has won 139 of 1,329 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Charlie Fellowes do best at?

Haydock by strike rate: 9 wins from 46 runners (19.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Charlie Fellowes?

Kieran Shoemark, with 201 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (11.9%).

Is Charlie Fellowes in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Charlie Fellowes's Fair A/E?

0.85, from 1,318 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Charlie Fellowes

1,329 runners in the last 5 seasons · 190 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 9.4% of 256 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 5 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

from 1 Jan 2022

139–1,329

Wins / Runs

10.5%

Strike rate

n=1,329

404 (30%)

Placed

0.85

Fair A/E

n=1,318 · 0.74 incl. margin

−463.34

£1 level stake

n=1,329 at SP · −34.9%

£3.08m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 270 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85). With a claiming rider up the record reads 12% (121 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,329 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep 32.4% when favourite Kieran Shoemark: 11.9% from 201 Claiming riders: 12.4% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Haydock (19.6%, n=46), clear of the yard's 10.5% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.1% (n=99, Fair A/E 0.72). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 7.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.63 and −67.89 to a £1 stake over 202 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Kieran Shoemark rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.9%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (15.6%, n=173). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 3.3% over 60 runners, 7.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 1: Fair A/E 0.72 across 99 runners (5.1% strike, −42.80 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Howden Challenge Cup at Ascot (Oct 2023, £92,772). The stable star of the record: Carolinae (GB) — 7 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.4%−3.1

n=202 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −67.89

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.5%+2.0

n=24 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −9.25

Debutants · first career start

7.8%−2.7

n=129 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −59.35

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.6%−2.9

n=92 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −37.13

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

17.4%+6.9

n=23 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +1.50

When favourite

32.4%

n=145 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −21.61

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.4%+1.9

n=121 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −27.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.1%−5.4

n=99 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −42.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Haydock 19.6% vs 10.5% · n=46

Over 1m5f – 2m 3.3% vs 10.5% · n=60

On Good to Firm going 15.6% vs 10.5% · n=173

With Rob Hornby 3% vs 10.5% · n=33

In Class 1 5.1% vs 10.5% · n=99

In Group / Graded races 5.1% vs 10.5% · n=99

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,321 139 10.5% −455.34

Hurdle 7 0 0% −7.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 586 62 10.6% −183.47

Good 267 17 6.4% −156.80

Good to Firm 173 27 15.6% −33.03

Good to Soft 139 14 10.1% −49.37

Soft 127 15 11.8% −35.05

Heavy 36 4 11.1% −4.62

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 159 16 10.1% −8.73

Wolverhampton (AW) 115 15 13% −16.90

Southwell (AW) 87 9 10.3% −40.04

Yarmouth 81 9 11.1% −27.38

Lingfield (AW) 75 6 8% −52.36

Chelmsford (AW) 75 10 13.3% −24.34

Newcastle (AW) 74 6 8.1% −40.10

Ascot 66 5 7.6% −20.25

Newbury 48 4 8.3% −7.00

Doncaster 47 7 14.9% −5.92

Haydock 46 9 19.6% −0.17

Newmarket 38 3 7.9% −15.50

Windsor 38 2 5.3% −21.50

Nottingham 38 4 10.5% −22.65

Chester 33 2 6.1% −21.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 429 52 12.1% −194.20

Class 4 354 41 11.6% −22.37

Class 2 158 12 7.6% −65.00

Class 6 146 13 8.9% −75.91

Class 3 140 16 11.4% −60.06

Class 1 99 5 5.1% −42.80

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 166 54 32.5% 1.03 −8.78

2nd–3rd fav 351 51 14.5% 0.82 −95.56

4th–6th fav 463 28 6% 0.75 −173.00

7th+ in betting 349 6 1.7% 0.50 −186.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Vadream (GB) 38 2 7 8 Nov 25

Holy Fire (GB) 30 2 9 30 Mar 26

Wynter Wildes (GB) 29 6 14 8 Jun 24

Gorak (FR)from Richard Fahey 28 2 9 23 Aug 25

Tan Rapido (GB) 20 3 10 3 Nov 26

Jersey Maverick (IRE)then Ben Haslam 20 1 5 9 Sep 26

Churchill Rose (IRE)then Arthur Goulding 19 2 3 2 Sep 24

Sense Of Reason (GB) 17 1 4 20 Oct 26

Fitz Perfectly (FR)then Danny Brooke 17 0 1 23 Aug 24

Bradman (GB)then Kevin Bishop 17 2 4 5 Jul 24

Power of Darkness (GB)from Marcus Tregoning 17 1 5 8 Dec 23

Superstorm (GB)then Hayley Burton 16 1 3 28 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 190 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Fahey (2); 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

27 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Appleby (2) and Michael Attwater (2); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 10

Only 10 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

817141078151416665

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKieran Shoemark

15% of all rides
11.9% SR · A/E 1.01

RiderRWSR£1

Kieran Shoemark 201 24 11.9% −25.95

Callum Shepherd 168 14 8.3% −81.06

Harry Davies 110 13 11.8% −30.53

Paddy Bradley 108 14 13% +15.32

Mikkel Mortensen 84 9 10.7% −23.30

Jamie Spencer 57 9 15.8% +6.08

Stevie Donohoe 42 3 7.1% −14.17

Callum Rodriguez 37 5 13.5% −15.98

Rob Hornby 33 1 3% −31.43

Daniel Muscutt 33 4 12.1% −13.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

359

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.89m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 41 wins

Atrium (GB) — Howden Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Oct 2023 · Class 2

£92,772

Marbaan (GB) — Japan Racing Association Vintage Stakes (Group 2) Goodwood · Jul 2022 · Group 2

£85,065

Thanks Be (GB) — Sandringham Stakes (Fillies' Handicap) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2019 · Class 2

£56,025

Notable horses

Carolinae (GB) Atrium (GB) Chiefofchiefs (GB) Wynter Wildes (GB) Mayfair Spirit (IRE) Buckland Beau (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bated Breath (GB) 16.7% · 10–60

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,169 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 855.

Churchill (IRE) 13.6% · 6–44

Progeny have won 11% of 4,841 runs since 2021 (462 horses).

Showcasing (GB) 7.3% · 3–41

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,640 runs since 2014 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Frankel (GB) 15% · 6–40

Progeny have won 18% of 7,531 runs since 2016 (880 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.

Brazen Beau (AUS) 5.3% · 2–38

Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,475 runs since 2019 (186 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.7% from 162. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 15.8% from 158.

Sioux Nation (USA) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 12.4% of 2,906 runs since 2022 (360 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.2% from 580. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.7% from 190.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,964 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,964 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 February 2014 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Cosi Bello (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 2nd 7/4F

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Tan Rapido (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 12/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Frumoasa (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 33/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Lightning Tiger (IRE)J: Tom Cannon CopyBet For Football Profit Boosts Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 100/30

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Miss Faithfull (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Cologne's 65 Preis Von Europa British Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 250/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Sydney Grace (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Irish Stallion Farms Ebf 'bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 40/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket China In Your Hand (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Irish Stallion Farms Ebf 'bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 28/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Treasurer (IRE)J: David Probert Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 1st 20/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Fort Mchenry (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser EBF Stallions Golden Horn Maiden Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only)Class 3 · 8.5f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 66/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Miss Guinevere (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 16/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Light Fingered (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 22/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Sense Of Reason (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Seadell Shops & Holiday Chalets Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 13/2

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sioux Moon (GB)J: Paddy Bradley bettingsites.co.uk Free Bets Offers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 17/2

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Maliqui (IRE)J: Harry Davies Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 28/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Ghisa (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser British Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 6/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Jazzy Blue (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 1st 3/1J

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Deluded (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley First Furnishings Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 13th 16/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Ribenska (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan First Furnishings Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 8/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Fort Mchenry (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Shape Engineering Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 4/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Sydney Grace (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 5th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 1 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Charlie Fellowes's strike rate?: Charlie Fellowes has won 139 of 1,329 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Charlie Fellowes do best at?: Haydock by strike rate: 9 wins from 46 runners (19.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Charlie Fellowes?: Kieran Shoemark, with 201 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (11.9%).
Is Charlie Fellowes in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Charlie Fellowes's Fair A/E?: 0.85, from 1,318 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.