Bellum Justum (IRE)
Bellum Justum is a gelding who has won three of 14 starts on turf, including the Group 2 Betfred Jockey Club Stakes at Newmarket in May 2025 off an official rating of 110. Both his wins at 1m2f – 1m4f came on good ground at Newmarket and Epsom Downs. He has two wins from five runs at Newmarket. Last raced off an official rating of 107, he finished 6 of 8 at Newmarket in the Boodles Handicap in May 2026.
- 3–14Wins / Runs
- 21.4%Strike rate
- 5 (35.7%)Placed
- +9.00£1 level staken=14 at SP
- 2.03Fair A/E n=14 · 1.79 incl. margin
- 112Highest OR
- 29dBetween runs (median)longest 301 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 98
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 6 | 98A | 90 | 1 run · — |
| Good | 5 | 98B | 93 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 97C | 92 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 10 | 98A | 93 | 2 runs · 94 / 78 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 94C | 76 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 14 figures from 14 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 7 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Prominent 3 (43%) · 0 wins
- Held up 3 (43%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 1 (14%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 15.7% of 9,972 runs since Jun 2013 (1,116 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on heavy going: 9.4% from 457. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | +1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,503 | 284 | 18.9% | +3.2 | 1 from 6 |
| Good | 2,647 | 421 | 15.9% | +0.2 | 2 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 1,243 | 206 | 16.6% | +0.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,535 | 188 | 12.2% | −3.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 457 | 43 | 9.4% | −6.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2,569 | 424 | 16.5% | +0.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | −1.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 774 | 113 | 14.6% | −1.1 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,108 | 337 | 16% | +0.3 | 1 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4,422 | 759 | 17.2% | +1.5 | 2 from 10 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,894 | 263 | 13.9% | −1.8 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 586 | 74 | 12.6% | −3.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 139 | 16 | 11.5% | −4.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | −1.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2013 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infinite Beauty (IRE) | 13 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.50 |
| Good | 5 | 2 | 40% | +11.50 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 9 | 2 | 22% | +7.50 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.50 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newmarket | 5 | 2 | 40% | +8.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 3 | 1 | 33% | +7.00 |
| Newbury | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ascot | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 10 | 2 | 20% | +6.50 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.50 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oisin Murphy | 8 | 3 | 38% | +15.00 |
| P J McDonald | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| James Doyle | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| David Probert | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 11 | 2 | 18% | +5.50 |
| Cheekpieces | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.50 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2025 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.50 |
| 2024 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +6.00 |
| 2023 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 02 May 26+14d | Newmarket | Boodles Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Handy in the pack early - pushed along with 3f left then dropped away 2f out - weakened late to finish sixth | 6/8 | nk | 10-0 | 107 | 62A | 87A | P J McDonald | 5/1 |
| 18 Apr 26+301d | Newbury | Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Sat close to pace early - pushed along with 2f left - lost ground final furlong - finished 5th | 5/6 | 5½ | 9-2 | 108 | 94A | 79B | Oisin Murphy | 6/1 |
| 2025 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 21 Jun 25+15d | Ascot | Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) Settled midfield early - short of space and moved left approaching 2f out with little response - dropped away inside final furlong to finish ninth | 9/12 | 1¼ | 9-3 | 112 | 98A | 79A | P J McDonald | 33/1 |
| 06 Jun 25+35d | Epsom Downs | Betfred Coronation Cup (Group 1) Held up towards the back - pushed along and lost touch from 3f out - well held at the finish | 6/7 | 12 | 9-2 | 112 | 87C | 83C | James Doyle | 33/1 |
| 02 May 25+20d | Newmarket | Betfred Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Held up eagerly in 3rd - roused approaching 3f out - moved into 2nd with 2f left - kept on well inside final furlong - hit front in the last 110 yards to win going away | 1/4 | 9-5 | 110 | 93C | 103B | Oisin Murphy | 11/2 | |
| 12 Apr 25+254d | Newbury | Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Held up towards rear - some improvement inside final furlong - unable to challenge - finished 5th | 5/7 | ½ | 9-2 | 110 | 91A | 87A | James Doyle | 5/1 |
| 2024 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 01 Aug 24+42d | Goodwood | John Pearce Racing Gordon Stakes (Group 3) Sat just behind pace-setter early - settled in third - pushed into second spot 2f out - battled hard inside the final furlong but couldn't quicken and held for second | 2/4 | nk | 9-3 | 109 | 93C | 100B | Oisin Murphy | 11/4 |
| 20 Jun 24+19d | Ascot | Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) | 3/12 | 1¾ | 9-2 | 104 | 87A | 100A | Oisin Murphy | 10/1 |
| 01 Jun 24+39d | Epsom Downs | Betfred Derby (Group 1) (British Champions Series) | 7/16 | 5 | 9-2 | 104 | 97C | 84A | Oisin Murphy | 16/1 |
| 23 Apr 24+208d | Epsom Downs | Betfred Blue Riband Trial (Listed) | 1/6 | 9-3 | 92 | 98B | 93B | Oisin Murphy | 9/1 | |
| 2023 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Sep 23+12d | Newmarket | British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes | 1/17 | 9-2 | 84 | 94C | 108A | Oisin Murphy | 11/2 | |
| 16 Sep 23+29d | Doncaster | British EBF 40th Anniversary Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Str) | 4/10 | 1½ | 9-7 | — | 67A | 86A | Oisin Murphy | 4/1C |
| 18 Aug 23+20d | Newmarket | Elite Universal British EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 2/7 | ½ | 9-7 | — | 76B | 91A | David Probert | 22/1 |
| 29 Jul 23 | Newmarket | British Stallion Studs Ebf Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 5/7 | ¾ | 9-7 | — | 62B | 56A | David Probert | 12/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Bellum Justum won?
- Bellum Justum (IRE) won 3 of 14 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 21.4%. Placed 5 times in total (35.7% of starts).
- Who trains Bellum Justum?
- Bellum Justum (IRE) is trained by Andrew Balding, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 2 May 2026.
- Who is Bellum Justum's sire?
- Bellum Justum (IRE) is by Sea The Stars (IRE) out of Natural Beauty (GB), whose sire is Oasis Dream.
- What going does Bellum Justum prefer?
- Bellum Justum (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Bellum Justum's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 107, from the run on 2 May 2026. The highest on record is 112.
- What is Bellum Justum's sire's record?
- Sea The Stars (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 15.7% of 9,972 runs since Jun 2013 (1,116 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on heavy going: 9.4% from 457. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
- Who are Bellum Justum's siblings?
- Out of Natural Beauty (GB), Bellum Justum (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.