4yo gelding · Trainer M D O'Callaghan· Owner Eleanora Kennedy
by Complexity (USA) out of Harlee Honey (USA) (Harlan's Holiday)
9 runs · 7 courses · from Jun 2024
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
2 wins · Goodwood & FairyhouseHeadgear returns LTOLast run 15 Aug 2026 · 10th of 12Last raced off OR 96
KTB Profile
Black Forza won two of nine starts, including the Group 2 Markel Richmond Stakes at Goodwood in Aug 2024. Both wins came at 6f – 7f on his first visit to the course, one on good to firm and one on good. The gelding has not won since Aug 2024 and finished 10 of 12 at Dundalk (AW) in Aug 2026 when last raced off OR 96, 9lb below his highest ever mark of 105. Headgear returned at that last run.
Based on 9 archived runs · run-style from 7 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating96↓ 9lb off peak
9696–105
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed108the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Dundalk (AW), 24 Oct 2025
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat 9 figures · best 113A · median 91
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
Good
4
91C
74
1 run · —
Standard (AW)
3
108B
101
1 run · —
Soft
1
—
—
—
Good to Firm
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
6f – 7f
6
113A
84.5
1 run · —
Under 6f
3
108B
101
1 run · —
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating90Athe best of the last 3 rated runs · Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 15 Aug 2026Official rating 96at the last run, 15 Aug 2026
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Flat 9 figures · best 97A · median 89
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
Good
4
97A
84.5
1 run · —
Standard (AW)
3
90A
89
1 run · —
Soft
1
—
—
—
Good to Firm
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
6f – 7f
6
97A
90.5
1 run · —
Under 6f
3
89A
87
1 run · —
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 7 analysed runs since Aug 2024
Held up6 (86%)· 1 win
Prominent1 (14%)· 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Complexity (USA)
Progeny in our archive have won 20% of 10 runs since Jan 2008 (2 horses). A small sample.
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Good to Firm
1
1
100%
+80
1 from 1
Good
4
1
25%
+5
1 from 4
Soft
1
0
0%
−20
0 from 1
Standard (AW)
4
0
0%
−20
0 from 3
Distance (all codes)
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Under 6f
3
0
0%
−20
0 from 3
6f – 7f
7
2
28.6%
+8.6
2 from 6
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Harlee Honey (USA) (Harlan's Holiday)
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Good
4
1
25%
+3.00
Standard (AW)
3
0
0%
−3.00
Soft
1
0
0%
−1.00
Good to Firm
1
1
100%
+9.00
Class
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Class 1
2
1
50%
+8.00
Course
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Dundalk (AW)
2
0
0%
−2.00
Curragh
2
0
0%
−2.00
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)
1
0
0%
−1.00
Naas
1
0
0%
−1.00
Newmarket
1
0
0%
−1.00
Goodwood
1
1
100%
+9.00
Fairyhouse
1
1
100%
+6.00
Distance
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
6f – 7f
6
2
33%
+11.00
Under 6f
3
0
0%
−3.00
Jockey
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Dylan Browne McMonagle
3
1
33%
+7.00
Colin Keane
2
0
0%
−2.00
Jamie Powell
1
0
0%
−1.00
Shane Foley
1
0
0%
−1.00
Seamie Heffernan
1
1
100%
+6.00
Gary Carroll
1
0
0%
−1.00
Headgear
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
None
5
2
40%
+12.00
Tongue tie
2
0
0%
−2.00
Tongue tie + cheekpieces
1
0
0%
−1.00
Tongue tie + blinkers
1
0
0%
−1.00
Season
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
2026
2
0
0%
−2.00
2025
3
0
0%
−3.00
2024
4
2
50%
+13.00
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Mourne Handicap6f · Standard · 12 ranHeld up towards the back - still 8th turning into the straight - driven and eased leftward with 2f left - unable to find more before the finish
Sole Power Sprint Stakes (Listed)5f · Good · 10 ranHeld up early - never involved in main dispatch - lost touch inside final 2f - well held at the finish
Bar One Racing Mercury Stakes (Group 3)5f · Standard · 14 ranHeld up at the back - driven with two out but made no dent on the leaders - stayed on same speed inside final furlong to finish 10th
Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 6f · Soft · 6 ranSettled towards the back - moved left approaching 2f out - pushed along inside final 2f - stayed on but never threatened up front
Markel Richmond Stakes (Group 2)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ranSettled towards the rear early - moved through nicely on the outside inside the final two furlongs - powered clear in the closing stages to win
Black Forza (USA) won 2 of 9 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 22.2%. Placed 2 times in total (22.2% of starts).
Who trains Black Forza?
Black Forza (USA) is trained by M D O'Callaghan, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 15 August 2026.
Who is Black Forza's sire?
Black Forza (USA) is by Complexity (USA) out of Harlee Honey (USA), whose sire is Harlan's Holiday.
What going does Black Forza prefer?
Black Forza (USA) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Black Forza's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 96, from the run on 15 August 2026. The highest on record is 105.
What is Black Forza's sire's record?
Complexity (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 20% of 10 runs since Jan 2008 (2 horses), Flat and jumps together. A small sample.
Black Forza (USA)·2–9·SR 22.2%
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