Bucking The Trend (GB)
Bucking The Trend (GB) is 6 from 18. Hasn't won since Oct 2016. Each win came on a first visit to the course. Last raced off a career-high mark of 132.
- 6–18Wins / Runs
- 33.3%Strike rate
- 8 (44.4%)Placed
- +20.62£1 level staken=18 at SP
- 2.10Fair A/E n=18 · 1.85 incl. margin
- 132Highest OR
- 47dBetween runs (median)longest 601 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 115
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 115B | 107 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 2 figures from 2 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.6% of 13,754 runs since Jan 2008 (1,148 horses).
Strongest on heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 13 | 0 | 0% | −12.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 529 | 60 | 11.3% | −1.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 4,498 | 525 | 11.7% | −0.9 | 1 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 3,053 | 359 | 11.8% | −0.8 | 2 from 2 |
| Soft | 3,760 | 493 | 13.1% | +0.5 | 2 from 8 |
| Heavy | 1,708 | 277 | 16.2% | +3.6 | 1 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 193 | 24 | 12.4% | −0.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −12.6 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 24 | 0 | 0% | −12.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 163 | 18 | 11% | −1.6 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3,979 | 522 | 13.1% | +0.5 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4,765 | 593 | 12.4% | −0.2 | 1 from 2 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3,817 | 479 | 12.5% | −0.1 | 5 from 14 |
| Over 3m | 1,004 | 126 | 12.5% | −0.1 | 0 from 1 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Ballyoliver (GB) (6 wins).
The wins came over 2m–3m2f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Ballyoliver (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballyoliver (GB) | 42 | 6 | 2m3f–3m2f | Class 3 |
| Tara Mac (GB) | 41 | 6 | 2m–2m6½f | Class 4 |
| Tara Mactwo (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Arfarf (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 8 | 2 | 25% | +2.62 |
| Good | 4 | 1 | 25% | +7.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 2 | 100% | +13.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 9 | 3 | 33% | +17.00 |
| Class 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 3 | 100% | +9.62 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fakenham | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 1 | 100% | +10.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fontwell | 1 | 1 | 100% | +8.00 |
| Huntingdon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.00 |
| Ffos Las | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 14 | 5 | 36% | +22.62 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.00 |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Johns | 9 | 3 | 33% | +10.62 |
| Richard Johnson | 4 | 2 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Michael Byrne | 2 | 1 | 50% | +7.00 |
| Aidan Coleman | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Dougie Costello | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 12 | 3 | 25% | +7.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 4 | 2 | 50% | +9.62 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2016 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +13.62 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2013 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +5.00 |
| 2012 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 10 | 3 | 30% | +12.62 |
| Hurdle | 7 | 3 | 43% | +9.00 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 28 Oct 17+391d | Cheltenham | Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle | 12/17 | 1¼ | 10-9 | 132 | 115B | 119A | Alan Johns | 33/1 |
| 2016 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 02 Oct 16+142d | Uttoxeter | Excloosive Events Handicap Hurdle | 1/8 | 11-4 | 125 | 99B | 123A | Alan Johns | 5/1 | |
| 13 May 16+24d | Aintree | Mr And Mrs A Handicap Chase | 2/11 | 9 | 9-12 | 130 | — | 122B | Alan Johns | 7/1 |
| 19 Apr 16+22d | Ludlow | H R Smith Group Ltd Handicap Chase | 1/11 | 11-5 | 122 | — | 140A | Alan Johns | 10/1 | |
| 28 Mar 16+15d | Fakenham | David Keith Memorial Handicap Chase | 4/7 | 6 | 11-7 | 124 | — | 119B | Alan Johns | 3/1 |
| 13 Mar 16+45d | Market Rasen | 32RedSport.com Handicap Chase | 1/4 | 11-7 | 115 | — | 136B | Alan Johns | 13/8J | |
| 28 Jan 16+47d | Fakenham | Wendling Handicap Chase | 4/8 | 22 | 11-4 | 122 | — | 92B | Alan Johns | 12/1 |
| 2015 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Dec 15+57d | Lingfield | J.A. Rattigan Plant Hire Handicap Chase (Qualifier For The Challenger Staying Chase Series Final) | PU/9 | — | 11-2 | 125 | — | — | Alan Johns | 4/1 |
| 16 Oct 15+601d | Fakenham | October Handicap Chase | 3/5 | 18 | 10-6 | 125 | — | 103B | Alan Johns | 8/1 |
| 2014 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 22 Feb 14+74d | Newcastle | Betfred Racing Follow Us On Facebook Novices' Chase | 2/4 | ½ | 11-4 | 132 | — | 129B | Dougie Costello | 7/2 |
| 2013 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Dec 13+56d | Fontwell | 32Red.com Novices' Limited Handicap Chase | 1/9 | 11-0 | 122 | — | 131A | Michael Byrne | 8/1 | |
| 15 Oct 13+214d | Huntingdon | Nyman Libson Paul 80th Anniversary Novices' Limited Handicap Chase | 4/8 | 2¾ | 11-5 | 122 | — | 111B | Richard Johnson | 11/4 |
| 15 Mar 13+36d | Cheltenham | Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Registered As The Spa Novices' Hurdle) (Grade 1) | 8/13 | 2¼ | 11-7 | 122 | — | 114C | Aidan Coleman | 100/1 |
| 07 Feb 13+41d | Doncaster | Eventmasters Corporate Hospitality Handicap Hurdle | 7/11 | 1 | 11-7 | 125 | — | 118A | Michael Byrne | 9/1 |
| 2012 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Dec 12+34d | Leicester | Old Year Novices' Hurdle | 1/7 | 11-5 | — | — | 135B | Richard Johnson | EvensF | |
| 24 Nov 12+23d | Ascot | Playboy Club London Novices' Hurdle | 5/8 | 8 | 11-3 | — | — | 116A | Aidan Coleman | 6/1 |
| 01 Nov 12+154d | Stratford | Warwickshire Christmas Fair Maiden Hurdle | 1/9 | 11-0 | — | — | 127A | Richard Johnson | 7/1 | |
| 31 May 12 | Ffos Las | Glyn Abbey Standard Open NH Flat Race | 2/8 | 7 | 10-12 | — | — | 118A | Richard Johnson | 2/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Bucking The Trend won?
- Bucking The Trend (GB) won 6 of 18 archived starts between 2012 and 2017, a strike rate of 33.3%. Placed 8 times in total (44.4% of starts).
- Who trained Bucking The Trend?
- Bucking The Trend (GB) was trained by Tim Vaughan on the most recent run on record, at Cheltenham on 28 October 2017.
- Who is Bucking The Trend's sire?
- Bucking The Trend (GB) is by Kayf Tara (GB) out of Macklette (IRE), whose sire is Buckskin.
- What going does Bucking The Trend prefer?
- Bucking The Trend (GB) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Bucking The Trend's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 132, from the run on 28 October 2017. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Bucking The Trend's sire's record?
- Kayf Tara (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.6% of 13,754 runs since Jan 2008 (1,148 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
- Who are Bucking The Trend's siblings?
- Out of Macklette (IRE), Bucking The Trend (GB) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Ballyoliver (GB) (6). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Ballyoliver (GB)). The wins came over 2m–3m2f. As at Nov 2026.