What is Michael Byrne's strike rate?

Michael Byrne has won 96 of 941 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Byrne do best at?

Ludlow by strike rate: 6 wins from 32 rides (18.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Michael Byrne ride most for?

Tim Vaughan, with 597 rides since 2008 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 61 (10.2%).

What is Michael Byrne's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 941 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Michael Byrne

941 rides in the lifetime window · 411 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jan 2016 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

96–941

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=941

242 (26%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=941 · 0.86 incl. margin

−361.05

£1 level stake

n=941 at SP · −38.4%

£589k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 130 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (116 rides). Rode mostly for Tim Vaughan — 63% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 941 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jul–Aug 41.8% when favourite Tim Vaughan: 10.2% from 597 LTO winners: 21.6% Claiming: 11.9% Rode the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ludlow (18.8%, n=32), clear of the rider's 10.2% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.6% (n=116, Fair A/E 1.12), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.8% (n=147, Fair A/E 1.18). Tim Vaughan supplied 63% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.2%, A/E 0.89). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (27.5%, n=40) and on Good to Firm going (19.8%, n=86). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 5% over 120 rides, 5.2pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Kempton Park Betdaq Silver Plate at Kempton (Mar 2014, £21,896). Seasonally, the rider fired Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9%−1.2

n=411 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −170.72

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.6%+11.4

n=116 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +8.26

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.6%−1.6

n=244 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −91.38

When favourite

41.8%

n=79 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +1.74

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.9%+1.7

n=578 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −131.84

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.8%−5.4

n=147 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −53.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.5%−5.7

n=22 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 27.5% vs 10.2% · n=40

On last-time-out winners 21.6% vs 10.2% · n=116

On Good to Firm going 19.8% vs 10.2% · n=86

With first-time headgear 0% vs 10.2% · n=35

At Ludlow 18.8% vs 10.2% · n=32

Off a 61-180-day break 5% vs 10.2% · n=120

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 630 55 8.7% −335.47

Chase 220 30 13.6% −36.20

NH Flat 90 11 12.2% +11.62

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 345 29 8.4% −130.96

Good to Soft 190 21 11.1% −38.00

Soft 188 17 9% −94.97

Heavy 123 10 8.1% −75.12

Good to Firm 86 17 19.8% −22.50

Standard (AW) 7 1 14.3% +0.50

Firm 2 1 50% +0.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ffos Las 90 9 10% −35.50

Uttoxeter 61 4 6.6% −44.22

Worcester 56 7 12.5% −20.98

Chepstow 54 5 9.3% −25.25

Stratford 50 4 8% −36.62

Newton Abbot 49 3 6.1% −37.87

Market Rasen 45 2 4.4% −33.50

Taunton 44 4 9.1% −22.50

Fontwell 41 6 14.6% −3.75

Southwell 33 2 6.1% −14.00

Ludlow 32 6 18.8% +33.50

Cheltenham 27 2 7.4% +2.00

Wincanton 27 2 7.4% −23.69

Hereford 22 1 4.5% −17.50

Exeter 20 3 15% −0.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 415 35 8.4% −213.59

Class 5 273 36 13.2% −70.44

Class 3 112 12 10.7% −34.14

Class 6 63 8 12.7% −20.38

Class 2 46 4 8.7% −19.50

Class 1 28 1 3.6% +1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 92 37 40.2% 1.18 +5.24

2nd–3rd fav 192 28 14.6% 0.84 −51.79

4th–6th fav 316 25 7.9% 1.06 −87.50

7th+ in betting 341 6 1.8% 0.61 −227.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.5% completed · 850 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 220 75% 13 1 39 0 2

Hurdle 630 85.1% 8 6 77 0 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Wings Of Smoke (IRE) 18 2 4 27 Aug 15

First Fandango (GB) 13 3 4 28 Jul 15

Johns Luck (IRE) 10 1 5 23 Nov 15

Carole's Destrier (GB) 10 4 6 17 Mar 15

Barton Heather (GB) 10 1 3 20 Dec 14

Take The Stand (IRE) 9 2 4 27 Jun 10

Experimentalist (GB) 8 0 3 28 Jul 15

Coronea Lilly (IRE) 8 1 2 30 Aug 14

Fairwood Massini (IRE) 8 4 7 10 Nov 13

Tara Warrior (IRE) 8 2 2 6 Oct 13

Chilbury Hill (IRE) 8 4 5 9 Sep 13

Makethedifference (IRE) 7 2 3 26 Dec 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 411 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

651496811161112138

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardTim Vaughan

63% of all rides
10.2% SR · A/E 0.89

TrainerRWSR£1

Tim Vaughan 597 61 10.2% −263.43

Neil Mulholland 149 21 14.1% −21.62

Peter Bowen 53 8 15.1% +40.87

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£589k

Prize money

2013

Best season · 29 wins

Carole's Destrier (GB) — Kempton Park Betdaq Silver Plate (Handicap Hurdle) Kempton · Mar 2014 · Class 2

£21,896

Big Time Billy (IRE) — John Smith's Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race (Listed) Aintree · Apr 2010 · Listed

£17,103

First Fandango (GB) — Bert Logan Your Go To Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle Musselburgh · Nov 2014 · Class 2

£16,245

Notable horses

Carole's Destrier (GB) Chilbury Hill (IRE) Fairwood Massini (IRE) First Fandango (GB) Paradise Expected (GB) Hopatina (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

King's Theatre (IRE) 5.9% · 2–34

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Beneficial (GB) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Kayf Tara (GB) 20.8% · 5–24

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Midnight Legend (GB) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,309 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 14.3% · 3–21

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Dr Massini (IRE) 20% · 4–20

Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 941 · newest first

The latest 50 of 941 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 February 2010 to 9 January 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Jan 16 Chepstow Nabhan (GB)T: Bernard Llewellyn coral.co.uk Future Champions Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1)Class 1 · 16f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 50/1

01 Jan 16 Fakenham Beau Knight (GB)T: Alexandra Dunn Fakenham Racecourse Annual Members Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 14/1

01 Jan 16 Fakenham Craftybird (GB)T: Denis Quinn Cool Roxy Bar For Private Functions Selling HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 6 ran PU 50/1

30 Dec 15 Taunton Up The Junction (GB)T: Tim Vaughan Bet Totequadpot Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 100/1

30 Dec 15 Taunton Normandy King (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan Bet Toteplacepot Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 7th 20/1

29 Dec 15 Newbury Ashford Wood (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan Betfred Tv Novices' Limited Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 22.5f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 40/1

26 Dec 15 Fontwell Molly Oscar (IRE)T: Johnny Farrelly Southern Cranes Access Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Heavy · 6 ran PU 7/1

26 Dec 15 Fontwell Tara Mac (GB)T: Tim Vaughan Selftrade Mobile Investing Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Heavy · 6 ran PU 8/1

26 Dec 15 Fontwell Makethedifference (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan Winterfields Farm Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 17.5f · Heavy · 9 ran F 11/2

26 Dec 15 Fontwell Georgies Pip (GB)T: Brendan Powell Selftrade Stock And Shares Isa Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Heavy · 4 ran 3rd 33/1

16 Dec 15 Ludlow Officer Hoolihan (GB)T: Tim Vaughan Tanners Claret Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 14f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 14/1

16 Dec 15 Ludlow Bonvilston Boy (GB)T: Tim Vaughan Tanners Cava 'national Hunt' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 16 ran 8th 250/1

14 Dec 15 Ffos Las Nabhan (GB)T: Bernard Llewellyn Celtic Energy Juvenile Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 5 ran 2nd 6/1

11 Dec 15 Doncaster Dalaki (IRE)T: D Donovan betdaq.com 25 Free Bet Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 15th 100/1

05 Dec 15 Aintree Buachaill Alainn (IRE)T: Peter Bowen Betfred Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (National Course)Class 1 · 26f · Soft · 17 ran PU 25/1

04 Dec 15 Exeter Tara Mac (GB)T: Tim Vaughan 188bet Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 14/1

02 Dec 15 Ludlow Benability (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan Shukers Landrover Of Ludlow Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran PU 10/1

28 Nov 15 Doncaster Oskar's Eva (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan Betdaq.com 50 Games Bonus Mares' 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 40/1

28 Nov 15 Doncaster Normandy King (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan Ebf Stallions Betdaq.com 2% Commission 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 11 ran 10th 100/1

26 Nov 15 Taunton Lake Chapala (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan County Gazette - 'The Favourite For News' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Byrne's strike rate?: Michael Byrne has won 96 of 941 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Byrne do best at?: Ludlow by strike rate: 6 wins from 32 rides (18.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Michael Byrne ride most for?: Tim Vaughan, with 597 rides since 2008 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 61 (10.2%).
What is Michael Byrne's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 941 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.