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Horse profile

Cape Fear (GB)

3yo colt · Trainer Andrew Balding · Owner Kingsclere Racing Club
by Kameko (USA) out of Cape Spirit (IRE) (Cape Cross)
11 runs · 10 courses · from Oct 2025
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
2 wins · Windsor & Lingfield Beaten favourite LTO Last run 30 Sep 2026 · 2nd of 10 Last raced off OR 85
KTB Profile

Cape Fear is 2 from 11 with eight places, both wins at Class 4 level over 1m2f – 1m4f. He won the Gatwick Kia PV5 Restricted Novice Stakes at Lingfield on good ground in Jun 2026 and the Play The Free £20,000 Matchbook Match 6 Handicap Stakes at Windsor on good to firm in Aug 2026. Ridden prominently, he finished second of 10 as beaten favourite at Kempton (AW) in Sep 2026 when last raced off his career-high mark of 85.

Based on 11 archived runs · run-style from 10 commented runs since Oct 2025 · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Typically prominent All wins at Class 4 OR at career high
Official rating85At career-high mark
85 77–85

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 144 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Windsor, 24 Aug 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 11 figures · best 144B · median 98
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
Good to Firm6144B915 runs · 144 / 94
Good4102A98.54 runs · 102 / 98.5
Standard (AW)1——1 run · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f10144B98.510 runs · 144 / 98.5
1m – 1m1f1———

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 8 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 89A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Kempton (AW), 30 Sep 2026 Official rating 85 at the last run, 30 Sep 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 11 figures · best 89A · median 81
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
Good to Firm688A775 runs · 88 / 81
Good482A81.54 runs · 82 / 81.5
Standard (AW)1——1 run · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f1089A81.510 runs · 89 / 81.5
1m – 1m1f1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 10 analysed runs since Oct 2025

  • Prominent 7 (70%) · 1 win
  • Led 1 (10%) · 0 wins
  • Mid-division 1 (10%) · 1 win
  • Held up 1 (10%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Kameko (USA)

Progeny in our archive have won 9.8% of 993 runs since Apr 2024 (134 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm7114.3%+4.5—
Good to Firm2262511.1%+1.31 from 6
Good2392711.3%+1.51 from 4
Good to Soft9699.4%−0.4—
Soft62711.3%+1.5—
Heavy20210%+0.2—
Standard (AW)343267.6%−2.20 from 1
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f751013.3%+3.5—
6f – 7f389287.2%−2.6—
1m – 1m1f2853110.9%+1.10 from 1
1m2f – 1m4f1741910.9%+1.12 from 10
1m5f – 2m56814.3%+4.5—
2m1f – 2m4f1417.1%−2.7—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2024 · as at 1 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Cape Spirit (IRE) (Cape Cross)

4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Topkapi (GB) (1 win).

The wins came over 1m3½f–2m; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Topkapi (GB)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Topkapi (GB)212mClass 5
City Spirit (GB)711m3½fClass 6
Casual Encounter (GB)120——
Spirit Level (GB)90——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good to Firm 6 1 17% −3.00
Good 4 1 25% −2.33
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 10 2 20% −5.33
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Windsor 2 1 50% +1.00
Kempton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Ascot 1 0 0% −1.00
Chester 1 0 0% −1.00
Newmarket 1 0 0% −1.00
Lingfield 1 1 100% +0.67
Redcar 1 0 0% −1.00
Beverley 1 0 0% −1.00
Bath 1 0 0% −1.00
Brighton 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f 10 2 20% −5.33
1m – 1m1f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Oisin Murphy 4 1 25% −1.00
Jason Watson 3 0 0% −3.00
P J McDonald 2 0 0% −2.00
Callum Hutchinson 1 1 100% +0.67
Rob Hornby 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 7 1 14% −5.33
Cheekpieces 4 1 25% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 10 2 20% −5.33
2025 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 10 runs
30 Sep 26+25d Kempton (AW) Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race) Class 4 · 1m3f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran Prominent early - edged in front over 1f out and dug in under pressure - collared late on and held off by a short margin - second 2/10 nk 9-6 85112A89A Oisin Murphy 5/2F
05 Sep 26+12d Ascot TOTE.CO.UK Money Back 2nd Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) Class 2 · 1m4f · Good To Firm · 9 ran Set the early pace - lost top spot but stayed close after 2f - driven up to challenge inside final furlong - hit the front briefly - lost that advantage close home and faded quickly 5/9 nk 8-9 85122A86A Jason Watson 22/1
24 Aug 26+22d Windsor Play The Free £20,000 Matchbook Match 6 Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Class 4 · 1m3½f · Good To Firm · 7 ran Settled mid-pack early - made ground three out and asked for effort two out - hit the front approaching the final furlong drifting right under pressure - sprinted away close home to score 1/7 9-0 77144B88A Oisin Murphy 2/1F
02 Aug 26+22d Chester Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) Class 4 · 1m2½f · Good · 9 ran Settled off the front runners early - moved through to challenge approaching halfway and travelling strongly with 3f left - pushed along and stayed on at one speed from the final furlong to finish second 2/9 5½ 9-7 7898B82A Oisin Murphy 9/4
11 Jul 26+23d Newmarket HKJC World Pool Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Class 4 · 1m4f · Good To Firm · 5 ran close up early - went to the front 3f out - driven and passed 2f out - faded 1f out 3/5 18 8-11 7868C56C Oisin Murphy 5/6F
18 Jun 26+23d Lingfield Gatwick Kia PV5 Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 1m3½f · Good · 7 ran Settled close up early - hit the front with over 2f left and edged off a straight line - given a squeeze for effort - kept finding more to the finish - won with plenty in hand 1/7 9-2 78102A81B Callum Hutchinson 4/6F
26 May 26+15d Redcar Watch Irish Racing On Racing TV Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 1m2f · Good To Firm · 6 ran Close up early - hit front 4f out - driven approaching 2f out - urged 1f out - overtaken inside final furlong - couldn't find more finishing second 2/6 ¾ 9-0 7894A81B P J McDonald 10/11F
11 May 26+18d Windsor Fitzdares Telephone & Text Betting Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 1m2f · Good To Firm · 13 ran Pulled hard early - settled handy behind the pace - pressed for effort 3f out - closed on front-runners approaching the final furlong - then unable to sustain the effort late finishing third 3/13 5½ 9-1 7888C73A Jason Watson 10/3
23 Apr 26+18d Beverley Book Attraction Restaurant Online Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 1m2f · Good · 8 ran Handy in the early running - hit front over 2f out - drifted towards the far rail inside final furlong - stayed on well - caught right on the line to finish second 2/8 ½ 9-7 —86A82A P J McDonald 5/4F
05 Apr 26+171d Bath DroneArt Show May 8th & 9th Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 1m2f · Good · 8 ran Sat just behind the front pair - asked for effort into second approaching 2f out - unable to match winner's turn of foot - edged out of the frame late to finish third 3/8 shd 8-11 —99A76A Rob Hornby 7/1
2025 · 1 run
16 Oct 25 Brighton Star Sports EBF 'Confined' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 1m · Good To Firm · 7 ran Dwelt start - settled towards back - made progress moving right 2f out - couldn't challenge and flattened out late 5/7 hd 9-4 —73A63A Jason Watson 16/1

Quick answers

How many races has Cape Fear won?
Cape Fear (GB) won 2 of 11 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 18.2%. Placed 8 times in total (72.7% of starts).
Who trains Cape Fear?
Cape Fear (GB) is trained by Andrew Balding, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 30 September 2026.
Who is Cape Fear's sire?
Cape Fear (GB) is by Kameko (USA) out of Cape Spirit (IRE), whose sire is Cape Cross.
What going does Cape Fear prefer?
Cape Fear (GB) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Cape Fear's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 85, from the run on 30 September 2026. That is also the highest on record.
What is Cape Fear's sire's record?
Kameko (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.8% of 993 runs since Apr 2024 (134 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Cape Fear's siblings?
Out of Cape Spirit (IRE), Cape Fear (GB) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Topkapi (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Topkapi (GB)). The wins came over 1m3½f–2m. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from October 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.