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Horse profile

Carmel Valley (IRE)

3yo filly · Trainer Katie Scott · Owner Lamont Racing
by Raven's Pass (USA) out of Que Sera Sera (GB) (Dansili)
10 runs · 6 courses · from Oct 2025
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won last time out Won at Newcastle (AW) Last run 12 Oct 2026 · 1st of 11 Last raced off OR 59
KTB Profile

Carmel Valley is 1 from 10 with the win at Class 5 level. The filly scored at Newcastle (AW) in Oct 2026 in a fillies handicap over 1m – 1m1f on standard going when last raced off an official rating of 59. All three runs at 1m – 1m1f have produced that sole success while she is 0 from 7 at 6f – 7f. She is 0 from 9 on turf.

Based on 10 archived runs · run-style from 9 commented runs since Oct 2025 · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Won on AW, 0 on turf Win at Class 5
Official rating59↓ 5lb off peak
59 59–64

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 90 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Newcastle (AW), 12 Oct 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 10 figures · best 103C · median 65.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
Soft365C633 runs · 65 / 63
Good386B663 runs · 86 / 66
Standard (AW)1——1 run · —
Good to Soft1——1 run · —
Good to Firm1——1 run · —
Heavy1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
6f – 7f7103C656 runs · 103 / 69
1m – 1m1f390A663 runs · 90 / 66

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 10 runs · as at 20 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 83A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Newcastle (AW), 12 Oct 2026 Official rating 59 at the last run, 12 Oct 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 10 figures · best 83A · median 64
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
Soft366A553 runs · 66 / 55
Good370A573 runs · 70 / 57
Standard (AW)1——1 run · —
Good to Soft1——1 run · —
Good to Firm1——1 run · —
Heavy1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
6f – 7f767A646 runs · 67 / 60.5
1m – 1m1f383A703 runs · 83 / 70

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 10 runs · as at 20 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 9 analysed runs since Oct 2025

  • Mid-division 3 (33%) · 0 wins
  • Led 3 (33%) · 0 wins
  • Held up 2 (22%) · 0 wins
  • Prominent 1 (11%) · 1 win

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Raven's Pass (USA)

Progeny in our archive have won 11.2% of 4,939 runs since May 2012 (453 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm15320%+8.8—
Good to Firm7128912.5%+1.30 from 1
Good1,1201079.6%−1.60 from 3
Good to Soft5566812.2%+10 from 1
Soft6747110.5%−0.70 from 3
Heavy235208.5%−2.70 from 1
Standard (AW)1,62719612%+0.81 from 1
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f2502811.2%0—
6f – 7f1,55219112.3%+1.10 from 7
1m – 1m1f1,34515011.2%01 from 3
1m2f – 1m4f1,03211511.1%−0.1—
1m5f – 2m481469.6%−1.6—
2m1f – 2m4f215198.8%−2.4—
2m5f – 3m5747%−4.2—
Over 3m7114.3%+3.1—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since May 2012 · as at 31 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Que Sera Sera (GB) (Dansili)

3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Raw Ability (IRE) (1 win).

The wins came over 6f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Mid Day Rush (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Raw Ability (IRE)111m—
Mid Day Rush (IRE)1616fClass 6
Mallons Spirit (IRE)50——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Good 3 0 0% −3.00
Standard (AW) 1 1 100% +22.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 1 1 100% +22.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Ayr 5 0 0% −5.00
Newcastle (AW) 1 1 100% +22.00
Musselburgh 1 0 0% −1.00
Leopardstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Limerick 1 0 0% −1.00
Curragh 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
6f – 7f 7 0 0% −7.00
1m – 1m1f 3 1 33% +20.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Jason Hart 3 1 33% +20.00
Joanna Mason 2 0 0% −2.00
Nathan Crosse 2 0 0% −2.00
Cam Hardie 1 0 0% −1.00
Oisin McSweeney 1 0 0% −1.00
Scott McCullagh 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 9 1 11% +14.00
2025 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 9 runs
12 Oct 26+25d Newcastle (AW) Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap Stakes Class 5 · 1m · Standard · 11 ran Raced close to the pace - moved up smoothly to hit the front 2f out - stayed strong final furlong to win 1/11 9-0 5990A83A Jason Hart 22/1
17 Sep 26+24d Ayr Ladbrokes 'Get Racing Bet Builder Winnings Boosts' Handicap Stakes Class 6 · 7f · Soft · 14 ran Fought for control early - up with pace before being pushed along and slipping back 2f out - faded quickly to finish well held 12/14 ¾ 9-6 6142C44C Joanna Mason 16/1
24 Aug 26+14d Musselburgh Ina And Ella MacGregor Handicap Stakes Class 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran Held up in the pack early - driven to close on the front group with a furlong left - lost momentum inside the last 110yds - finished 8th 8/10 1½ 8-5 6286B52A Cam Hardie 28/1
10 Aug 26+14d Ayr Ladbrokes 'Big Daily Boosts On Racing' Handicap Stakes Class 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran Set the pace early - driven out and drifted left approaching the furlong marker - lost the advantage inside the final 110 yards and dropped away to finish seventh 7/12 hd 9-8 6373A67A Jason Hart 4/1
27 Jul 26+21d Ayr Ladbrokes 'Big Daily Boosts On Racing' Handicap Stakes Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 5 ran set the pace - driven over 1f out - overtaken inside final 110yds with nothing more towards finish 3/5 1 8-11 64103C64B Jason Hart 12/1
06 Jul 26+17d Ayr Try Racing TV For Free Now Handicap Class 6 · 1m · Good · 10 ran Set the pace - roused 1f out - challenged in the final furlong and overtaken near the finish 2/10 ½ 9-6 6266A70A Joanna Mason 22/1
19 Jun 26+40d Ayr Outcider Handicap Class 6 · 1m · Soft · 9 ran Settled mid-pack - pushed along with a furlong left - unable to close the gap - finished seventh 7/9 1¼ 9-8 6363A55A Oisin McSweeney 17/2
10 May 26+15d Leopardstown FITZ AGRIPLANT Maiden 7f · Good · 9 ran Slow to break from the gates - settled towards the back pulling hard - 8th at halfway - urged into 7th with 2f left - driven approaching the final furlong but unable to close - finished well beaten in 6th 6/9 2½ 9-3 —65A57A Nathan Crosse 17/2
25 Apr 26+203d Limerick Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden 7f · Yielding · 13 ran Held up in the pack - pushed along and edged into 9th with a furlong and a half left - stayed on same gait to finish 7th 7/13 1¼ 9-3 —65C66A Scott McCullagh 28/1
2025 · 1 run
04 Oct 25 Curragh Bermingham Cameras Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden 7f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran Held up towards the back - still down in 8th with 3f left before nudging into contention inside the final furlong - lost momentum in 7th close home 7/13 1¾ 9-2 —65C64A Nathan Crosse 33/1

Quick answers

How many races has Carmel Valley won?
Carmel Valley (IRE) won 1 of 10 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 10%. Placed 2 times in total (20% of starts).
Who trains Carmel Valley?
Carmel Valley (IRE) is trained by Katie Scott, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 12 October 2026.
Who is Carmel Valley's sire?
Carmel Valley (IRE) is by Raven's Pass (USA) out of Que Sera Sera (GB), whose sire is Dansili.
What is Carmel Valley's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 59, from the run on 12 October 2026. The highest on record is 64.
What is Carmel Valley's sire's record?
Raven's Pass (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.2% of 4,939 runs since May 2012 (453 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Carmel Valley's siblings?
Out of Que Sera Sera (GB), Carmel Valley (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Raw Ability (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Mid Day Rush (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from October 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.