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Jockey profile

Scott McCullagh

701 rides in the last 5 seasons · 426 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 23 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
from 1 Jan 2022
49–701
Wins / Runs
7%
Strike rate
n=701
161 (23%)
Placed
0.97
Fair A/E
n=701 · 0.78 incl. margin
−218.98
£1 level stake
n=701 at SP · −31.2%
£881k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.3%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 140 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (45 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 701 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.3% 20% when favourite Mrs J. Harrington: 7.4% from 204 LTO winners: 13.3% Group/Graded: 10.9% Rides the favourite in 5% of races
The read

It is weakest at Galway (0% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.3% (n=45, Fair A/E 1.04). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −242.51 to a £1 stake over 415 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mrs J. Harrington supplies 29% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.4%, A/E 0.86). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (15.2%, n=33) and at trips under 6f (13.5%, n=37). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the XIN GIN Irish EBF Brownstown Stakes at Leopardstown (Jul 2026, £42,000). The standout partner of the record: Aurora Princess (IRE) — 5 wins from 14 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.1%−1.9
n=415 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −242.51
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
13.3%+6.3
n=45 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +2.08
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.3%+0.3
n=124 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −47.25
When favourite
20%
n=35 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −12.63
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.5%−0.5
n=368 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −169.35
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.4%−1.6
n=349 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −180.92
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10.9%+3.9
n=46 · A/E 2.00 · £1 +80.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 15.2% vs 7% · n=33
With debutants 0% vs 7% · n=53
At Galway 0% vs 7% · n=35
With new recruits 0% vs 7% · n=31
On last-time-out winners 13.3% vs 7% · n=45
At trips under 6f 13.5% vs 7% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 269 22 8.2% −59.47
Soft 187 9 4.8% −42.00
Standard (AW) 130 11 8.5% −74.59
Heavy 51 3 5.9% −17.17
Good to Soft 50 3 6% −14.50
Good to Firm 14 1 7.1% −11.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 126 11 8.7% −70.59
Curragh 92 4 4.3% −51.00
Leopardstown 55 3 5.5% −20.00
Gowran Park 51 5 9.8% +50.50
Navan 42 3 7.1% −30.25
Cork 37 2 5.4% +1.50
Galway 35 0 0% −35.00
Limerick 33 4 12.1% +13.75
Fairyhouse 30 3 10% −7.17
Naas 28 1 3.6% −7.00
Roscommon 26 0 0% −26.00
Killarney 23 4 17.4% +6.33
Down Royal 22 4 18.2% +11.62
Listowel 17 1 5.9% −8.00
Tipperary 16 1 6.3% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 46 5 10.9% +80.50
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 41 8 19.5% 0.77 −14.63
2nd–3rd fav 107 19 17.8% 1.21 −10.85
4th–6th fav 183 14 7.7% 1.00 −50.00
7th+ in betting 370 8 2.2% 0.76 −143.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Run The Jewels (IRE) 9 2 3 13 Jul 24
Aurora Princess (IRE) 8 2 3 3 Aug 22
Brewel Hill (IRE) 6 1 3 16 Sep 26
James Henry (IRE) 6 2 4 27 Sep 24
Butterfly Garden (IRE) 6 0 2 29 Nov 23
L'un Deux Trois (IRE) 6 1 2 18 Oct 23
Harry's Hill (GB) 6 3 4 7 Oct 23
Shona Mea (IRE) 6 1 3 18 Jun 23
Fox Fearless (GB) 6 1 2 25 Aug 22
Collective Power (IRE) 6 1 5 28 May 22
Gerrit's Gem (IRE) 5 1 1 9 Aug 26
Carthusian (IRE) 5 0 1 7 Jul 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 426 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1187103107672157
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardMrs J. Harrington
29% of all rides
7.4% SR · A/E 0.86
TrainerRWSR£1
Mrs J. Harrington 204 15 7.4% −68.34
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 61 5 8.2% −18.88
Daniel McLoughlin 58 4 6.9% +37.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
99
Archived wins
5
Pattern / graded wins
£1.41m
Prize money
2019
Best season · 19 wins
Duckadilly (IRE) — XIN GIN Irish EBF Brownstown Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 3) Leopardstown · Jul 2026 · Group 3
£42,000
Syzygy (GB) — Denny Cordell Lavarack & Lanwades Stud Fillies Stakes (Group 3) Gowran Park (IRE) · Sep 2026 · Group 3
£42,000
Starford (IRE) — Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Alleged Stakes (Group 3) Curragh · Apr 2026 · Group 3
£41,230
Notable horses
Aurora Princess (IRE) Irish Acclaim (IRE) Harry's Hill (GB) Iconic Belle (GB) Family Fortunes (GB) Run The Jewels (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mastercraftsman (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,636 runs since 2008 (842 horses).
Camelot (GB) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,709 runs since 2008 (756 horses).
Kodiac (GB) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,582 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Lope De Vega (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,206 runs since 2008 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.
Awtaad (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,877 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.7% from 104. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.5% from 608. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.1% from 114.
Profitable (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,436 runs since 2008 (358 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,372 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,372 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 December 2016 to 9 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Farmerspolish (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Irish EBF Median Sires Series (C & G) Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 33/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Purple Bandit (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 5th 14/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Thrifty Of Digby (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap8f · Yielding · 9 ran 7th 16/1
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Saliba (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Gleneagle Killarney Median Auction Maiden8f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 4/1
29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Surpass And Shine (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn WTW Willis Handicap6f · Soft · 19 ran 10th 33/1
29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Motta Alta (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap6f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 9/2
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Uxmal (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch17f · Heavy · 30 ran SU 66/1
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Warrawood (GB)T: Daniel McLoughlin Izuzu Ireland Irish EBF Maiden9f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 66/1
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Silk Twist (IRE)T: Thomas Mullins Army Equitation Centenary Irish EBF Maiden7f · Heavy · 13 ran 7th 150/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Kindergarten (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Rated Race7f · Yielding · 9 ran 5th 50/1
21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Place Your Regrets (IRE)T: S M Duffy Eric Browne Memorial Maiden12f · Yielding · 11 ran 11th 500/1
21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Royal Bones (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Liam & Joan Healy Memorial Handicap9f · Yielding · 13 ran 12th 7/2
19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Syzygy (GB)T: Daniel McLoughlin Denny Cordell Lavarack & Lanwades Stud Fillies Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 9.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 1st 80/1
19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Kilconnell (GB)T: Daniel McLoughlin Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 10th 150/1
18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Drummond Hill (GB)T: Mrs J. Harrington Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Maiden10.5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 50/1
18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Arrowstock (IRE)T: Daniel McLoughlin Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 11/1
16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Brewel Hill (IRE)T: Peter McCreery Camida Winning Solution Handicap10f · Yielding · 14 ran 10th 20/1
15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Glamazon (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (Div II)9f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 17/2
15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Swing Street (GB)T: Richard John O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden9f · Good · 14 ran 9th 300/1
15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Heliogabalus (IRE)T: Sean Byrne Punchestown Jumps Opener October 13th Handicap8f · Good · 14 ran 13th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 7 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Scott McCullagh's strike rate?
Scott McCullagh has won 49 of 701 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Scott McCullagh do best at?
Limerick by strike rate: 4 wins from 33 rides (12.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Scott McCullagh ride most for?
Mrs J. Harrington, with 204 rides since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (7.4%).
What is Scott McCullagh's Fair A/E?
0.97, from 701 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).