What is Oisin McSweeney's strike rate?

Oisin McSweeney has won 103 of 1,048 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Oisin McSweeney do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 6 wins from 31 rides (19.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Oisin McSweeney ride most for?

Adrian Keatley, with 142 rides since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (14.8%).

Is Oisin McSweeney in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Oisin McSweeney's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 1,046 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Oisin McSweeney

1,048 rides in the last 5 seasons · 609 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 7 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2022

103–1,048

Wins / Runs

9.8%

Strike rate

n=1,048

284 (27%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=1,046 · 0.87 incl. margin

−342.88

£1 level stake

n=1,048 at SP · −32.7%

£1.19m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 210 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (118 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,048 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 34.5% when favourite Adrian Keatley: 14.8% from 142 LTO winners: 19.5% Claiming: 10.9% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (19.4%, n=31), clear of the rider's 9.8% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.5% (n=118, Fair A/E 1.20), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.4% (n=149, Fair A/E 0.71). Adrian Keatley supplies 14% of the rides and beats the rider's average (14.8% vs 9.8%, A/E 1.42) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (24.5%, n=53) and at trips under 6f (16.3%, n=196). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.1% over 48 rides, 7.7pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Pat Smullen Mercury Stakes at Dundalk (AW) (Oct 2023, £32,450). Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.6%−1.2

n=594 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −232.90

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.5%+9.7

n=118 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −21.77

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.4%−4.4

n=149 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −70.51

When favourite

34.5%

n=87 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +12.39

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10.9%+1.1

n=616 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −126.47

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.9%−3.9

n=222 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −104.12

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16.7%+6.9

n=12 · A/E 3.29 · £1 +27.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 24.5% vs 9.8% · n=53

On last-time-out winners 19.5% vs 9.8% · n=118

At trips under 6f 16.3% vs 9.8% · n=196

At Hamilton 19.4% vs 9.8% · n=31

Off a break of 180+ days 2.1% vs 9.8% · n=48

With Julie Camacho 16.7% vs 9.8% · n=60

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 405 46 11.4% −89.21

Good 249 23 9.2% −76.76

Good to Firm 155 17 11% −47.02

Soft 97 8 8.2% −33.84

Good to Soft 94 7 7.4% −54.43

Heavy 48 2 4.2% −41.62

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 159 16 10.1% −54.50

Dundalk (AW) 109 16 14.7% +39.46

Doncaster 64 2 3.1% −49.00

Southwell (AW) 60 4 6.7% −47.34

Wolverhampton (AW) 54 5 9.3% −29.50

Redcar 53 5 9.4% −29.25

Thirsk 51 3 5.9% −35.42

Ayr 42 7 16.7% −4.68

York 36 2 5.6% −14.50

Catterick 36 6 16.7% +16.75

Ripon 35 3 8.6% −10.00

Musselburgh 31 3 9.7% −12.75

Haydock 31 3 9.7% +2.50

Hamilton 31 6 19.4% −2.09

Pontefract 30 5 16.7% +0.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 245 21 8.6% −103.78

Class 6 242 29 12% −67.71

Class 4 214 27 12.6% −65.30

Class 3 76 4 5.3% −48.38

Class 2 58 3 5.2% −17.00

Class 1 12 2 16.7% +27.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 101 30 29.7% 1.17 −1.61

2nd–3rd fav 219 39 17.8% 1.08 −43.27

4th–6th fav 318 23 7.2% 0.91 −89.00

7th+ in betting 410 11 2.7% 0.85 −209.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Another Baar (GB) 16 4 8 26 Sep 26

Yanifer (GB) 13 3 6 22 Sep 26

Dun Na Sead (IRE) 12 4 7 19 May 24

Roberto Caro (IRE) 11 1 4 16 Apr 26

Eeh Bah Gum (IRE) 11 3 5 17 Oct 24

Berkshire Phantom (IRE) 9 1 2 13 Apr 26

True Promise (GB) 7 0 3 1 Aug 26

Shaladar (FR) 7 1 4 23 Oct 25

Flying Finn (IRE) 7 1 1 18 Sep 25

May Blossom (GB) 7 1 3 10 Jul 25

Rathbone (GB) 7 1 1 18 Oct 22

Wobwobwob (IRE) 6 0 2 21 Aug 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 609 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

916164471014157137

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardAdrian Keatley

14% of all rides
14.8% SR · A/E 1.42

TrainerRWSR£1

Adrian Keatley 142 21 14.8% −41.78

Kevin Ryan 131 19 14.5% +12.45

Richard Fahey 80 5 6.3% −33.50

Julie Camacho 60 10 16.7% +5.00

Luke Comer 43 1 2.3% −30.00

Roger Fell 41 3 7.3% −24.00

Fionn McSharry 39 1 2.6% −36.25

Kieran P Cotter 35 4 11.4% +0.16

Daniel James Murphy 33 5 15.2% +5.80

Harriet Bethell 32 5 15.6% −4.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

126

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.36m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 28 wins

Dun Na Sead (IRE) — Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Pat Smullen Mercury Stakes (Group 3) Dundalk (AW) · Oct 2023 · Group 3

£32,450

Chairmanfourtimes (IRE) — British EBF Stallions Harry Rosebery Stakes (Listed) Ayr · Sep 2025 · Listed

£20,132

Flying Finn (IRE) — Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap Haydock · Sep 2024 · Class 2

£19,585

Notable horses

Another Baar (GB) Dun Na Sead (IRE) Yanifer (GB) Eeh Bah Gum (IRE) Masque Of Anarchy (IRE) Aisling Oscar (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 16.3% · 7–43

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Mayson (GB) 19% · 8–42

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,395 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Kodiac (GB) 6.7% · 2–30

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 17.2% · 5–29

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,234 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,200.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 8% · 2–25

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,875 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Cotai Glory (GB) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 11.5% of 3,971 runs since 2021 (391 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.7% from 1,433. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 429.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,216 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,216 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 July 2019 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Blazing Son (GB)T: Bryan Smart Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 10/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Secret Guest (GB)T: Bryan Smart Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 9/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh West Sleekburn Lad (GB)T: Peter Niven Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 12.5f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 10/1

31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Abu Royal (IRE)T: L J Morgan Arc All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 66/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Tiriac (GB)T: Paul Midgley Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 9/2

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Nether Clova (IRE)T: Peter Niven All-weather Championship Is Back Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 100/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mr Moonshine (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 11/4F

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Up The Jazz (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey All-Weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 22/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Bleep Test (GB)T: Tim Easterby Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 18/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Taaklam (IRE)T: Harriet Bethell Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 11th 11/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Beale Street (GB)T: Bryan Smart Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 13 ran 7th 20/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Stanley Spencer (IRE)T: Fionn McSharry Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 12/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Dontelimurnamepike (GB)T: Ruth Jefferson bettingsites.co.uk For Fast Withdrawals Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 100/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Aurelune (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 12/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) North Star Kodi (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey bettingsites.co.uk Free Bets Offers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 20/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Taaklam (IRE)T: Harriet Bethell bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 14/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Espresso Breeze (GB)T: Bryan Smart Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 150/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Milteye (GB)T: Harriet Bethell M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 50/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock On The River (GB)T: Harriet Bethell M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 2nd 16/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Tiriac (GB)T: Paul Midgley Join Racing TV Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 6th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 6 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Oisin McSweeney's strike rate?: Oisin McSweeney has won 103 of 1,048 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Oisin McSweeney do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 6 wins from 31 rides (19.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Oisin McSweeney ride most for?: Adrian Keatley, with 142 rides since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (14.8%).
Is Oisin McSweeney in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Oisin McSweeney's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 1,046 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.