What is Katie Scott's strike rate?

Katie Scott has won 79 of 1,105 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Katie Scott do best at?

Catterick by strike rate: 8 wins from 51 runners (15.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Katie Scott?

Jason Hart, with 164 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (11%).

Is Katie Scott in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Katie Scott's Fair A/E?

0.79, from 1,100 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Katie Scott

1,105 runners in the last 5 seasons · 91 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 3.6% of 225 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 93% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

79–1,105

Wins / Runs

7.1%

Strike rate

n=1,105

286 (26%)

Placed

0.79

Fair A/E

n=1,100 · 0.68 incl. margin

−333.37

£1 level stake

n=1,105 at SP · −30.2%

£1.16m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 220 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.79).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,105 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 20% when favourite Jason Hart: 11% from 164 New recruits: 8% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Catterick (15.7%, n=51), clear of the yard's 7.1% baseline. It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (1.2% over 85 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.57 and −151.55 to a £1 stake over 215 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jason Hart rides 15% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11% vs 7.1%, A/E 0.96). The yard also reads well in Class 2 (17.5%, n=40). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 48 runners, 7.1pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Win With Zyn 3yo 'Dash' Handicap at Epsom Downs (Jun 2026, £38,655). The stable star of the record: Gweedore (GB) — 13 wins from 66 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.1%−3.0

n=121 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −78.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

8%+0.9

n=50 · A/E 1.82 · £1 +79.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−7.1

n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.3%+3.2

n=29 · A/E 1.79 · £1 +25.62

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.7%+1.6

n=23 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −7.75

When favourite

20%

n=80 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −32.48

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.1%−2.0

n=215 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −151.55

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.6%−1.5

n=18 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 2 17.5% vs 7.1% · n=40

At Catterick 15.7% vs 7.1% · n=51

Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 7.1% · n=48

With Greg Fairley 0% vs 7.1% · n=41

At Wolverhampton (AW) 1.2% vs 7.1% · n=85

On last-time-out winners 13% vs 7.1% · n=77

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,025 78 7.6% −287.37

Hurdle 57 1 1.8% −23.00

Chase 17 0 0% −17.00

NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 412 21 5.1% −200.00

Good 263 26 9.9% −5.57

Good to Soft 163 11 6.7% −98.50

Soft 122 10 8.2% −58.92

Good to Firm 117 10 8.5% +49.62

Heavy 28 1 3.6% −20.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 279 16 5.7% −137.00

Ayr 156 14 9% +44.75

Musselburgh 114 8 7% −77.42

Hamilton 106 8 7.5% −56.25

Wolverhampton (AW) 85 1 1.2% −70.00

Carlisle 68 3 4.4% −40.88

Catterick 51 8 15.7% +26.48

Southwell (AW) 44 4 9.1% +11.00

York 29 2 6.9% −21.30

Redcar 27 4 14.8% +42.08

Thirsk 22 0 0% −22.00

Haydock 21 3 14.3% −5.50

Kelso 18 1 5.6% +16.00

Hexham 13 0 0% −13.00

Perth 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 581 40 6.9% −73.88

Class 5 271 16 5.9% −171.72

Class 4 152 10 6.6% −97.22

Class 3 43 5 11.6% +10.75

Class 2 40 7 17.5% +7.70

Class 1 18 1 5.6% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 96 20 20.8% 0.81 −29.98

2nd–3rd fav 205 24 11.7% 0.72 −84.89

4th–6th fav 362 23 6.4% 0.79 −53.50

7th+ in betting 442 12 2.7% 0.90 −165.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rockley Point (GB)from Paul D'Arcy 64 2 21 25 Mar 25

Concert Boy (IRE)from David O'Meara 53 4 25 30 Sep 26

Gweedore (GB)from Jason Ward 44 7 18 19 Sep 26

Curious Rover (IRE) 41 5 17 16 Oct 26

Slainte Mhath (GB) 33 5 15 4 Sep 24

Falaise Blanc (FR) 32 1 11 12 Oct 26

Sacred Falls (IRE) 30 3 13 18 Aug 25

Jackmeister Rudi (GB)from David Evans 29 1 3 12 Jun 24

Noble Captain (GB)from Stuart Williams 27 2 8 21 Jan 25

Nellie French (IRE) 27 3 10 16 Dec 23

Elladora (GB)then Micky Hammond 27 3 12 24 Sep 23

Epidavros (IRE)from David Loughnane 26 2 10 20 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 91 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 35 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Archie Watson (2) and David Loughnane (2); 25 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

486109510106655

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJason Hart

15% of all rides
11% SR · A/E 0.96

RiderRWSR£1

Jason Hart 164 18 11% +43.88

Phil Dennis 156 14 9% −54.00

Sam James 137 9 6.6% −29.02

William Pyle 86 6 7% −56.05

Greg Fairley 41 0 0% −41.00

Joanna Mason 32 3 9.4% −11.25

Ryan Sexton 31 0 0% −31.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

111

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.37m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 20 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Naana's Shadow (IRE) — Win With Zyn 3yo 'Dash' Handicap Epsom Downs · Jun 2026 · Class 2

£38,655

Naana's Shadow (IRE) — Prix Du Petit Couvert (Group 3) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2026 · Group 3

£36,600

Naana's Shadow (IRE) — Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dash Handicap York · Jun 2026 · Class 2

£33,501

Notable horses

Gweedore (GB) Rockley Point (GB) Luna A Inbhir Nis (GB) Nellie French (IRE) Curious Rover (IRE) Slainte Mhath (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Canford Cliffs (IRE) 3.1% · 2–64

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,091 runs since 2008 (314 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 263.

The Irish Rover (IRE) 9.4% · 6–64

Progeny have won 8.1% of 173 runs since 2008 (15 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 6.8% · 4–59

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,538 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Epaulette (AUS) 15.9% · 7–44

Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,066 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.

Ardad (IRE) 2.5% · 1–40

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,508 runs since 2008 (350 horses).

Dark Angel (IRE) 8.8% · 3–34

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,878 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,678 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,678 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 May 2007 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Auntie Jo (GB)J: Sean Dylan Bowen Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 18/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Gressington (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott All-Weather Championships Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 7/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Figjam (IRE)J: Tony Piccone Prix De Saint-cyr7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 15th 40/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Curious Rover (IRE)J: William Pyle Northumbria Leisure For Jukeboxes Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 33/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Black Storm (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 25/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Carmel Valley (IRE)J: Jason Hart Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 22/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Falaise Blanc (FR)J: Zak Wheatley Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 40/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Archangel Josepi (IRE)J: Sam James Musselburgh Members Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 66/1

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Luna A Inbhir Nis (GB)J: Ray Dawson Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines (Group 1)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 11th 66/1

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Naana's Shadow (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines (Group 1)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 7/2F

03 Oct 26 Redcar Curious Rover (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Watch Race Replays On Racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good · 13 ran 10th 40/1

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Aurora Valkyrie (IRE)J: Sam James H. Malone & Sons 100th Anniversary Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 20/1

01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Gressington (IRE)J: Jason Hart Follow @attheraces On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 9/2

01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Cotai Starlight (IRE)J: Jason Hart Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 5/1

01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) D Flawless (IRE)J: Jason Hart Download The Raceday Ready App Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 17/2

30 Sep 26 Musselburgh Falaise Blanc (FR)J: Jason Hart Join Racing Tv Now Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 7/4F

30 Sep 26 Catterick Black Storm (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Bet At racingtv.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 9th 9/1

30 Sep 26 Musselburgh Concert Boy (IRE)J: Sam James Invades Day Party Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 33/1

30 Sep 26 Musselburgh Just For Monty (GB)J: Jason Hart British Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 3 ran 3rd 50/1

28 Sep 26 Hamilton Or Another (IRE)J: Jason Hart Rotary Club East Kilbride Nursery Selling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Katie Scott's strike rate?: Katie Scott has won 79 of 1,105 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Katie Scott do best at?: Catterick by strike rate: 8 wins from 51 runners (15.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Katie Scott?: Jason Hart, with 164 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (11%).
Is Katie Scott in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Katie Scott's Fair A/E?: 0.79, from 1,100 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.