Chanceiton (IRE)
Chanceiton (IRE) is 4 from 26, all wins coming at Class 4 level. Hasn't won since Oct 2019. Last raced off 100, 9lb below the career-high mark.
- 4–26Wins / Runs
- 15.4%Strike rate
- 11 (42.3%)Placed
- −9.63£1 level staken=26 at SP
- 1.23Fair A/E n=26 · 1.06 incl. margin
- 109Highest OR
- 84dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 96
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 10 | 117B | 97.5 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 126C | 97.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 10 | 116A | 97.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 4 | 126C | 109 | — |
Of 22 runs looked at, 8 have no figure: did not complete (3) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (3) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 14 figures from 22 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 3,061 runs since Jan 2008 (236 horses).
Weakest on good to firm going: 7.8% from 166.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +88.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 166 | 13 | 7.8% | −3.5 | — |
| Good | 1,130 | 134 | 11.9% | +0.6 | 2 from 14 |
| Good to Soft | 432 | 45 | 10.4% | −0.9 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 856 | 95 | 11.1% | −0.2 | 1 from 4 |
| Heavy | 453 | 57 | 12.6% | +1.3 | 1 from 5 |
| Standard (AW) | 23 | 2 | 8.7% | −2.6 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 31 | 4 | 12.9% | +1.6 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 715 | 84 | 11.7% | +0.4 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,050 | 125 | 11.9% | +0.6 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,018 | 100 | 9.8% | −1.5 | 2 from 16 |
| Over 3m | 242 | 34 | 14% | +2.7 | 2 from 5 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 14 | 2 | 14% | −5.75 |
| Heavy | 5 | 1 | 20% | +0.50 |
| Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.38 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 17 | 4 | 24% | −0.63 |
| Class 5 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hexham | 8 | 1 | 13% | −3.00 |
| Perth | 6 | 1 | 17% | −0.50 |
| Kelso | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.25 |
| Ayr | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cartmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sedgefield | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clonmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 16 | 2 | 13% | −5.50 |
| Over 3m | 5 | 2 | 40% | +0.87 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mr Cameron Wadge | 8 | 1 | 13% | −2.50 |
| Thomas Willmott | 7 | 2 | 29% | +1.25 |
| Patrick Wadge | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Grant Cockburn | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Blair Campbell | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Miss L A Hourigan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| M P Fogarty | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ian McCarthy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr Finian Maguire | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 23 | 4 | 17% | −6.63 |
| None | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2019 | 7 | 3 | 43% | +6.12 |
| 2018 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −5.75 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 13 | 2 | 15% | −7.13 |
| Chase | 11 | 2 | 18% | −0.50 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Chanceiton won?
- Chanceiton (IRE) won 4 of 26 archived starts between 2015 and 2021, a strike rate of 15.4%. Placed 11 times in total (42.3% of starts).
- Who trained Chanceiton?
- Chanceiton (IRE) was trained by Lucinda Russell on the most recent run on record, at Cartmel on 29 May 2021.
- Who is Chanceiton's sire?
- Chanceiton (IRE) is by Vinnie Roe (IRE) out of Lissnabrucka (IRE), whose sire is Lord Americo.
- What going does Chanceiton prefer?
- Chanceiton (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Chanceiton's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 100, from the run on 29 May 2021. The highest on record is 109.
- What is Chanceiton's sire's record?
- Vinnie Roe (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 3,061 runs since Jan 2008 (236 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on good to firm going: 7.8% from 166.