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Jockey profile

Thomas Willmott

229 rides in the last 5 seasons · 109 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Feb 2023 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2022
18–229
Wins / Runs
7.9%
Strike rate
n=229
62 (27%)
Placed
0.96
Fair A/E
n=229 · 0.83 incl. margin
+14.50
£1 level stake
n=229 at SP · +6.3%
£258k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
18.2%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). Rides mostly for Sue Smith — 49% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 229 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Sue Smith: 12.5% from 112 Claiming: 8.5%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.9% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.37). Sue Smith supplies 49% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.5% vs 7.9%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Soft going (12.8%, n=47) and off a 15-30-day break (11.8%, n=76). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 1.1% over 89 rides, 6.8pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.4%−4.5
n=89 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −78.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−7.9
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
1.9%−6.0
n=53 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
28.6%
n=14 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −2.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.5%+0.6
n=201 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +38.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
13.6%+5.7
n=22 · A/E 2.48 · £1 +10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 4 1.1% vs 7.9% · n=89
With Sue Smith 12.5% vs 7.9% · n=112
On first rides for the horse 3.4% vs 7.9% · n=89
On Soft going 12.8% vs 7.9% · n=47
Off a 15-30-day break 11.8% vs 7.9% · n=76
Off a 61-180-day break 3.2% vs 7.9% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 153 13 8.5% +67.50
Chase 63 5 7.9% −40.00
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 96 5 5.2% −18.00
Good to Soft 67 5 7.5% +18.50
Soft 47 6 12.8% +17.00
Heavy 18 2 11.1% −2.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Hexham 28 2 7.1% −20.50
Catterick 23 7 30.4% +84.50
Market Rasen 21 0 0% −21.00
Sedgefield 19 1 5.3% −13.00
Wetherby 18 0 0% −18.00
Ayr 17 0 0% −17.00
Kelso 17 2 11.8% −4.50
Carlisle 16 1 6.3% −9.00
Newcastle 12 0 0% −12.00
Southwell 10 0 0% −10.00
Perth 8 0 0% −8.00
Doncaster 8 1 12.5% +9.00
Haydock 7 2 28.6% +19.00
Cartmel 7 1 14.3% +2.00
Uttoxeter 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 107 10 9.3% +12.00
Class 4 89 1 1.1% −77.00
Class 3 19 4 21.1% +13.00
Class 2 14 3 21.4% +66.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 4 23.5% 0.91 −5.00
2nd–3rd fav 37 6 16.2% 1.04 −2.50
4th–6th fav 80 4 5% 0.71 −35.00
7th+ in betting 95 4 4.2% 1.39 +57.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.4% completed · 216 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 63 84.1% 2 3 5 0 0
Hurdle 153 81.7% 2 0 25 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Romeo Brown (GB) 11 3 5 27 Jan 23
Jessiemac (IRE) 8 1 3 4 Nov 22
Treshnish (FR) 7 1 5 29 Dec 22
Myburg (IRE) 7 2 5 11 Nov 22
Dan Gun (IRE) 7 1 2 21 Sep 22
Derracrin (GB) 6 0 1 2 Oct 22
Tumbling Dice (GB) 6 1 1 31 Jul 22
Doors Breaker (FR) 6 0 2 13 Jul 22
Ribeye (GB) 5 0 1 25 Jan 23
Small Present (IRE) 5 1 2 26 Dec 22
Kauto D'amour (FR) 5 0 3 28 Sep 22
North Parade (IRE) 4 0 1 3 Feb 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 109 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1513715100000055
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardSue Smith
49% of all rides
12.5% SR · A/E 1.21
TrainerRWSR£1
Sue Smith 112 14 12.5% +112.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
48
Archived wins
£526k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 14 wins
Romeo Brown (GB) — Pertemps Network Long Distance Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Haydock · May 2022 · Class 2
£26,015
Romeo Brown (GB) — BoyleSports Extra Places Daily Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Aintree · Dec 2022 · Class 2
£21,853
Well Above Par (IRE) — IJF Wishing Well Handicap Chase Kelso · Nov 2019 · Class 3
£18,584
Notable horses
Romeo Brown (GB) Rivabodiva (IRE) Lowanbehold (IRE) Vengeur De Guye (FR) Well Above Par (IRE) Myburg (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Yeats (IRE) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.
Sageburg (IRE) 26.7% · 4–15
Progeny have won 10% of 3,472 runs since 2008 (414 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.4% from 293. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.3% from 353.
Lucarno (USA) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,189 runs since 2008 (140 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.9% from 116.
Schiaparelli (GER) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 12% of 1,827 runs since 2008 (203 horses).
Sholokhov (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,260 runs since 2008 (420 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.
Gold Away (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,477 runs since 2008 (206 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.6% from 328. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 177.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 606 · newest first

The latest 50 of 606 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 May 2017 to 3 February 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Feb 23 Catterick North Parade (IRE)T: Sue Smith Join Racing TV Now Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 7 ran UR 4/1
03 Feb 23 Catterick Prairie Wolf (IRE)T: Sue Smith Racing To School Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 14 ran 1st 6/4F
29 Jan 23 Sedgefield Edgar Allan Poe (IRE)T: Sue Smith Free Tips Daily On Attheraces.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 17/2
29 Jan 23 Sedgefield Darsi's Darling (IRE)T: Sue Smith MW Paving And Groundworks Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 25/1
27 Jan 23 Huntingdon It's Maisy (IRE)T: Sue Smith Pertemps Network Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 100/1
27 Jan 23 Huntingdon Romeo Brown (GB)T: Sue Smith Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 25f · Good To Soft · 12 ran RO 16/1
26 Jan 23 Wetherby Dee Day Landing (GB)T: Mark Weatherer Try Racing TV For Free Now EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 17 ran PU 200/1
26 Jan 23 Wetherby Red Ochre (GB)T: Chris Grant racingtv.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 16 ran 2nd 100/1
26 Jan 23 Wetherby Kaphumor (FR)T: Sue Smith racingtv.com/freemonth Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 5/1
25 Jan 23 Catterick Ribeye (GB)T: Peter Atkinson Watch RacingTV Free For 31 Days Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 16/1
25 Jan 23 Catterick Parelliroc (GB)T: Sue Smith Start Your RacingTV Free Trial Now Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 15 ran 6th 16/1
15 Jan 23 Kelso To The Limit (IRE)T: Stuart Coltherd Kelso Annual Members Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Heavy · 4 ran 1st 3/1
15 Jan 23 Kelso Pipers Cross (IRE)T: Sandy Forster William Hill Bookmakers Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 50/1
15 Jan 23 Kelso Dunnottar Castle (GB)T: Jackie Stephen Visitkelso.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 28/1
12 Jan 23 Catterick Prairie Wolf (IRE)T: Sue Smith Racing Again 25th January Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 2nd 5/2
12 Jan 23 Catterick Cerendipity (IRE)T: Sue Smith EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 11/1
09 Jan 23 Ayr Fortcanyon (IRE)T: Sandy Forster Watch Live On Racing TV Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 8 ran PU 11/1
09 Jan 23 Ayr Moonacura (IRE)T: Stuart Coltherd racingtv.com Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 7/1
07 Jan 23 Newcastle Chumlee (IRE)T: Sandy Forster Join The Bet Club At Vickers.Bet Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 150/1
01 Jan 23 Catterick Edgar Allan Poe (IRE)T: Sue Smith Racing Again 12th January Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Thomas Willmott's strike rate?
Thomas Willmott has won 18 of 229 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Thomas Willmott ride most for?
Sue Smith, with 112 rides since 2022 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (12.5%).
What is Thomas Willmott's Fair A/E?
0.96, from 229 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).