Croco Bay (IRE)
Croco Bay (IRE) is 7 from 45, including a Grade 3 win. The biggest win we hold: the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2019). Hasn't won since Mar 2019. Last raced off 142, 9lb below the career-high mark.
- 7–45Wins / Runs
- 15.6%Strike rate
- 17 (37.8%)Placed
- +61.50£1 level staken=45 at SP
- 1.77Fair A/E n=45 · 1.56 incl. margin
- 151Highest OR
- 31dBetween runs (median)longest 501 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 89
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 107C | 89 | — |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 83A | 57.5 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 29A | 22 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 8 | 107C | 60 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 63C | 56.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 14 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: did not complete (2) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 14 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9% of 723 runs since Jan 2008 (74 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 5.8% from 120.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 0 | 0% | −9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 72 | 5 | 6.9% | −2.1 | 1 from 3 |
| Good | 227 | 25 | 11% | +2 | 3 from 18 |
| Good to Soft | 107 | 9 | 8.4% | −0.6 | 1 from 12 |
| Soft | 174 | 19 | 10.9% | +1.9 | 2 from 8 |
| Heavy | 120 | 7 | 5.8% | −3.2 | 0 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 18 | 0 | 0% | −9 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −9 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −9 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | +2.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 58 | 5 | 8.6% | −0.4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 245 | 19 | 7.8% | −1.2 | 3 from 24 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 227 | 27 | 11.9% | +2.9 | 4 from 20 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 136 | 9 | 6.6% | −2.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Over 3m | 34 | 3 | 8.8% | −0.2 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Thistle Do Nicely (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 1m5½f–2m4f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Thistle Do Nicely (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thistle Do Nicely (IRE) | 16 | 4 | 1m5½f–2m4f | Class 3 |
| Second Intention (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Iona Lad (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Leading Ewe On (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 18 | 3 | 17% | −0.50 |
| Good to Soft | 12 | 1 | 8% | +55.00 |
| Soft | 8 | 2 | 25% | +11.00 |
| Heavy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 14 | 2 | 14% | +2.00 |
| Class 1 | 10 | 1 | 10% | +57.00 |
| Class 4 | 8 | 1 | 13% | +0.50 |
| Class 3 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +9.00 |
| Class 6 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 9 | 1 | 11% | +58.00 |
| Kelso | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.00 |
| Catterick | 4 | 1 | 25% | +6.00 |
| Newcastle | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Worcester | 3 | 1 | 33% | +4.00 |
| Ascot | 3 | 1 | 33% | +6.00 |
| Aintree | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Sedgefield | 3 | 1 | 33% | +5.50 |
| Southwell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.00 |
| Punchestown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Wincanton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 24 | 3 | 13% | +60.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 20 | 4 | 20% | +2.50 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kielan Woods | 20 | 2 | 10% | +56.00 |
| Daryl Jacob | 6 | 1 | 17% | +1.00 |
| Richie McGrath | 6 | 1 | 17% | −4.00 |
| Harry Challoner | 5 | 2 | 40% | +13.50 |
| Bryan Carver | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Richard Johnson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tony Kelly | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| James Reveley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Henry Brooke | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brian Hughes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Keith Mercer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 36 | 6 | 17% | +3.50 |
| Cheekpieces | 9 | 1 | 11% | +58.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2019 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +64.00 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2016 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −2.00 |
| 2015 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2014 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +4.00 |
| 2013 | 10 | 3 | 30% | +11.50 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 32 | 5 | 16% | +63.00 |
| Hurdle | 10 | 2 | 20% | +1.50 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Croco Bay won?
- Croco Bay (IRE) won 7 of 45 archived starts between 2011 and 2020, a strike rate of 15.6%. Placed 17 times in total (37.8% of starts).
- Who trained Croco Bay?
- Croco Bay (IRE) was trained by Ben Case on the most recent run on record, at Southwell on 10 August 2020.
- Who is Croco Bay's sire?
- Croco Bay (IRE) is by Croco Rouge (IRE) out of April Thistle (IRE), whose sire is Alphabatim.
- What going does Croco Bay prefer?
- Croco Bay (IRE) has the best record on good to firm going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Croco Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 142, from the run on 10 August 2020. The highest on record is 151.
- What is Croco Bay's sire's record?
- Croco Rouge (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9% of 723 runs since Jan 2008 (74 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 5.8% from 120.
- Who are Croco Bay's siblings?
- Out of April Thistle (IRE), Croco Bay (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Thistle Do Nicely (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Thistle Do Nicely (IRE)). The wins came over 1m5½f–2m4f. As at Nov 2026.