What is Ben Case's strike rate?

Ben Case has won 53 of 573 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ben Case do best at?

Fakenham by strike rate: 6 wins from 37 runners (16.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ben Case?

Jack Quinlan, with 182 runners since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (9.9%).

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ben Case's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 572 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ben Case

573 runners in the last 5 seasons · 53 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 92% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

53–573

Wins / Runs

9.2%

Strike rate

n=573

144 (25%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=572 · 0.80 incl. margin

−199.65

£1 level stake

n=573 at SP · −34.8%

£699k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.92). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 11% off breaks of two months or more (109 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 573 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 11% 30% when favourite Jack Quinlan: 9.9% from 182 Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Fakenham (16.2%, n=37) and Uttoxeter (15.8%, n=38) — all clear of the yard's 9.2% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 4.8% (n=104, Fair A/E 0.61). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 11% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.29 and +12.50 to a £1 stake over 109 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Jack Quinlan rides 32% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.9%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 42 runners, 9.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.66 across 115 runners (4.3% strike, −60.17 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2019, £61,897). The stable star of the record: Graceful Legend (GB) — 7 wins from 29 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11%+1.8

n=109 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +12.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

22.2%+13.0

n=9 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −3.34

Debutants · first career start

0%−9.2

n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−9.2

n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

20%+10.8

n=15 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −1.34

When favourite

30%

n=30 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −1.43

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.8%−4.4

n=104 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −79.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14.3%+5.1

n=7 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In NH Flat races 0% vs 9.2% · n=42

In Class 2 0% vs 9.2% · n=37

With Harry Bannister 14.9% vs 9.2% · n=161

At Fakenham 16.2% vs 9.2% · n=37

At Uttoxeter 15.8% vs 9.2% · n=38

Over 1m5f – 2m 4.3% vs 9.2% · n=115

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 252 25 9.9% −63.06

Chase 236 25 10.6% −97.09

Flat 43 3 7% +2.50

NH Flat 42 0 0% −42.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 219 22 10% −57.14

Good to Soft 168 10 6% −106.79

Soft 122 15 12.3% −32.05

Heavy 27 2 7.4% −16.17

Good to Firm 19 3 15.8% −3.50

Standard (AW) 18 1 5.6% +16.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Huntingdon 43 4 9.3% −24.67

Uttoxeter 38 6 15.8% +9.75

Fakenham 37 6 16.2% −15.22

Warwick 36 5 13.9% +18.75

Market Rasen 35 1 2.9% −31.00

Doncaster 32 1 3.1% −28.25

Hereford 24 4 16.7% +2.00

Worcester 23 0 0% −23.00

Southwell 22 2 9.1% −11.00

Chepstow 21 0 0% −21.00

Stratford 21 2 9.5% −11.50

Fontwell 19 3 15.8% −2.34

Lingfield 16 1 6.3% −7.50

Wetherby 15 1 6.7% −10.67

Leicester 15 2 13.3% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 259 29 11.2% −51.84

Class 4 177 13 7.3% −107.59

Class 3 59 7 11.9% −18.72

Class 2 37 0 0% −37.00

Class 6 32 3 9.4% +13.50

Class 1 9 1 11.1% +2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 40 12 30% 1.10 +2.57

2nd–3rd fav 134 19 14.2% 0.83 −43.72

4th–6th fav 208 20 9.6% 1.14 −20.50

7th+ in betting 191 2 1% 0.32 −138.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.2% completed · 488 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 236 83.9% 3 3 31 1 0

Hurdle 252 84.5% 5 6 28 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Felton Bellevue (FR) 37 5 15 19 Apr 26

Regally Blonde (GB)from A Oliver 36 3 6 1 Oct 26

Jack Doyen (IRE) 34 5 10 2 Oct 26

Nickelforce (IRE) 29 5 14 19 Oct 26

Fern Hill (IRE) 29 3 9 16 Oct 26

Belles Benefit (IRE)from S Curling 29 6 12 22 Sep 26

Gazette Bourgeoise (FR) 27 3 8 6 Mar 26

Bashers Reflection (GB) 23 4 10 23 Apr 25

Midnightreflection (GB) 22 3 5 27 Jan 25

Ronnies Reflection (GB) 17 2 6 27 Mar 26

Miss Connaisseur (GB)from Ruth Carr 16 0 0 18 Nov 23

Misteroddsocks (IRE) 14 1 2 3 Jun 26

All 53 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 53 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

108878184141510134

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJack Quinlan

32% of all rides
9.9% SR · A/E 0.97

RiderRWSR£1

Jack Quinlan 182 18 9.9% −82.67

Harry Bannister 161 24 14.9% +20.02

Mr Charlie Case 38 4 10.5% −18.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

208

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.19m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 18 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Croco Bay (IRE) — Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Mar 2019 · Grade 3

£61,897

Deep Trouble (IRE) — Setanta Sports Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Punchestown · May 2014 · Grade B

£60,000

Cobblers Dream (IRE) — Coral Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race) Kempton · Jan 2022 · Listed

£56,950

Notable horses

Graceful Legend (GB) Crookstown (IRE) Midnightreflection (GB) Kings Temptation (GB) Belles Benefit (IRE) Midnight Jazz (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Telescope (IRE) 2.5% · 1–40

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,891 runs since 2008 (295 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.9% from 104. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.3% from 279.

Kap Rock (FR) 13.5% · 5–37

Progeny have won 9.7% of 557 runs since 2008 (81 horses).

Mukhadram (GB) 8.3% · 3–36

Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,438 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 302.

Doyen (IRE) 14.7% · 5–34

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,349 runs since 2008 (605 horses).

Leading Light (IRE) 18.2% · 6–33

Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,196 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,487 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,410 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,410 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Nickelforce (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Nick And Valda Embiricos Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 4th 9/2

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Helios Allen (FR)J: Jack Quinlan Pertemps Network Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/2

16 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Fern Hill (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Insurance Connections Best Bet Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 7th 3/1J

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Painted Wolf (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings tigerbet.co.uk Lucky Odds Boost Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 9/1

02 Oct 26 Hexham Jack Doyen (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Davey Liddle Belated Birthday Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/2

01 Oct 26 Nottingham Trafalger (GB)J: Benoit de la Sayette Construction Day 14th Oct Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 15 ran 12th 22/1

01 Oct 26 Nottingham Regally Blonde (GB)J: Jonny Peate Watch Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 18f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/1

01 Oct 26 Southwell Helios Allen (FR)J: Harry Bannister Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 7/2

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Cosmic Spirit (GB)J: Mr Joseph Stevenson £10 County Racedays Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 11 ran 10th 150/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Nickelforce (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Summer Plate Ladies Day 2027 On Sale Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 13/8F

22 Sep 26 Warwick Belles Benefit (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Abi And Brad Divorce Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 26f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 3/1

12 Sep 26 Bath Trafalger (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Andersons Drainage Serving The South West Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 9/1

10 Sep 26 Worcester Cosmic Spirit (GB)J: Mr Joseph Stevenson CopyBet BOG Now For Doncaster Tomorrow Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 9th 150/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Jack Doyen (IRE)J: J M Quinlan Envesca Safety Champions Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 11/1

01 Sep 26 Ripon Regally Blonde (GB)J: Jack Nicholls Wakeman Stayers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 4/1

31 Aug 26 Cartmel Belles Benefit (IRE)J: Harry Bannister EWGA Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 4/1

28 Aug 26 Fontwell Helios Allen (FR)J: Harry Bannister Back A Winner - Birchwood Kia Chichester Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 11/2

25 Aug 26 Stratford Jack Doyen (IRE)J: J M Quinlan Thank You To Our Hardworking Groundstaff Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 8 ran UR 9/1

24 Aug 26 Windsor Trafalger (GB)J: Benoit de la Sayette Windsor Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 8/1

23 Aug 26 Worcester Romany Brown (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings Neu-Servo Best Repairs Hands Down Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 5th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ben Case's strike rate?: Ben Case has won 53 of 573 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ben Case do best at?: Fakenham by strike rate: 6 wins from 37 runners (16.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ben Case?: Jack Quinlan, with 182 runners since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (9.9%).
Is Ben Case in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ben Case's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 572 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.