Darwins Theory (IRE)
Darwins Theory (IRE) is 2 from 38. Hasn't won since Dec 2015. Last raced off 100, 21lb below the career-high mark.
- 2–38Wins / Runs
- 5.3%Strike rate
- 7 (18.4%)Placed
- −2.00£1 level staken=38 at SP
- 0.60Fair A/E n=38 · 0.50 incl. margin
- 121Highest OR
- 46dBetween runs (median)longest 313 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 102
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 99A | 97 | — |
| Heavy | 3 | 108A | 106 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 108A | 99 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 8 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (1) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since Jan 2008 (665 horses).
Strongest on heavy going: 16.3% from 686.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 57 | 4 | 7% | −5.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,242 | 159 | 12.8% | +0.5 | 0 from 4 |
| Good | 2,141 | 262 | 12.2% | −0.1 | 0 from 13 |
| Good to Soft | 1,110 | 148 | 13.3% | +1 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,682 | 194 | 11.5% | −0.8 | 1 from 10 |
| Heavy | 686 | 112 | 16.3% | +4 | 1 from 9 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,053 | 100 | 9.5% | −2.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −12.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 330 | 31 | 9.4% | −2.9 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 813 | 97 | 11.9% | −0.4 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,724 | 360 | 13.2% | +0.9 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2,426 | 313 | 12.9% | +0.6 | 1 from 13 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,157 | 122 | 10.5% | −1.8 | 1 from 15 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 414 | 45 | 10.9% | −1.4 | 0 from 4 |
| Over 3m | 101 | 11 | 10.9% | −1.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Our Legend (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our Legend (IRE) | 14 | 1 | 2m | — |
| Jamie The Tailor (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Watergrange Fairy (IRE) | 9 | 0 | — | — |
| Sanan Dancer (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 0 | 0% | −13.00 |
| Soft | 10 | 1 | 10% | −8.00 |
| Heavy | 9 | 1 | 11% | +25.00 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 9 | 1 | 11% | +25.00 |
| Class 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wexford | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.00 |
| Wincanton | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Lingfield | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Listowel | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Leopardstown | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Kempton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Exeter | 2 | 1 | 50% | +32.00 |
| Fontwell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Downpatrick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tramore | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Killarney | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Punchestown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Navan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Limerick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 15 | 1 | 7% | +19.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 13 | 1 | 8% | −11.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mr Michael Legg | 13 | 1 | 8% | +21.00 |
| Niall P Madden | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Paul Townend | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.00 |
| Kevin Manning | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Ger Fox | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Mark Walsh | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Andrew J McNamara | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jack Sherwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kevin Sexton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| D J Casey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Davy Condon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Danny Mullins | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 31 | 2 | 6% | +5.00 |
| None | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hood + tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2017 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2016 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2015 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +31.00 |
| 2014 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2013 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2012 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −5.00 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 20 | 2 | 10% | +16.00 |
| Chase | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Flat | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 07 Mar 19+61d | Wincanton | starsportsbet.co.uk Handicap Hurdle | PU/14 | — | 11-7 | 100 | — | — | Mr Michael Legg | 33/1 |
| 05 Jan 19+313d | Wincanton | Best Odds Guaranteed With BetVictor Handicap Hurdle | 11/15 | 9 | 11-2 | 105 | 97C | 86C | Mr Michael Legg | 66/1 |
| 2018 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 26 Feb 18+301d | Plumpton | R.a.b.i./joan Collison Memorial Handicap Hurdle | 3/7 | 9 | 10-0 | 107 | 99A | 91B | Mr Michael Legg | 25/1 |
| 2017 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 01 May 17+53d | Kempton | Matchbook Betting Podcast Amateur Riders' Handicap Hurdle | 3/8 | ½ | 11-6 | 108 | 81A | 127B | Mr Michael Legg | 14/1 |
| 09 Mar 17+37d | Wincanton | Bathwick Tyres Dorchester Handicap Hurdle | 4/5 | 6 | 10-1 | 110 | — | 92B | Mr Michael Legg | 5/2 |
| 31 Jan 17+21d | Lingfield | Racing Welfare Handicap Hurdle | 3/7 | 9 | 11-3 | 112 | 102B | 110A | Mr Michael Legg | 7/2 |
| 10 Jan 17+49d | Lingfield | Follow Us On Twitter At starsports_bet Handicap Hurdle | 2/8 | 2½ | 10-9 | 108 | 108A | 119A | Mr Michael Legg | 14/1 |
| 2016 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 22 Nov 16+237d | Lingfield | Macky P Boys Day Out Handicap Hurdle | 3/7 | 17 | 10-1 | 110 | 106B | 97A | Mr Michael Legg | 16/1 |
| 30 Mar 16+31d | Exeter | City Of Exeter Challenge Cup Handicap Hurdle | 6/8 | ½ | 10-8 | 112 | — | 108A | Mr Michael Legg | 8/1 |
| 28 Feb 16+16d | Fontwell | Totepool Like Us On Facebook Handicap Hurdle | 3/10 | nse | 11-5 | 113 | — | 110A | Mr Michael Legg | 14/1 |
| 12 Feb 16+70d | Kempton | racinguk.com/anywhere Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle | 4/13 | shd | 11-10 | 113 | — | 123A | Jack Sherwood | 12/1 |
| 2015 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Dec 15+191d | Exeter | 188bet Handicap Hurdle | 1/11 | 11-5 | 105 | — | 118A | Mr Michael Legg | 33/1 | |
| 27 May 15+26d | Newton Abbot | Sunflower Day Nursery Handicap Chase | PU/5 | — | 10-12 | 107 | — | — | Mr Michael Legg | 25/1 |
| 01 May 15+174d | Fontwell | Equiniti Fintech For Wealth Solutions Handicap Chase | 4/6 | 7 | 11-1 | 109 | — | 88B | Mr Michael Legg | 12/1 |
| 2014 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 08 Nov 14+12d | Naas | Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-109) | 6/9 | 4¾ | 11-12 | 106 | — | 97A | Kevin Sexton | 8/1 |
| 27 Oct 14+10d | Wexford | Jim Whitty Memorial Beginners Chase | 6/7 | 5 | 11-12 | 107 | — | 93C | Niall P Madden | 7/1 |
| 17 Oct 14+33d | Downpatrick | Thanking Prestige Caterers Beginners Chase | 3/7 | 1 | 11-7 | 107 | — | 111B | Ger Fox | 5/2 |
| 14 Sep 14+30d | Listowel | Cheestrings Beginners Chase | 5/10 | 34 | 11-12 | 109 | — | 98C | Niall P Madden | 25/1 |
| 15 Aug 14+31d | Tramore | Ey Beginners Chase | 6/9 | hd | 11-12 | 109 | — | 99A | Andrew J McNamara | 8/1 |
| 15 Jul 14+30d | Killarney | Mc Group Handicap Chase (0-116) | 5/15 | nk | 11-0 | 109 | — | 112A | Ger Fox | 14/1 |
| 15 Jun 14+10d | Downpatrick | Mid Summer Beginners Chase | 2/9 | ½ | 11-5 | — | — | 109A | Ger Fox | 20/1 |
| 05 Jun 14+218d | Tipperary | Pride Of Tipperary Launch Handicap Hurdle (80-116) | 12/20 | 1¾ | 11-5 | 109 | — | 102C | D J Casey | 33/1 |
| 2013 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 30 Oct 13+45d | Punchestown | Ballymore Christmas Fair & Family Fun November Festival Beginners Chase | PU/10 | — | 11-10 | — | — | — | Andrew J McNamara | 66/1 |
| 15 Sep 13+46d | Listowel | Cheestrings Beginners Chase | 9/16 | hd | 11-9 | — | — | 97C | Mark Walsh | 20/1 |
| 31 Jul 13+80d | Galway | Bet 10 Get 10 At Thetote.com Handicap Hurdle (81-123) | 15/19 | nk | 11-6 | 117 | — | 108C | Paul Townend | 16/1 |
| 12 May 13+56d | Killarney | Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) | 9/18 | 13 | 10-8 | 119 | — | 104C | Mark Walsh | 20/1 |
| 17 Mar 13+156d | Wexford | St. Patrick's Day Rated Hurdle | 9/12 | 18 | 11-5 | 120 | — | 108C | Mark Walsh | 8/1 |
| 2012 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Oct 12+21d | Tramore | Waterford & Tramore Supporters Club Handicap | 4/9 | 4½ | 9-10 | 66 | — | 81A | Davy Condon | 5/1 |
| 21 Sep 12+56d | Listowel | South West Bins Novice Hurdle | 2/5 | 4¼ | 11-0 | 118 | — | 125B | Paul Townend | 8/1 |
| 27 Jul 12+90d | Wexford | Gorey Race | 6/8 | 3¼ | 9-4 | 68 | — | 66A | Danny Mullins | 11/1 |
| 28 Apr 12+30d | Punchestown | AES Champion Four Year Old Hurdle (Grade 1) | 10/13 | 12 | 11-0 | 121 | — | 95C | Niall P Madden | 33/1 |
| 29 Mar 12+12d | Limerick | 'it's A Student's Life' Handicap (50-70) | 8/12 | hd | 9-13 | 70 | — | 75A | Paul Townend | 11/2 |
| 17 Mar 12+49d | Wexford | New Ross Maiden Hurdle | 1/10 | 11-2 | — | — | 125A | Paul Townend | EvensF | |
| 28 Jan 12+232d | Leopardstown | Leopardstown.com Maiden Hurdle | 7/25 | 2 | 11-0 | — | — | 112A | Niall P Madden | 50/1 |
| 2011 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Jun 11+33d | Navan | Peter O'Brien Landscapes Handicap (50-80) | 5/9 | ½ | 8-10 | 74 | — | 71A | Kevin Manning | 5/2 |
| 08 May 11+195d | Leopardstown | Follow Leopardstown On Facebook Maiden | 6/11 | ¾ | 9-5 | — | — | 70A | Kevin Manning | 9/2 |
| 2010 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 25 Oct 10+5d | Leopardstown | Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. (c&g) Maiden | 7/19 | hd | 9-0 | — | — | 73A | Kevin Manning | 7/1 |
| 20 Oct 10 | Navan | Trim Maiden | 6/17 | nk | 9-3 | — | — | 81A | Kevin Manning | 11/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Darwins Theory won?
- Darwins Theory (IRE) won 2 of 38 archived starts between 2010 and 2019, a strike rate of 5.3%. Placed 7 times in total (18.4% of starts).
- Who trained Darwins Theory?
- Darwins Theory (IRE) was trained by Fiona Shaw on the most recent run on record, at Wincanton on 7 March 2019.
- Who is Darwins Theory's sire?
- Darwins Theory (IRE) is by Montjeu (IRE) out of Thrift (IRE), whose sire is Green Desert.
- What going does Darwins Theory prefer?
- Darwins Theory (IRE) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 9 starts (11.1%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Darwins Theory's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 100, from the run on 7 March 2019. The highest on record is 121.
- What is Darwins Theory's sire's record?
- Montjeu (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since Jan 2008 (665 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on heavy going: 16.3% from 686.
- Who are Darwins Theory's siblings?
- Out of Thrift (IRE), Darwins Theory (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Our Legend (IRE) (1). The wins came over 2m. As at Nov 2026.