Ger Fox
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (64 rides).
The record is strongest at Limerick (11.8%, n=93), clear of the rider's 6.4% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.9% (n=64, Fair A/E 1.66), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.5% (n=259, Fair A/E 0.31). Noel Meade supplied 13% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.1%, A/E 0.71). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (16.3%, n=86). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0.9% over 115 rides, 5.5pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Boylesports Irish Grand National Chase at Fairyhouse (Mar 2016, £152,000). Seasonally, the rider fired Jan–Apr.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,234 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,234 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 June 2006 to 24 February 2019.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Ger Fox's strike rate?
- Ger Fox has won 79 of 1,226 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Ger Fox do best at?
- Limerick by strike rate: 11 wins from 93 rides (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Ger Fox ride most for?
- Noel Meade, with 155 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (7.1%).
- What is Ger Fox's Fair A/E?
- 1.00, from 1,225 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.