Elusive Guest (FR)
Elusive Guest (FR) is 4 from 21. Hasn't won since Dec 2015. All 4 wins have come over 1m – 1m1f. Last raced off 78, 9lb below the career-high mark.
- 4–21Wins / Runs
- 19%Strike rate
- 6 (28.6%)Placed
- +12.00£1 level staken=21 at SP
- 1.73Fair A/E n=21 · 1.48 incl. margin
- 87Highest OR
- 62dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 94
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 94A | 91 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 94A | 91 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 3 figures from 3 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.7% of 8,424 runs since Jan 2008 (636 horses).
Weakest on soft going: 6.4% from 1,122.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | +18.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 905 | 101 | 11.2% | +1.5 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 1,463 | 127 | 8.7% | −1 | 1 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 898 | 72 | 8% | −1.7 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,122 | 72 | 6.4% | −3.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 328 | 23 | 7% | −2.7 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3,662 | 413 | 11.3% | +1.6 | 3 from 8 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 998 | 104 | 10.4% | +0.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 4,119 | 438 | 10.6% | +0.9 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,274 | 204 | 9% | −0.7 | 4 from 16 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 691 | 52 | 7.5% | −2.2 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 210 | 15 | 7.1% | −2.6 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 97 | 6 | 6.2% | −3.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 33 | 2 | 6.1% | −3.6 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −9.7 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Rayon Vert (FR) (4 wins).
The wins came over 6f–6½f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayon Vert (FR) | 29 | 4 | 6f–6½f | — |
| Lega (FR) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Flores (FR) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Mara Wood (FR) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 8 | 3 | 38% | +21.50 |
| Good | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.50 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 10 | 2 | 20% | +6.50 |
| Class 5 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +10.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Windsor | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.50 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 2 | 100% | +22.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chantilly (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 16 | 4 | 25% | +17.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Powell | 6 | 3 | 50% | +23.50 |
| Tom Queally | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Kieren Fallon | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.50 |
| Killian Gallagher | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| N G McCullagh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Danny Sheehy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tony Piccone | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Spencer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Barry McHugh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 20 | 4 | 20% | +13.00 |
| Hood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2015 | 11 | 3 | 27% | +18.50 |
| 2014 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.50 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 24 Feb 17+28d | Dundalk (AW) | Esther McGahon, McGuinness & Co. Solicitors, Dundalk Claiming Race | 4/11 | 3¼ | 9-1 | 78 | 89A | 70A | Killian Gallagher | 8/1 |
| 27 Jan 17+14d | Dundalk (AW) | TEC Electric Handicap | 8/9 | 1 | 8-13 | 83 | 91A | 62A | N G McCullagh | 25/1 |
| 13 Jan 17+237d | Dundalk (AW) | Dundalk Racing Club Handicap | 6/10 | 1 | 8-11 | 84 | 94A | 70A | Danny Sheehy | 16/1 |
| 2016 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 21 May 16+60d | Curragh | Bam Handicap | 12/12 | 34 | 9-6 | 87 | — | 64C | Kieren Fallon | 16/1 |
| 22 Mar 16+86d | Chantilly (FR) | Prix du Mahieu Vilain (Claimer) (5yo+) (Polytrack) | 12/12 | ¾ | 9-10 | — | — | — | Tony Piccone | 23/5 |
| 2015 · 11 runs | ||||||||||
| 27 Dec 15+11d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Totetrifecta Pick The 1,2,3 Handicap | 1/7 | 9-3 | 83 | — | 90A | Ryan Powell | 9/2 | |
| 16 Dec 15+16d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red.com Handicap | 1/11 | 8-13 | 80 | — | 89A | Ryan Powell | 10/1 | |
| 30 Nov 15+24d | Kempton (AW) | Download The Betdaq App Handicap | 1/13 | 9-3 | 74 | — | 91A | Ryan Powell | 12/1 | |
| 06 Nov 15+35d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Totepool Supporting The Sport You Love Handicap | 6/9 | nk | 9-0 | 76 | — | 70A | Ryan Powell | 12/1 |
| 02 Oct 15+21d | Ascot | Veolia Handicap | 18/18 | 18 | 9-0 | 78 | — | 51C | Jamie Spencer | 14/1 |
| 11 Sep 15+12d | Sandown | Inkerman London Handicap | 9/13 | ½ | 9-3 | 75 | — | 69A | Ryan Powell | 11/2 |
| 30 Aug 15+34d | Yarmouth | Bet Totequadpot Handicap | 2/11 | 1½ | 9-4 | 75 | — | 99A | Ryan Powell | 25/1 |
| 27 Jul 15+11d | Windsor | John Guest International Ltd Supports Racing Welfare Handicap | 7/8 | 4 | 10-0 | 75 | — | 66A | Tom Queally | 6/1 |
| 16 Jul 15+31d | Leicester | Loughborough Handicap | 3/7 | 1 | 9-9 | 75 | — | 94A | Tom Queally | 9/1 |
| 15 Jun 15+49d | Windsor | Download The Betdaq+ App Handicap | 6/7 | 3½ | 9-6 | 79 | — | 70A | Tom Queally | 14/1 |
| 27 Apr 15+283d | Windsor | 365 It Handicap | 8/8 | 32 | 9-4 | 82 | — | 58C | Kieren Fallon | 8/1 |
| 2014 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Jul 14+18d | Pontefract | Colstrope Cup Handicap | 5/5 | 5 | 9-7 | 82 | — | 53B | Kieren Fallon | 6/4F |
| 30 Jun 14+18d | Windsor | Unibet Best For Bets In Brazil Maiden Stakes | 1/11 | 9-5 | 80 | — | 97A | Kieren Fallon | 5/2 | |
| 12 Jun 14+66d | Nottingham | 1st Security Solutions Ltd Maiden Stakes | 3/12 | nk | 9-2 | — | — | 86A | Barry McHugh | 10/1 |
| 07 Apr 14+182d | Windsor | Windsor Vehicle Leasing Wvl.co.uk Maiden Stakes | 12/12 | 3 | 9-5 | — | — | 60C | Tom Queally | 9/2 |
| 2013 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 07 Oct 13 | Windsor | Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden Stakes (Div 2) | 4/11 | ½ | 9-5 | — | — | 83A | Tom Queally | 4/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Elusive Guest won?
- Elusive Guest (FR) won 4 of 21 archived starts between 2013 and 2017, a strike rate of 19%. Placed 6 times in total (28.6% of starts).
- Who trained Elusive Guest?
- Elusive Guest (FR) was trained by Adrian Paul Keatley on the most recent run on record, at Dundalk (AW) on 24 February 2017.
- Who is Elusive Guest's sire?
- Elusive Guest (FR) is by Elusive City (USA) out of Mansoura (IRE), whose sire is Kalanisi.
- What going does Elusive Guest prefer?
- Elusive Guest (FR) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 3 wins from 8 starts (37.5%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Elusive Guest's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 78, from the run on 24 February 2017. The highest on record is 87.
- What is Elusive Guest's sire's record?
- Elusive City (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.7% of 8,424 runs since Jan 2008 (636 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on soft going: 6.4% from 1,122.
- Who are Elusive Guest's siblings?
- Out of Mansoura (IRE), Elusive Guest (FR) has 4 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Rayon Vert (FR) (4). The wins came over 6f–6½f. As at Oct 2026.