Danny Sheehy
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 110 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.00). M C Grassick supplies 16% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7%, A/E 1.54) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (9%, n=122). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 53 rides, 5.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.18 across 113 rides (0.9% strike, −104.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the rider fires Apr–May.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2016→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,054 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,054 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 September 2016 to 2 July 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Danny Sheehy's strike rate?
- Danny Sheehy has won 29 of 554 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Danny Sheehy do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 169 rides (5.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Danny Sheehy ride most for?
- M C Grassick, with 86 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (7%).
- What is Danny Sheehy's Fair A/E?
- 0.96, from 554 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.