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Horse profile

Empirical (IRE)

3yo gelding · Trainer Ed Walker · Owner Tbt Racing
8 runs · 6 courses · from Dec 2025
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won last time out 3 wins · Newbury, Ayr & Nottingham Ran 29 days ago · 1st of 8 Last raced off OR 82
KTB Profile

Empirical is a gelding who has won three of eight starts. All three wins came in handicaps on turf, two of them over 1m2f – 1m4f on good or good to firm going. He won the Fitzdares Handicap Stakes at Newbury in Sep 2026, last time out, having also taken races at Ayr and Nottingham earlier that year. The gelding last ran off a mark of 82, his highest ever.

Based on 8 archived runs · run-style from 1 commented run · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance OR at career high
Official rating82At career-high mark
82 66–82

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 108 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Nottingham, 2 Jul 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 8 figures · best 108A · median 81.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Good to Firm3108A923 · 108 / 92
Standard (AW)372A533 · 72 / 53
Good299A87.52 · 99 / 87.5
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
1m – 1m1f4108A744 · 108 / 74
1m2f – 1m4f399A923 · 99 / 92
6f – 7f1——1 · —

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 87A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Newbury, 26 Aug 2026 Official rating 82 at the last run, 18 Sep 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 8 figures · best 91A · median 77
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Good to Firm391A873 · 91 / 87
Standard (AW)375A593 · 75 / 59
Good285A78.52 · 85 / 78.5
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
1m – 1m1f491A73.54 · 91 / 73.5
1m2f – 1m4f387A853 · 87 / 85
6f – 7f1——1 · —

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 14.5% of 7,465 runs since Jan 2008 (774 horses).

Weakest on soft going: 11% from 958. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm1317.7%−6.8—
Good to Firm1,20120116.7%+2.22 from 3
Good1,68124014.3%−0.21 from 2
Good to Soft91112313.5%−1—
Soft95810511%−3.5—
Heavy2873411.8%−2.7—
Standard (AW)2,41438215.8%+1.30 from 3
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f2743914.2%−0.3—
6f – 7f2,61838614.7%+0.20 from 1
1m – 1m1f2,56739415.3%+0.81 from 4
1m2f – 1m4f1,48921814.6%+0.12 from 3
1m5f – 2m362369.9%−4.6—
2m1f – 2m4f121119.1%−5.4—
2m5f – 3m3226.3%−8.2—
Over 3m200%−14.5—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam

1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Al Wathba (FR) (1 win).

The wins came over 1m; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Al Wathba (FR)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Al Wathba (FR)511mClass 3

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good to Firm 3 2 67% +2.75
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Good 2 1 50% +1.25

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 5 2 40% +1.75
Class 5 3 1 33% −0.75

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Newbury 2 1 50% +1.25
Nottingham 2 1 50% +0.25
Ayr 1 1 100% +2.50
Kempton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m – 1m1f 4 1 25% −1.75
1m2f – 1m4f 3 2 67% +3.75
6f – 7f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Kieran Shoemark 3 2 67% +3.75
Jack Doughty 2 0 0% −2.00
Cieren Fallon 1 1 100% +1.25
George Downing 1 0 0% −1.00
Luke Morris 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
Blinkers 3 2 67% +3.75
None 3 0 0% −3.00
Cheekpieces 2 1 50% +0.25

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 6 3 50% +3.00
2025 2 0 0% −2.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
18 Sep 26+23d Newbury Fitzdares Handicap Stakes (Div II) (GBBPlus Race) Class 4 · 10f · Good · 8 ran Dwelt at the tail - roused into contention 3f out - gained ground with a furlong left - stayed on to hit the front on the line 1/8 9-6 8299A85A Kieran Shoemark 9/4
26 Aug 26+30d Newbury Sheldrake Training Limited 'train An Apprentice' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) Class 4 · 10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran Fought for control early - raced wide in the early stages and travelled well - went ahead approaching 2f out - overtaken with a furlong left - drifted right inside the final furlong - stayed on to go down by a short margin 2/7 ½ 9-9 8087A87A Kieran Shoemark 3/1
27 Jul 26+25d Ayr Ladbrokes 'Insure Your Acca On Football' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Class 4 · 10f · Good To Firm · 5 ran settled in third early - progress on the outside over 2f out - shared the front over 1f out - asserted inside final furlong to score comfortably 1/5 8-12 7692C79B Kieran Shoemark 5/2
02 Jul 26+54d Nottingham Watch Racing TV Now Handicap Class 5 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran Hampered start and urged into stride - settled towards back - driven through middle of track approaching final 2f - hit front with a furlong left - quickly put daylight between rivals inside final 110yds - stayed on well to win 1/8 9-6 66108A91A Cieren Fallon 5/4F
09 May 26+101d Nottingham Bet 10 Get 30 At Betano Handicap Class 5 · 8.5f · Good · 7 ran Hesitant start - settled towards back - pushed along to make progress 3f out - driven from 2f out and finished strongly to take third 3/7 hd 9-5 6676A72A George Downing 9/2
28 Jan 26+32d Kempton (AW) Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran Sluggish break - fighting for control at the back - driven 2f out but always struggling to feature 8/12 nk 8-10 —53A59A Luke Morris 12/1
27 Dec 25+15d Wolverhampton (AW) Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran Slow to begin - shifted left early - settled midfield - urged forward past the 2f marker - finished with steady progress to take third - always short of a threat late 3/12 5½ 9-7 —72A75A Jack Doughty 25/1
12 Dec 25 Southwell (AW) Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran Sluggish start - settled at the back and stayed off the pace - pushed along with 2f left but made no impression 7/9 ½ 9-7 —22C51C Jack Doughty 2/1

Quick answers

How many races has Empirical (IRE) won?
Empirical (IRE) won 3 of 8 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 37.5%. Placed 5 times in total (62.5% of starts).
Who trains Empirical (IRE)?
Empirical (IRE) is trained by Ed Walker, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 18 September 2026.
Who is Empirical (IRE)'s sire?
Empirical (IRE) is by Kingman (GB) out of Hidden Breeze (GB), whose sire is Dark Angel.
What going does Empirical (IRE) prefer?
Empirical (IRE) has the best record on good to firm going: 2 wins from 3 starts (66.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Empirical (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 82, from the run on 18 September 2026. That is also the highest on record.
What is Empirical (IRE)'s sire's record?
Kingman (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.5% of 7,465 runs since Jan 2008 (774 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on soft going: 11% from 958. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
Who are Empirical (IRE)'s siblings?
Out of Hidden Breeze (GB), Empirical (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Al Wathba (FR) (1). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Al Wathba (FR)). The wins came over 1m. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from December 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.