Firm Belief (IRE)
Firm Belief won once from 21 starts on the flat. The success came in a handicap at Navan in Oct 2023 over 1m5f – 2m on soft ground off an official rating of 55. She raced on turf in 17 of those starts and won once from four runs on all-weather surfaces. Aged 6 at her last run in Dec 2024 she finished mid-division in a mares maiden hurdle at Cork.
- 1–21Wins / Runs
- 4.8%Strike rate
- 2 (9.5%)Placed
- −4.00£1 level staken=21 at SP
- 0.85Fair A/E n=21 · 0.66 incl. margin
- 65Highest OR
- 26dBetween runs (median)longest 85 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 127
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 117B | 95 | — |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 137C | 124 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 97B | 85.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 110C | 103 | — |
| Good | 3 | 127A | 119 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 8 | 124C | 100 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 7 | 137C | 117 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 127A | 127 | — |
Of 21 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 19 figures from 21 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 4 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Mid-division 3 (75%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (25%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,623 runs since Apr 2019 (298 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | +8.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 342 | 43 | 12.6% | +1.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 873 | 99 | 11.3% | +0.2 | 0 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 438 | 56 | 12.8% | +1.7 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 705 | 73 | 10.4% | −0.7 | 1 from 7 |
| Heavy | 276 | 25 | 9.1% | −2 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 984 | 104 | 10.6% | −0.5 | 0 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 81 | 7 | 8.6% | −2.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 848 | 95 | 11.2% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,053 | 108 | 10.3% | −0.8 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 792 | 94 | 11.9% | +0.8 | 0 from 7 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 544 | 72 | 13.2% | +2.1 | 1 from 11 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 232 | 22 | 9.5% | −1.6 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 63 | 2 | 3.2% | −7.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 10 | 1 | 10% | −1.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2019 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Captain Haddock (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 1m4f–1m5f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Captain Haddock (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Captain Haddock (IRE) | 39 | 2 | 1m4f–1m5f | Class 4 |
| Bienvenue (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Total Focus (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Our Kim (IRE) | 13 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 7 | 1 | 14% | +10.00 |
| Good | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipperary | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Cork | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Leopardstown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Limerick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Navan | 2 | 1 | 50% | +15.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 11 | 1 | 9% | +6.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seamie Heffernan | 10 | 1 | 10% | +7.00 |
| Leigh Roche | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Phillip Enright | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Dylan Browne McMonagle | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Mike O'Connor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 20 | 1 | 5% | −3.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| 2023 | 9 | 1 | 11% | +8.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 17 | 1 | 6% | +0.00 |
| Hurdle | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 · 12 runs | ||||||||||
| 13 Dec 24+67d | Cork | Watch Every Irish Race Live Only On Racing TV Mares Maiden Hurdle Held a midfield spot early - jumped awkwardly at the 2nd and again 5th - made up ground to 7th before ballooning the 8th - driven forward but couldn't quicken - lost touch with the pack - eased and pulled up after the following obstacle | PU/18 | — | 11-7 | — | — | — | Mike O'Connor | 25/1 |
| 07 Oct 24+11d | Fairyhouse | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle Settled midfield - up to 5th after the 4th - faded from there - jumping error four out nearly parted with rider - fell away through the back markers before being withdrawn from contention approaching two out | PU/12 | — | 11-7 | — | — | — | Phillip Enright | 22/1 |
| 26 Sep 24+33d | Listowel | Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle Settled around midfield - 7th at the midway point - stayed on at one gear from 3 furlongs out - finished sixth | 6/15 | 1¼ | 11-7 | — | 117B | 97A | Phillip Enright | 16/1 |
| 24 Aug 24+30d | Killarney | Laurels Bar & Restaurant Maiden Hurdle Held up towards the back - always struggling to get involved - driven into 8th before 3 out - blundered at the following fence - weakened into the distance and beaten a long way | 8/14 | 24 | 11-5 | — | 73C | 89C | Phillip Enright | 80/1 |
| 25 Jul 24+18d | Leopardstown | Hipodromo De La Zarzuela Madrid Handicap | 5/14 | 1¼ | 9-2 | 58 | 103C | 68A | Seamie Heffernan | 6/1 |
| 07 Jul 24+25d | Limerick | Private Suites At Limerick Racecourse Handicap (50-85) | 3/12 | 2¾ | 8-11 | 59 | 127A | 66A | Seamie Heffernan | 15/2 |
| 12 Jun 24+14d | Limerick | Big Boss Events Handicap (47-70) | 5/16 | 1½ | 9-6 | 60 | 127C | 73A | Seamie Heffernan | 15/2 |
| 29 May 24+11d | Tipperary | Visit Tipperary Handicap (47-65) | 5/17 | nk | 9-11 | 60 | 137C | 77A | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 8/1 |
| 18 May 24+9d | Navan | Troytown Bar Handicap (47-65) (Div 1) | 5/14 | ¾ | 9-11 | 60 | 110C | 72A | Seamie Heffernan | 6/1 |
| 09 May 24+85d | Gowran Park | Racing Again May 22nd Handicap (47-70) | 6/16 | 3¾ | 9-6 | 60 | 124C | 67A | Seamie Heffernan | 14/1 |
| 14 Feb 24+26d | Dundalk (AW) | Dundalk Winter Series Leading Trainer & Jockey Championship Handicap (47-75) | 5/14 | 1¾ | 9-3 | 61 | 97B | 65A | Leigh Roche | 40/1 |
| 19 Jan 24+56d | Dundalk (AW) | Join Us On Our Social Channels Handicap (47-65) | 13/14 | shd | 10-1 | 63 | 77B | 67A | Seamie Heffernan | 11/1 |
| 2023 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 24 Nov 23+24d | Dundalk (AW) | Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Handicap (47-65) (Div 2) | 6/14 | 2½ | 10-1 | 64 | 94B | 76A | Seamie Heffernan | 5/1 |
| 31 Oct 23+13d | Curragh | Tote Guarantee Available On Course & Tote.ie Handicap | 12/20 | 2¾ | 9-5 | 65 | 55C | 63C | Seamie Heffernan | 12/1 |
| 18 Oct 23+45d | Navan | Pimlico Racing Happy Retirement Zoffany Bay Handicap (47-65) (Div 2) | 1/20 | 9-6 | 55 | 122C | 85A | Seamie Heffernan | 16/1 | |
| 03 Sep 23+38d | Tipperary | Great National Ballykisteen Golf Hotel Handicap (47-70) | 8/18 | 1½ | 9-3 | 57 | 132C | 59A | Seamie Heffernan | 10/1 |
| 27 Jul 23+22d | Leopardstown | Horseraces Single Member S.A. Of Greece Handicap | 9/14 | nk | 9-4 | 60 | 63C | 68A | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 12/1 |
| 05 Jul 23+36d | Tipperary | TipperaryRaces.ie Handicap (47-65) (Div 2) | 9/13 | nk | 9-13 | 62 | 117C | 69A | Leigh Roche | 22/1 |
| 30 May 23+39d | Tipperary | Racing Again On July 4th At Tipperary Maiden | 12/13 | 3¾ | 10-2 | — | 119C | 54C | Leigh Roche | 66/1 |
| 21 Apr 23+63d | Cork | Buy Tickets At CorkRacecourse.ie Maiden | 9/14 | ½ | 10-2 | — | 70C | 72A | Leigh Roche | 50/1 |
| 17 Feb 23 | Dundalk (AW) | Dundalkstadium.com Maiden | 5/14 | hd | 9-6 | — | 77B | 68A | Leigh Roche | 80/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Firm Belief won?
- Firm Belief (IRE) won 1 of 21 archived starts between 2023 and 2024, a strike rate of 4.8%. Placed 2 times in total (9.5% of starts).
- Who trained Firm Belief?
- Firm Belief (IRE) was trained by Rodger Sweeney on the most recent run on record, at Cork on 13 December 2024.
- Who is Firm Belief's sire?
- Firm Belief (IRE) is by Make Believe (GB) out of Kayd Kodaun (IRE), whose sire is Traditionally.
- What going does Firm Belief prefer?
- Firm Belief (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 7 starts (14.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Firm Belief's official rating?
- Firm Belief (IRE)'s highest official rating on record is 65.
- What is Firm Belief's sire's record?
- Make Believe (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,623 runs since Apr 2019 (298 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Firm Belief's siblings?
- Out of Kayd Kodaun (IRE), Firm Belief (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Captain Haddock (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Captain Haddock (IRE)). The wins came over 1m4f–1m5f. As at Nov 2026.