Skip to content
Trainer profile

Rodger Sweeney

173 runners in the last 5 seasons · 16 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
7–173
Wins / Runs
4%
Strike rate
n=173
26 (15%)
Placed
0.76
n=173 · 0.60 incl. margin
−109.17
£1 level stake
n=173 at SP · −63.1%
£75,480
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.76).

Deterministic profile computed from 173 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 4.2%
The read

The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (8.3%, n=36). The record reads poorly on Good going — 0% over 44 runners, 4pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle at Listowel (Sep 2013, £26,000). The stable star of the record: Salsify (IRE) — 11 wins from 40 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.0
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.0
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
12.5%+8.5
n=16 · A/E 2.66 · £1 +6.00
When favourite
22.2%
n=9 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −0.67
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.2%+0.2
n=48 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −31.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 8.3% vs 4% · n=36
On Good going 0% vs 4% · n=44
With a new jockey booking 1.4% vs 4% · n=73
Over 1m – 1m1f 6.1% vs 4% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 119 5 4.2% −71.67
Hurdle 36 2 5.6% −19.50
Chase 16 0 0% −16.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 45 1 2.2% −28.00
Good 44 0 0% −44.00
Standard (AW) 41 2 4.9% −25.67
Good to Soft 21 2 9.5% −4.50
Heavy 12 1 8.3% −8.00
Good to Firm 10 1 10% +1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 41 2 4.9% −25.67
Cork 25 1 4% −14.00
Gowran Park 16 0 0% −16.00
Limerick 12 0 0% −12.00
Tipperary 11 1 9.1% −7.00
Thurles 10 1 10% −4.50
Killarney 9 0 0% −9.00
Clonmel 9 0 0% −9.00
Tramore 6 0 0% −6.00
Curragh 5 0 0% −5.00
Listowel 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00
Leopardstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 3 1 33.3% +14.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 2 20% 1.19 −1.67
2nd–3rd fav 14 1 7.1% 0.59 −8.50
4th–6th fav 45 1 2.2% 0.34 −34.00
7th+ in betting 104 3 2.9% 1.04 −65.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sean Says (IRE) 28 1 4 28 Nov 23
Lorr's Girl (IRE) 27 1 5 14 Aug 26
Firm Belief (IRE) 21 1 2 13 Dec 24
Matilda With Me (IRE) 17 2 9 3 Feb 23
Where R U Now Bob (IRE) 15 1 1 1 Dec 23
Lady Luck (IRE) 13 0 0 17 Oct 26
Sceitimini (IRE) 11 0 1 19 Oct 26
Are You Busy (IRE) 9 1 1 29 May 26
Okyle Lass (IRE) 9 0 0 28 Jul 23
Bop Wont Stop (IRE) 7 0 1 2 Oct 26
Alaskan Red (IRE) 4 0 0 30 Oct 24
Stable Lane (IRE) 3 0 1 10 Jun 26
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
801011000011770
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Seamie Heffernan 26 1 3.8% −9.00
Leigh Roche 21 1 4.8% −16.67
Killian Leonard 13 0 0% −13.00
Phillip Enright 11 0 0% −11.00
Ms S Verling 11 0 0% −11.00
Colin Keane 8 2 25% +7.00
Rory Cleary 7 0 0% −7.00
Aidan Kelly 6 1 16.7% −0.50
Andrew Slattery 6 0 0% −6.00
Mike O'Connor 5 0 0% −5.00
Donagh Meyler 5 1 20% +6.00
Julian Pietropaolo 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
68
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£772k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 12 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Fiery Oscar (IRE) — Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (grade C) Listowel · Sep 2013 · Grade C
£26,000
Salsify (IRE) — CGA Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup Cheltenham · Mar 2013 · Class 2
£24,336
Salsify (IRE) — Christie's Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup Cheltenham · Mar 2012 · Class 2
£20,986

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kodi Bear (IRE) 3.2% · 1–31
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,934 runs since 2008 (386 horses).
Battle Of Marengo (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 7.4% of 956 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 199.
Make Believe (GB) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,598 runs since 2008 (297 horses).
Morpheus (GB) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,671 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.9% from 540. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 305. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 2.7% from 147.
Anjaal (GB) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,214 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.4% from 161.
Estidhkaar (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,586 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 119. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 227.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,002 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,002 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 April 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Lady Luck (IRE)J: Eoin Sheehan Follow Us On Instagram Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding · 16 ran 13th 250/1
30 May 26 Listowel Bop Wont Stop (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Insurance Wise Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 9th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Rodger Sweeney's strike rate?
Rodger Sweeney has won 7 of 173 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Rodger Sweeney do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 41 runners (4.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Rodger Sweeney in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Rodger Sweeney's Fair A/E?
0.76, from 173 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).