Horse profile
First Instinct (GB)
by Bated Breath (GB) out of Proportional (GB) (Beat Hollow)
17 runs · 12 courses · from Aug 2024
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
4 wins · 4 courses
Ran 14 days ago · 10th of 11
Last raced off OR 104
KTB Profile
First Instinct won four of 17 starts on turf including the Group 3 Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes at Newbury on good to soft in Sep 2025. She also took a Listed race at Cork on good in May 2025 and two earlier fillies events over 6f-7f. The filly is held up in her races and last ran off an official rating of 104 when tenth of 11 in the Class 1 Betmgm Rous Stakes at Ascot in Oct 2026.
Based on 17 archived runs · run-style from 6 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically held up
- 4–17Wins / Runs
- 23.5%Strike rate
- 8 (47.1%)Placed
- +14.50£1 level staken=17 at SP
- 2.10Fair A/E n=17 · 1.79 incl. margin
- 107Highest OR
- 49dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating104↓ 3lb off peak
104
98–107
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 108
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 8 | 128A | 98.5 | 5 · 118 / 96 |
| Good | 5 | 119A | 108 | 1 · — |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 143A | 124 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 9 | 128A | 101 | 4 · 101 / 93 |
| 6f – 7f | 7 | 143A | 108 | 2 · 118 / 113 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 16 figures from 16 runs · as at 11 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 6 analysed runs
- Held up 4 (67%) · 1 win
- Midfield 1 (17%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (17%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 8,125 runs since Jan 2008 (669 horses).
Weakest on soft going: 7.7% from 842.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | +9.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,294 | 149 | 11.5% | +0.7 | 1 from 8 |
| Good | 1,670 | 201 | 12% | +1.2 | 1 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 811 | 81 | 10% | −0.8 | 2 from 3 |
| Soft | 842 | 65 | 7.7% | −3.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 262 | 21 | 8% | −2.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3,212 | 350 | 10.9% | +0.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1,022 | 118 | 11.5% | +0.7 | 2 from 10 |
| 6f – 7f | 4,041 | 470 | 11.6% | +0.8 | 2 from 7 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,866 | 178 | 9.5% | −1.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 873 | 81 | 9.3% | −1.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 256 | 25 | 9.8% | −1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 60 | 1 | 1.7% | −9.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +3.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Proportional (GB) (Beat Hollow)
9 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Prince Imperial (USA) (10 wins).
The wins came over 1m–2m4½f; the highest grade won is Listed (Variable (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prince Imperial (USA) | 46 | 10 | 1m–2m4½f | Class 3 |
| Variable (GB) | 4 | 2 | 1m4f | Listed |
| Contingent (GB) | 1 | 1 | 1m | — |
| Fractional (GB) | 7 | 1 | 1m | Class 5 |
| Wimpole (GB) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Fraction (GB) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Racine (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Equivalent (GB) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Measure Up (USA) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 8 | 1 | 13% | −3.00 |
| Good | 5 | 1 | 20% | +0.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 2 | 67% | +18.50 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 13 | 1 | 8% | −1.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +8.50 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascot | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newbury | 2 | 1 | 50% | +10.00 |
| York | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Haydock | 2 | 1 | 50% | +7.50 |
| Naas (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Longchamp (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 10 | 2 | 20% | +7.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 7 | 2 | 29% | +7.50 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cieren Fallon | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Tom Marquand | 6 | 3 | 50% | +20.50 |
| Harry Davies | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Joanna Mason | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jason Hart | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chris Hayes | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2025 | 8 | 2 | 25% | +9.00 |
| 2024 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +11.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct 26+14d | Ascot | Betmgm Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Settled at the back early - pushed along over 1f out - plugged on without quickening to finish 10th | 10/11 | nse | 8-12 | 104 | 101B | 83A | Harry Davies | 20/1 |
| 19 Sep 26+27d | Newbury | Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes (Group 3) Settled in the pack early - pressed for effort with 3f left - lost momentum inside final furlong to finish fifth | 5/11 | ½ | 9-0 | 105 | 96A | 97A | Cieren Fallon | 6/1 |
| 23 Aug 26+44d | Naas (IRE) | Tally-Ho Stud Irish EBF Ballyogan Stakes (Group 3) Slow to break - settled midfield - eased left and driven on approaching 2f out - unable to close and held for 5th | 5/8 | 2¾ | 9-7 | 105 | 108A | 89A | Cieren Fallon | 15/8F |
| 10 Jul 26+24d | York | William Hill Summer Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 3) travelled in the pack early - driven 2f out - made late progress to move into second inside the final 110 yards - did best of all close home | 2/13 | nk | 9-6 | 105 | 118C | 122A | Cieren Fallon | 11/1 |
| 16 Jun 26+45d | Ascot | King Charles III Stakes (Group 1) Held up in midfield towards the outer - pushed along with over a furlong to run - dropped away late - finished 22nd | 22/26 | 2½ | 9-4 | 106 | 90C | 76A | Cieren Fallon | 66/1 |
| 02 May 26+209d | Newmarket | HKJC World Pool Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Settled in the pack - pressed for effort with 2f left - held steady position through the closing stages to finish ninth | 9/14 | nk | 9-9 | 107 | 88C | 98A | Tom Marquand | 25/1 |
| 05 Oct 25+15d | Longchamp (FR) | Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines (2yo+) (Sprint Course) (Turf) | 13/17 | ¾ | 9-7 | — | — | — | Cieren Fallon | 23/1 |
| 20 Sep 25+21d | Newbury | Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes (Group 3) Settled just behind the pace and edging up on the near flank - asked for effort with 2f left to move into second - driven approaching the final furlong to get up right on the line | 1/11 | 8-13 | 100 | 124A | 121A | Tom Marquand | 11/1 | |
| 30 Aug 25+50d | Beverley | William Hill Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed) Held up towards the back - lost footing briefly 3f out - moved left approaching final furlong - rallied in the closing stages to finish 4th | 4/9 | dht | 9-0 | 102 | 104A | 98A | Joanna Mason | 7/1 |
| 11 Jul 25+20d | York | William Hill Summer Stakes (Fillies & Mares' Group 3) Tracked the pace on the outer flank - pushed along a furlong from home - lost ground close to the line - finished fifth beaten 3.25 lengths | 5/11 | 1 | 9-0 | 104 | 119A | 91A | Cieren Fallon | 4/1 |
| 21 Jun 25+28d | Ayr | Unite The Union Winning For Members EBF Land O'Burns Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed) | 2/8 | ½ | 9-3 | 104 | 112A | 97A | Jason Hart | 5/2 |
| 24 May 25+18d | Haydock | Betfred Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Settled at the back early - made progress from 2f out - pushed along a furlong out and into third - stayed on to finish just three-quarters of a length back | 3/9 | ¾ | 8-13 | 99 | 100A | 106A | Cieren Fallon | 11/1 |
| 06 May 25+16d | Cork | Goffs Irish EBF Polonia Stakes (Fillies' Listed) Sat handy behind the front group - driven to the front approaching the final furlong then held on under late pressure to score | 1/12 | 9-2 | 98 | 82A | 111A | Chris Hayes | 4/1 | |
| 20 Apr 25+191d | Bath | Whitsbury Manor Stud / British EBF Lansdown Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed) Settled just behind the front group - pushed along in third inside the final furlong - kept on without finding extra - finished 3rd | 3/12 | 1¼ | 8-12 | 98 | 128A | 101A | Tom Marquand | 8/1 |
| 11 Oct 24+35d | Newmarket | Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) Set the early pace holding an eager grip on the bridle - roused when challenged approaching 2f out - overtaken with a furlong left then dropped away quickly - held on with little response late | 7/10 | ¾ | 9-2 | 98 | 68A | 77A | Tom Marquand | 7/1 |
| 06 Sep 24+24d | Haydock | Tattersalls 40,000 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Sluggish start settling towards back - closed with a push inside final furlong - powered clear to score | 1/6 | 9-8 | — | 143A | 97B | Tom Marquand | 17/2 | |
| 13 Aug 24 | Nottingham | Weatherbys Global Stallions App EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Raced with plenty of enthusiasm early - settled towards the back - driven into contention inside the final furlong - denied late to score close home | 1/11 | 9-2 | — | 80B | 77A | Tom Marquand | 4/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has First Instinct (GB) won?
- First Instinct (GB) won 4 of 17 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 23.5%. Placed 8 times in total (47.1% of starts).
- Who trains First Instinct (GB)?
- First Instinct (GB) is trained by William Haggas, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 3 October 2026.
- Who is First Instinct (GB)'s sire?
- First Instinct (GB) is by Bated Breath (GB) out of Proportional (GB), whose sire is Beat Hollow.
- What going does First Instinct (GB) prefer?
- First Instinct (GB) has the best record on good to soft going: 2 wins from 3 starts (66.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is First Instinct (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 104, from the run on 3 October 2026. The highest on record is 107.
- What is First Instinct (GB)'s sire's record?
- Bated Breath (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 8,125 runs since Jan 2008 (669 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on soft going: 7.7% from 842.
- Who are First Instinct (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Proportional (GB), First Instinct (GB) has 9 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Prince Imperial (USA) (10). Highest grade won: Listed (Variable (GB)). The wins came over 1m–2m4½f. As at Oct 2026.