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Horse profile

Happenstance (IRE)

3yo gelding (at last run, Dec 2023) · Last trainer Patrick J Flynn · Last owner Mrs Patrick J Flynn
by Camacho (GB) out of Adelasia (IRE) (Iffraaj)
15 runs · 9 courses · from Sep 2022
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 20 Dec 2023 — 1,036 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Dec 2023 · 13th of 14 Won at Dundalk (AW) Last raced off OR 47
KTB Profile

Happenstance won one of 15 starts, the success coming in a nursery handicap at Dundalk over 6f-7f on standard going in Nov 2022 off an official rating of 50. All four subsequent runs at Dundalk brought no further success and the gelding finished 13 of 14 in a handicap there in Dec 2023 off a mark of 47. He never won on turf from ten starts. The son of Camacho was trained by Patrick J Flynn at his last run.

Based on 15 archived runs · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Won on AW, 0 on turf
Official rating47↓ 6lb off peak
47 47–53

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 73 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Sligo, 16 May 2023

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 13 figures · best 83B · median 70
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)583B70—
Soft578C52—
Good277C66.5—
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
6f – 7f883B72.5—
1m – 1m1f453C42.5—
Under 6f1———
Jumps 2 figures · best 63C · median 61.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Heavy1———
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f1———
1m5f – 2m1———

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 15 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating (flat) 43A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Fairyhouse, 12 Jul 2023 Official rating 47 at the last flat run, 20 Dec 2023

Best recent KTB Rating (jumps) 92C the best of the last 2 rated runs · Cork, 10 Dec 2023

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 13 figures · best 55A · median 46
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)555A45—
Soft550C48—
Good250A46.5—
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
6f – 7f855A46.5—
1m – 1m1f450C43.5—
Under 6f1———
Jumps 2 figures · best 92C · median 85.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Heavy1———
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f1———
1m5f – 2m1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 15 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Camacho (GB)

Progeny in our archive have won 8.1% of 9,320 runs since Jan 2008 (596 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm5323.8%−4.3—
Good to Firm1,5741338.4%+0.3—
Good1,9511507.7%−0.40 from 2
Good to Soft912748.1%00 from 1
Soft1,101948.5%+0.40 from 6
Heavy356267.3%−0.80 from 1
Standard (AW)3,3732808.3%+0.21 from 5
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f2,2792229.7%+1.60 from 1
6f – 7f4,2493568.4%+0.31 from 8
1m – 1m1f1,577996.3%−1.80 from 4
1m2f – 1m4f700446.3%−1.8—
1m5f – 2m368236.3%−1.80 from 1
2m1f – 2m4f11697.8%−0.30 from 1
2m5f – 3m27518.5%+10.4—
Over 3m4125%+16.9—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Adelasia (IRE) (Iffraaj)

4 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Halite (IRE) (5 wins).

The wins came over 7f–2m4f; the highest grade won is Listed (Adelaise (IRE)).

Family form: La Suissesse (IRE) finished 3rd of 8 at Chantilly (FR), 15 Oct 2026.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Halite (IRE)3052m2f–2m4f—
Royal Supremacy (IRE)627f–1mClass 4
Adelaise (IRE)1827f–1mListed
La Suissesse (IRE)10——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Soft 6 0 0% −6.00
Standard (AW) 5 1 20% +4.50
Good 2 0 0% −2.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 5 1 20% +4.50
Fairyhouse 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Cork 1 0 0% −1.00
Punchestown 1 0 0% −1.00
Limerick 1 0 0% −1.00
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00
Killarney 1 0 0% −1.00
Curragh 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
6f – 7f 8 1 13% +1.50
1m – 1m1f 4 0 0% −4.00
2m1f – 2m4f 1 0 0% −1.00
1m5f – 2m 1 0 0% −1.00
Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Alan Persse 10 1 10% −0.50
Chris Hayes 1 0 0% −1.00
Shane Fitzgerald 1 0 0% −1.00
G B Noonan 1 0 0% −1.00
Robyn Donaghue-Leahy 1 0 0% −1.00
Leigh Roche 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 14 1 7% −4.50
Blinkers 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2023 10 0 0% −10.00
2022 5 1 20% +4.50

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Flat 13 1 8% −3.50
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
20 Dec 23+10d Dundalk (AW) Dundalk Stadium Gift Vouchers Available Online Handicap (47-65) (Div 1) 7f · Standard · 14 ran 13/14 nk 8-12 4770B42A Chris Hayes 25/1
10 Dec 23+24d Cork Bar One Racing 'Bet 10 Euros Get 50 Euros Sign Up Offer' 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle 17f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 5/10 16 11-0 —63C92C Shane Fitzgerald 100/1
16 Nov 23+15d Punchestown Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boost 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle 16.5f · Soft · 13 ran 8/13 2¾ 10-9 —60C79C G B Noonan 125/1
01 Nov 23+112d Dundalk (AW) Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 1) 7f · Standard · 14 ran 11/14 4½ 8-5 4872B37A Alan Persse 18/1
12 Jul 23+19d Fairyhouse Coast To Curragh Cycle August 26th Handicap (47-65) (Div 1) 7f · Good · 16 ran 7/16 1 8-0 4877C43A Alan Persse 14/1
23 Jun 23+22d Limerick Ballyduane Stud Handicap (47-65) 8f · Yielding · 15 ran 8/15 nk 8-5 4752C48A Alan Persse 14/1
01 Jun 23+16d Fairyhouse Racing At Fairyhouse For The Next 2 Fridays Handicap (47-65) 6f · Good · 15 ran 4/15 1¼ 8-3 4756C50A Alan Persse 12/1
16 May 23+13d Sligo Wildroots Festival Handicap (47-65) 6f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 7/10 nse 8-4 5073A46A Alan Persse 14/1
03 May 23+14d Gowran Park Gowran Park Golf Club Apprentice Handicap (47-65) 8f · Yielding · 13 ran 12/13 7½ 8-8 5353C27C Robyn Donaghue-Leahy 16/1
19 Apr 23+147d Gowran Park Dining Packages At Gowran Park Handicap (47-65) 7f · Yielding · 16 ran 6/16 3 8-7 5378C49A Alan Persse 12/1
23 Nov 22+14d Dundalk (AW) Irishinjuredjockeys.com Nursery Handicap (47-65) 7f · Standard · 13 ran 1/13 8-5 5083B55A Alan Persse 17/2
09 Nov 22+12d Dundalk (AW) Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Nursery Handicap 6f · Standard · 11 ran 5/11 nk 8-6 5270A47A Alan Persse 11/1
28 Oct 22+27d Dundalk (AW) Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden 5f · Standard · 11 ran 9/11 nk 9-7 —54A45A Leigh Roche 200/1
01 Oct 22+6d Killarney Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden 8f · Soft · 10 ran 8/10 8 9-0 —33C39C Alan Persse 300/1
25 Sep 22 Curragh Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden 8f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 13/14 7½ 8-9 —17C50C Alan Persse 150/1

Quick answers

How many races has Happenstance (IRE) won?
Happenstance (IRE) won 1 of 15 archived starts between 2022 and 2023, a strike rate of 6.7%. Placed 1 time in total (6.7% of starts).
Who trained Happenstance (IRE)?
Happenstance (IRE) was trained by Patrick J Flynn on the most recent run on record, at Dundalk (AW) on 20 December 2023.
Who is Happenstance (IRE)'s sire?
Happenstance (IRE) is by Camacho (GB) out of Adelasia (IRE), whose sire is Iffraaj.
What going does Happenstance (IRE) prefer?
Happenstance (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Happenstance (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 47, from the run on 20 December 2023. The highest on record is 53.
What is Happenstance (IRE)'s sire's record?
Camacho (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.1% of 9,320 runs since Jan 2008 (596 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Happenstance (IRE)'s siblings?
Out of Adelasia (IRE), Happenstance (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Halite (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Listed (Adelaise (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–2m4f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from September 2022. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.