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Jockey profile

Alan Persse

287 rides in the last 5 seasons · 121 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 10 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2022
11–287
Wins / Runs
3.8%
Strike rate
n=287
43 (15%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=287 · 0.73 incl. margin
−128.00
£1 level stake
n=287 at SP · −44.6%
£174k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.92).

Deterministic profile computed from 287 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Patrick J Flynn: 4.5% from 89
The read

It is weakest at Gowran Park (0% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 0.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.29 and −96.00 to a £1 stake over 109 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Patrick J Flynn supplies 31% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.5%, A/E 0.95). The record reads poorly on Good going — 0% over 74 rides, 3.8pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0.9%−2.9
n=109 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −96.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
14.3%+10.5
n=14 · A/E 2.12 · £1 +8.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
1.6%−2.2
n=62 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −45.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.8%+0.0
n=286 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −127.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.3%−0.5
n=180 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −88.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 0% vs 3.8% · n=74
On first rides for the horse 0.9% vs 3.8% · n=109
At Gowran Park 0% vs 3.8% · n=35
With M A Cahill 6.5% vs 3.8% · n=77
Off a 31-60-day break 6.5% vs 3.8% · n=46
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 108 5 4.6% −33.50
Good 74 0 0% −74.00
Soft 62 3 4.8% −31.50
Good to Soft 17 1 5.9% +9.00
Heavy 16 2 12.5% +12.00
Good to Firm 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 108 5 4.6% −33.50
Gowran Park 35 0 0% −35.00
Curragh 15 2 13.3% +13.00
Cork 14 1 7.1% −8.50
Navan 13 0 0% −13.00
Limerick 13 0 0% −13.00
Naas 11 0 0% −11.00
Fairyhouse 11 0 0% −11.00
Leopardstown 9 1 11.1% −3.00
Killarney 8 1 12.5% +11.00
Tipperary 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Bellewstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Tramore 7 0 0% −7.00
Down Royal 5 0 0% −5.00
Listowel 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 27 4 14.8% 1.12 +1.00
4th–6th fav 46 1 2.2% 0.35 −33.00
7th+ in betting 212 6 2.8% 1.15 −94.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Hinemoa (FR) 16 2 6 3 Jul 24
Akeela (GB) 11 0 3 21 May 25
Happenstance (IRE) 10 1 1 1 Nov 23
Duke Otto (IRE) 8 0 1 26 Nov 25
Surviving Murmansk (IRE) 7 0 0 7 Jul 26
Jake Peter (IRE) 7 1 1 17 Aug 24
Blue Wood (IRE) 7 1 2 12 Jul 23
Key Witness (IRE) 6 3 5 10 Oct 26
Jewels Legacy (IRE) 6 0 0 4 Jul 26
Just Another Eagle (IRE) 6 0 2 6 Nov 24
Bardo Contiguo (IRE) 6 0 0 8 Nov 23
Apprentice (IRE) 6 1 1 20 Oct 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 121 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
40613503500140
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardPatrick J Flynn
31% of all rides
4.5% SR · A/E 0.95
TrainerRWSR£1
Patrick J Flynn 89 4 4.5% −46.00
M A Cahill 77 5 6.5% +20.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
31
Archived wins
£454k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 6 wins
Key Witness (IRE) — 1xBet.ie Proudly Supporting Irish Racing Mile Handicap Curragh · Apr 2026
£29,450
Damselfly (IRE) — TheTote.com Irish EBF Fillies Nursery (Plus 10) Leopardstown · Oct 2017
£19,988
Key Witness (IRE) — Book Tickets Online At CorkRacecourse.ie Handicap Cork · May 2026
£14,725
Notable horses
Key Witness (IRE) Hinemoa (FR) Lady Of Luxury (IRE) My Lark (IRE) Jake Peter (IRE) Happenstance (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Free Eagle (IRE) 0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,399 runs since 2008 (189 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.2% from 130.
Tamayuz (GB) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,180 runs since 2008 (401 horses).
Sir Prancealot (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,686 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.6% from 627. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 171.
Requinto (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,456 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.5% from 223.
Aclaim (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 10% of 2,522 runs since 2008 (200 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 385.
Camacho (GB) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,319 runs since 2008 (596 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 867 · newest first

The latest 50 of 867 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 July 2017 to 10 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Key Witness (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Naas Racecourse Handicap7f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 14/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Mothel Abbey (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 9th 200/1
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Tears I Nevercried (IRE)T: M A Cahill Spin Southwest Maiden11f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 150/1
29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Jordan Breeze (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn WTW Willis Handicap6f · Soft · 19 ran 8th 16/1
29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Lolapipa (IRE)T: M A Cahill Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 11th 200/1
21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Mothel Abbey (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Tote, Never Beaten By SP Maiden8f · Yielding · 14 ran 10th 125/1
30 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Hurleys Hill (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Cork Maiden6f · Yielding · 16 ran 16th 300/1
12 Aug 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Highlander Addict (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden9.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th 125/1
06 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Imperial Dream (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Carnival de Leop Handicap7f · Good · 17 ran 15th 18/1
06 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Mothel Abbey (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden9f · Good · 14 ran 8th 250/1
31 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Ocean Fire (IRE)T: R P Cody Guinness Irish EBF Fillies Maiden12f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 5th 250/1
24 Jul 26 Cork (IRE) Niobite (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Follow Us On Social Media Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 19 ran 17th 50/1
18 Jul 26 Curragh (IRE) Imperial Dream (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn WTW Willis Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 15th 50/1
11 Jul 26 Limerick Ocean Fire (IRE)T: R P Cody Conference & Banqueting Facilities At Limerick Median Auction Fillies Maiden12.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 50/1
08 Jul 26 Fairyhouse Imperial Dream (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Racing Again September 21st Handicap7f · Good · 15 ran 13th 66/1
07 Jul 26 Tramore Surviving Murmansk (IRE)T: James M Barcoe Tote Tramore Derby Handicap (0-60)12f · Good · 12 ran 10th 40/1
04 Jul 26 Naas Jewels Legacy (IRE)T: M A Cahill Care At Home Handicap (0-60)11f · Good · 16 ran 16th 66/1
02 Jul 26 Bellewstown Plastic Paddy (GB)T: Tom McGuinness Ploughman Bar And Grill Handicap (0-60)8f · Good · 15 ran 14th 50/1
30 Jun 26 Roscommon Magna Fortuna (IRE)T: P F McEnery Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden7.5f · Good · 15 ran 13th 125/1
24 Jun 26 Naas Niobite (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Fox Dunlavin (C & G) Maiden8f · Good · 15 ran 12th 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alan Persse's strike rate?
Alan Persse has won 11 of 287 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alan Persse do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 108 rides (4.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Alan Persse ride most for?
Patrick J Flynn, with 89 rides since 2022 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (4.5%).
Is Alan Persse in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alan Persse's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 287 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).