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Jockey profile

Robyn Donaghue-Leahy

245 rides in the last 5 seasons · 73 individual horses
As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2022
21–245
Wins / Runs
8.6%
Strike rate
n=245
55 (22%)
Placed
1.23
Fair A/E
n=245 · 0.98 incl. margin
−100.75
£1 level stake
n=245 at SP · −41.1%
£238k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.5%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.23). Rides mostly for Patrick J Flynn — 75% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 245 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Patrick J Flynn: 9.8% from 183 Claiming: 8.8%
The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (14.1%, n=64), clear of the rider's 8.6% baseline. First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 5.5% (n=73, Fair A/E 1.24). Patrick J Flynn supplies 75% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.8%, A/E 1.36) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (14.6%, n=89) and on Standard (AW) going (14.1%, n=64). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 2% over 49 rides, 6.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 0.73 across 82 rides (4.9% strike, −45.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Not Just Any Eagle (IRE) — 5 wins from 28 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.5%−3.1
n=73 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −47.75
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
8.7%+0.1
n=23 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −8.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8.2%−0.4
n=49 · A/E 1.84 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
30%
n=10 · A/E 1.47 · £1 +1.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.8%+0.2
n=240 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −95.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
7.5%−1.1
n=146 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −57.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 14.6% vs 8.6% · n=89
Over 6f – 7f 2% vs 8.6% · n=49
At Dundalk (AW) 14.1% vs 8.6% · n=64
On Standard (AW) going 14.1% vs 8.6% · n=64
Over 1m – 1m1f 3.4% vs 8.6% · n=59
On Good going 4.9% vs 8.6% · n=82
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 82 4 4.9% −45.50
Soft 67 4 6% −49.50
Standard (AW) 64 9 14.1% −0.25
Good to Soft 16 2 12.5% −2.00
Heavy 11 1 9.1% −3.00
Good to Firm 5 1 20% −0.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 64 9 14.1% −0.25
Gowran Park 28 1 3.6% −20.00
Curragh 26 1 3.8% −19.00
Leopardstown 15 2 13.3% +8.00
Naas 15 1 6.7% −11.00
Cork 14 2 14.3% −6.50
Limerick 12 1 8.3% −5.50
Navan 11 0 0% −11.00
Fairyhouse 9 0 0% −9.00
Down Royal 8 1 12.5% −1.00
Tipperary 6 1 16.7% −1.50
Clonmel 6 1 16.7% +0.00
Listowel 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 5 0 0% −5.00
Ballinrobe 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 3 21.4% 1.08 −2.50
2nd–3rd fav 36 8 22.2% 1.58 +10.25
4th–6th fav 66 9 13.6% 1.62 +8.50
7th+ in betting 129 1 0.8% 0.28 −117.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Not Just Any Eagle (IRE) 28 5 14 11 Oct 26
Gallo Dell Cielo (IRE) 25 5 10 15 Oct 26
Imperial Dream (IRE) 14 0 4 8 Oct 26
Just Another Eagle (IRE) 14 1 2 8 Oct 26
Tudor Manor (IRE) 13 2 4 8 Apr 25
Jordan Breeze (IRE) 11 2 5 15 Oct 26
Carrigans Grove (IRE) 11 1 4 7 Oct 26
Magna Gee Gee (IRE) 10 1 1 25 Jul 26
Ardeur (GB) 7 0 0 16 Sep 26
Harriet Eagle (IRE) 7 0 0 23 Jul 25
Nottooshabby (IRE) 6 0 1 7 Oct 26
Soaring Sun (IRE) 5 1 2 21 Sep 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 73 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 9
Only 9 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
22000170911671323
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardPatrick J Flynn
75% of all rides
9.8% SR · A/E 1.36
TrainerRWSR£1
Patrick J Flynn 183 18 9.8% −60.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
21
Archived wins
£238k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 11 wins
Not Just Any Eagle (IRE) — Leopardstown Lady Riders Handicap Leopardstown · May 2025
£14,750
Not Just Any Eagle (IRE) — Jerry McDonnell Memorial Tipperary Perpetual Cup Handicap Clonmel (IRE) · Sep 2026
£12,000
Carrigans Grove (IRE) — Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Apprentice Handicap Curragh · Aug 2025
£10,620
Notable horses
Not Just Any Eagle (IRE) Gallo Dell Cielo (IRE) Tudor Manor (IRE) Jordan Breeze (IRE) Just Another Eagle (IRE) Carrigans Grove (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Free Eagle (IRE) 11.7% · 7–60
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,397 runs since 2008 (189 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.2% from 129.
Finsceal Fior (IRE) 20% · 5–25
Progeny have won 7.6% of 564 runs since 2008 (47 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 10.6% from 132. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 11.4% from 140.
Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,867 runs since 2008 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Casamento (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,619 runs since 2008 (299 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 5.6% from 497. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.9% from 287.
Churchill (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 11% of 4,776 runs since 2008 (458 horses).
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,132 runs since 2008 (659 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,186.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 245 · newest first

The latest 50 of 245 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 June 2022 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Whiskey And Beer (IRE)T: Charles Coakley Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 33/1
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Plontier (FR)T: Terence O'Brien Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Optional Claiming Race10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 14/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Jordan Breeze (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn October Racing With 1xBet.ie Apprentice Handicap5f · Soft · 17 ran 5th 4/1F
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Gallo Dell Cielo (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 7th 16/1
11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Not Just Any Eagle (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Colm White Bookmaker Beggar's End Handicap16f · Soft · 17 ran 5th 33/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Just Another Eagle (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Welcome Back To Thurles Handicap12.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 12th 9/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Imperial Dream (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 8th 6/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Nottooshabby (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div II)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 2nd 28/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Carrigans Grove (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap6f · Yielding · 22 ran 4th 8/1
04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Whiskey And Beer (IRE)T: Charles Coakley 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap8f · Soft · 16 ran 11th 100/1
29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Carrigans Grove (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn WTW Willis Handicap6f · Soft · 19 ran 3rd 9/1
22 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Imperial Dream (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Rose Hotel Handicap7f · Yielding · 15 ran 4th 16/1
21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Soaring Sun (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Gerard Lynch Memorial Handicap14f · Yielding · 15 ran 14th 17/2
21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Nottooshabby (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap12f · Yielding · 15 ran 11th 40/1
16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Not Just Any Eagle (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Jerry McDonnell Memorial Tipperary Perpetual Cup Handicap17f · Yielding · 11 ran 1st 5/1
16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Ardeur (GB)T: Patrick J Flynn Camida Winning Solution Handicap10f · Yielding · 14 ran 4th 12/1
13 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Sommelier (GB)T: Kieran P Cotter Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bold Lad Sprint Handicap6f · Yielding · 24 ran 19th 100/1
09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Nottooshabby (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Follow Us On Social Media Maiden8f · Good · 18 ran 6th 50/1
09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Niobite (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Follow Us On X Handicap7f · Good · 22 ran 12th 20/1
08 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Soaring Sun (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn BOYLE Sports Apprentice Handicap12f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robyn Donaghue-Leahy's strike rate?
Robyn Donaghue-Leahy has won 21 of 245 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robyn Donaghue-Leahy do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 64 rides (14.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Robyn Donaghue-Leahy ride most for?
Patrick J Flynn, with 183 rides since 2022 — 75% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (9.8%).
Is Robyn Donaghue-Leahy in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 9 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Robyn Donaghue-Leahy's Fair A/E?
1.23, from 245 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 19 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).