Incredulous (GB)
Incredulous (GB) is 1 from 5, the win coming at Class 5 level. Hasn't won since Jul 2019. The win came on the all-weather — 0 from 4 on turf. Last raced off a career-high mark of 80.
- 1–5Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 3 (60%)Placed
- −2.50£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 1.06Fair A/E n=5 · 0.90 incl. margin
- 80Highest OR
- 15dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 107
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 2 | 120C | 96.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 107B | 91 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 120C | 96.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.6% of 3,483 runs since Jan 2008 (391 horses).
Strongest on heavy going: 14.7% from 231. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 184.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +3.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 345 | 43 | 12.5% | +1.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 696 | 75 | 10.8% | +0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 577 | 48 | 8.3% | −2.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 597 | 65 | 10.9% | +0.3 | — |
| Heavy | 231 | 34 | 14.7% | +4.1 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,029 | 103 | 10% | −0.6 | 1 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 23 | 3 | 13% | +2.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 479 | 51 | 10.6% | 0 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 919 | 112 | 12.2% | +1.6 | 1 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,333 | 146 | 11% | +0.4 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 494 | 44 | 8.9% | −1.7 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 184 | 10 | 5.4% | −5.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 45 | 3 | 6.7% | −3.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 6 | 0 | 0% | −10.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
8 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Final Fantasy (GB) (3 wins).
The wins came over 1m–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Illusion (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Fantasy (GB) | 29 | 3 | 1m | Class 6 |
| Illusion (GB) | 7 | 1 | 1m | Class 5 |
| Adore (GB) | 9 | 1 | 1m | Class 5 |
| Visualize (GB) | 2 | 1 | 1m2f | Class 5 |
| Invent (GB) | 13 | 0 | — | — |
| Creativity (GB) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Dream On Connie (GB) | 10 | 0 | — | — |
| Imagery (GB) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.50 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.50 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Hanagan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Liam Jones | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Marquand | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 03 Aug 19+9d | Newmarket | British Stallion Studs EBF Chalice Stakes (Listed) (Fillies And Mares) | 8/8 | hd | 8-9 | 80 | 73C | 55C | Liam Jones | 25/1 |
| 25 Jul 19+16d | Newbury | Relyon Cleaning Newbury Handicap | 2/5 | 1 | 9-3 | 80 | 120C | 78B | James Doyle | 5/2 |
| 09 Jul 19+21d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Ladies, The Duchess & The Accountant Fillies' Novice Stakes | 1/13 | 9-0 | — | 107B | 90A | Tom Marquand | 6/4F | |
| 18 Jun 19+12d | Thirsk | Every Race Live On Racing TV / EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes | 2/5 | ½ | 8-11 | — | 91C | 81B | Paul Hanagan | 9/2 |
| 06 Jun 19 | Ripon | Cwmt Mental Wellbeing Maiden Stakes | 5/10 | 2½ | 8-12 | — | 67A | 60A | Paul Hanagan | 4/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Incredulous won?
- Incredulous (GB) won 1 of 5 archived starts in 2019, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 3 times in total (60% of starts).
- Who trained Incredulous?
- Incredulous (GB) was trained by William Haggas on the most recent run on record, at Newmarket on 3 August 2019.
- Who is Incredulous's sire?
- Incredulous (GB) is by Intello (GER) out of Fantasize (GB), whose sire is Groom Dancer.
- What is Incredulous's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 80, from the run on 3 August 2019. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Incredulous's sire's record?
- Intello (GER)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.6% of 3,483 runs since Jan 2008 (391 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on heavy going: 14.7% from 231. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 184.
- Who are Incredulous's siblings?
- Out of Fantasize (GB), Incredulous (GB) has 8 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Final Fantasy (GB) (3). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Illusion (GB)). The wins came over 1m–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.