Liam Jones
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 330 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (373 rides).
The record is strongest at Beverley (18.5%, n=54) and Pontefract (17.9%, n=39) — all clear of the rider's 8.4% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.2% (n=373, Fair A/E 0.94), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.6% (n=633, Fair A/E 0.91). William Haggas supplied 17% of the rides and beats the rider's average (16.9% vs 8.4%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well on Firm going (19.3%, n=88). 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the DBS Premier Yearling Stakes at York (Aug 2013, £154,769). The standout partner of the record was Triple Aspect (IRE) — 6 wins from 16 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 5,729 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 5,729 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 26 November 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Liam Jones's strike rate?
- Liam Jones has won 383 of 4,568 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Liam Jones do best at?
- Brighton by strike rate: 18 wins from 135 rides (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Liam Jones ride most for?
- William Haggas, with 785 rides since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 133 (16.9%).
- What is Liam Jones's Fair A/E?
- 0.95, from 4,539 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.