Kentucky Rain (IRE)
Kentucky Rain is a filly by Lucky Vega out of an Exceed And Excel mare who has one win from six starts. The success came at Beverley in Jul 2026 in a Class 5 maiden over under 6f on good to firm ground. She has raced five times over under 6f in total and has never won on all-weather. Her last run, at Newcastle in Oct 2026, was a 5 of 6 finish in a Class 4 nursery off an official rating of 82 with headgear returning.
- 1–6Wins / Runs
- 16.7%Strike rate
- 2 (33.3%)Placed
- −4.75£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 0.83Fair A/E n=6 · 0.68 incl. margin
- 85Highest OR
- 26dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 113
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 3 | 113A | 92 | 3 runs · 113 / 92 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
Of 5 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 5 runs · as at 9 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 4 analysed runs since May 2026
- Prominent 2 (50%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 1 (25%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (25%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 16.5% of 522 runs since Mar 2025 (103 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 21.6% from 102.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 102 | 22 | 21.6% | +5.1 | 1 from 2 |
| Good | 146 | 21 | 14.4% | −2.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 76 | 15 | 19.7% | +3.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 72 | 10 | 13.9% | −2.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | −9.4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 112 | 17 | 15.2% | −1.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 52 | 5 | 9.6% | −6.9 | 1 from 5 |
| 6f – 7f | 252 | 45 | 17.9% | +1.4 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 152 | 26 | 17.1% | +0.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 64 | 10 | 15.6% | −0.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −16.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2025 · as at 31 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Son Of Corballis (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 5f–7f; the highest grade won is Listed (Son Of Corballis (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Son Of Corballis (IRE) | 7 | 2 | 5f | Listed |
| Miracle Beauty (IRE) | 7 | 2 | 6f–7f | — |
| Lady Lucky Vegas (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.75 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.25 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Deauville (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.25 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 5 | 1 | 20% | −3.75 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Scott | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.75 |
| Cieren Fallon | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jason Watson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pierre-Charles Boudot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.75 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 01 Oct 26+40d | Newcastle (AW) | Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Nursery Handicap Stakes Prominent early - pushed along 2f out - faded inside final furlong to finish 5th | 5/6 | 1¼ | 9-6 | 82 | 77A | 75B | Rowan Scott | 9/2 |
| 22 Aug 26+14d | Chester | Powells Jewellery EBF Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) Settled off the pace in the pack - pushed along inside the final furlong - stayed on late but not close enough to the front runners - finished fourth beaten 3.25 lengths | 4/7 | 2 | 9-2 | 84 | 77A | 79A | Jason Watson | 9/2 |
| 08 Aug 26+19d | Deauville (FR) | Prix De La Vallee D'auge | 4/8 | 4½ | 8-11 | 85 | — | — | Pierre-Charles Boudot | 7/2 |
| 20 Jul 26+33d | Beverley | Racing TV EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) raced close to the front-runners before being sent to the front entering the final furlong - ran on powerfully to score | 1/11 | 8-13 | — | — | 102A | Rowan Scott | 1/4F | |
| 17 Jun 26+26d | Ascot | Queen Mary Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) Settled towards the pack down the far flank - pressed for effort a furlong out - drifted left and lost momentum in the closing stages - finished well held in 16th | 16/27 | ½ | 9-2 | — | 92C | 92A | Cieren Fallon | 25/1 |
| 22 May 26 | Goodwood | British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Settled in rear - produced to challenge 1f out - kept on well up the near rail to take second close home | 2/8 | 1¼ | 9-2 | — | 113A | 105A | Cieren Fallon | 25/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Kentucky Rain won?
- Kentucky Rain (IRE) won 1 of 6 archived starts in 2026, a strike rate of 16.7%. Placed 2 times in total (33.3% of starts).
- Who trains Kentucky Rain?
- Kentucky Rain (IRE) is trained by Lemos De Souza, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 1 October 2026.
- Who is Kentucky Rain's sire?
- Kentucky Rain (IRE) is by Lucky Vega (IRE) out of Equanimity (IRE), whose sire is Exceed And Excel.
- What is Kentucky Rain's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 82, from the run on 1 October 2026. The highest on record is 85.
- What is Kentucky Rain's sire's record?
- Lucky Vega (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 16.5% of 522 runs since Mar 2025 (103 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 21.6% from 102.
- Who are Kentucky Rain's siblings?
- Out of Equanimity (IRE), Kentucky Rain (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Son Of Corballis (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Listed (Son Of Corballis (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–7f. As at Nov 2026.