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Trainer profile

Lemos De Souza

301 runners in the last 5 seasons · 58 individual horses
As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago 96% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2022
34–301
Wins / Runs
11.3%
Strike rate
n=301
73 (24%)
Placed
1.29
Fair A/E
n=300 · 1.09 incl. margin
+25.66
£1 level stake
n=301 at SP · +8.5%
£338k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
13.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.29). With a claiming rider up the record reads 21% (43 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 301 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 26 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep Claiming riders: 20.9%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 20.9% (n=43, Fair A/E 2.14), but debutants struggle at 3.1% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.77). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (16.7%, n=30) and at trips under 6f (15.3%, n=72). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 7.6% over 119 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.4%−1.9
n=32 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +5.38
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.7%−3.6
n=26 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −13.75
Debutants · first career start
3.1%−8.2
n=32 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −25.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.3%−3.0
n=24 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +34.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−11.3
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
29.4%
n=17 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −5.55
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
20.9%+9.6
n=43 · A/E 2.14 · £1 +76.90
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−11.3
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 20.9% vs 11.3% · n=43
With debutants 3.1% vs 11.3% · n=32
On last-time-out winners 5.9% vs 11.3% · n=34
Off a 8-14-day break 16.7% vs 11.3% · n=30
Over 6f – 7f 7.6% vs 11.3% · n=119
At trips under 6f 15.3% vs 11.3% · n=72
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 289 31 10.7% +15.33
Chase 6 1 16.7% +3.00
Hurdle 6 2 33.3% +7.33

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 134 12 9% −49.07
Good to Firm 63 8 12.7% +20.25
Good 54 6 11.1% +37.83
Good to Soft 33 3 9.1% −3.50
Soft 15 5 33.3% +22.15
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 29 2 6.9% −13.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 28 2 7.1% −5.00
Kempton (AW) 26 6 23.1% +15.63
Lingfield (AW) 22 1 4.5% −20.20
Chelmsford City (AW) 21 0 0% −21.00
Yarmouth 20 3 15% +2.00
Leicester 13 0 0% −13.00
Newmarket 10 1 10% −1.00
Doncaster 10 1 10% −6.50
Lingfield 9 1 11.1% −3.00
Bath 8 1 12.5% +4.00
Newcastle (AW) 8 1 12.5% −5.50
Beverley 7 4 57.1% +75.25
Windsor 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Newmarket 6 1 16.7% +9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 127 15 11.8% +3.76
Class 6 77 9 11.7% +32.15
Class 4 59 7 11.9% +8.50
Class 2 18 1 5.6% −14.25
Class 3 12 2 16.7% +3.50
Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 21 5 23.8% 0.75 −9.55
2nd–3rd fav 46 10 21.7% 1.27 +9.21
4th–6th fav 109 13 11.9% 1.60 +22.00
7th+ in betting 125 6 4.8% 1.63 +4.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
U S S Charleston (GB) 22 2 7 28 Sep 26
Ribston Pippin (IRE) 16 2 5 16 Aug 26
Fillyfudge (GB)from Amy Murphy 13 1 3 9 May 26
Hungarian (IRE) 11 2 3 13 Oct 26
Appleblossomwhite (IRE)from Amy Murphy · then Amy Murphy 11 2 4 27 Dec 25
Coolree (IRE)from Amy Murphy · then Sam England 11 1 2 26 Nov 25
Fiorella Princess (IRE)from Amy Murphy · then Charlie Wallis 10 1 3 23 Oct 25
Calabrian Soldato (IRE) 9 0 1 28 Apr 26
Spiritualism (IRE)from Amy Murphy 9 1 1 28 Oct 25
Invincible Isaac (GB) 8 1 2 9 Oct 26
Rumble Ruby (GB) 8 2 3 29 Sep 26
Star Suepreme (GB) 7 1 2 12 Oct 26
All 58 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 58 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Amy Murphy (17) and Alice Haynes (3); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Amy Murphy (3) and Henry Dwyer (3); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
15130416813151671116
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Lewis Edmunds 28 2 7.1% −13.00
George Wood 26 2 7.7% −18.20
Darragh Keenan 25 2 8% +3.00
Frederick Larson 18 1 5.6% −11.00
Kieran O'Neill 17 3 17.6% +2.25
Silvestre De Sousa 13 1 7.7% −5.50
Luke Morris 12 1 8.3% +1.00
Finley Marsh 11 0 0% −11.00
Luke Catton 8 2 25% +14.00
Callum Shepherd 7 1 14.3% −3.25
Jack Quinlan 7 2 28.6% +6.33
Marco Ghiani 7 0 0% −7.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
34
Archived wins
£338k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 17 wins
Naana's Sparkle (GB) — Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap Stakes Goodwood · Aug 2026 · Class 2
£13,085
Naana's Sparkle (GB) — Bodhi Solutions Handicap Yarmouth · May 2026 · Class 3
£13,085
Golden Long (AUS) — BetWright Safer Gambling Handicap Windsor · May 2026 · Class 4
£8,113
Notable horses
Alpine Stroll (GB) Golden Long (AUS) Naana's Sparkle (GB) U S S Charleston (GB) Ribston Pippin (IRE) Hungarian (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
U S Navy Flag (USA) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,402 runs since 2008 (147 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.2% from 181.
Soldier's Call (GB) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,111 runs since 2008 (217 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.1% from 198. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.1% from 245.
Ribchester (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 9% of 2,755 runs since 2008 (261 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.3% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.1% from 213.
Charming Thought (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,002 runs since 2008 (75 horses).
Lucky Vega (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 16.4% of 517 runs since 2008 (103 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 21.6% from 102.
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,162 runs since 2008 (661 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,191.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 301 · newest first

The latest 50 of 301 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 February 2025 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Oct 26 Newmarket One Nine Seven (GB)J: Rowan Scott CopyBet For Europa League Profit Boosts EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 18/1
22 Oct 26 Newmarket Omega Fernandez (GB)J: Marco Ghiani CopyBet For Europa League Profit Boosts EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 25/1
21 Oct 26 Newmarket Candy Is Dandy (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Copybet Back Again At Newmarket Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 50/1
13 Oct 26 Leicester Hungarian (IRE)J: Benoit de la Sayette Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 13th 20/1
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Star Suepreme (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 7/1
09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Invincible Isaac (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 4th 18/1
08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Denver Sluice (GB)J: Finley Marsh Free Bets On Attheraces.com Ebf Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 80/1
05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Roberts Legacy (GB)J: Harry Davies Origin Amenity Solutions Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 14/1
01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Kentucky Rain (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 9/2
30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) True Charm (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 10th 40/1
29 Sep 26 Bath Rumble Ruby (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa Clyde And Co Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 17/2
28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) U S S Charleston (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Cavani Winning Form Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 15/2
26 Sep 26 Haydock Golden Long (AUS)J: George Wood Forever Our Mike Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Heavy · 11 ran 7th 22/1
22 Sep 26 Beverley Star Suepreme (GB)J: Warren Fentiman Churchill Tyres Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 12 ran 7th 100/30J
21 Sep 26 Leicester Denver Sluice (GB)J: George Wood British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (For Horses Which Have Never Run) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 10th 10/1
19 Sep 26 Newmarket Hungarian (IRE)J: Benoit de la Sayette Turners Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 1st 14/1
19 Sep 26 Newbury Naana's Sparkle (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 8th 12/1
16 Sep 26 Beverley Star Suepreme (GB)J: Warren Fentiman Hurn Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 50/1
13 Sep 26 Doncaster U S S Charleston (GB)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall I Love Julie Parkes Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 9/1
11 Sep 26 Chester Hungarian (IRE)J: Connor Beasley TMT Group Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lemos De Souza's strike rate?
Lemos De Souza has won 34 of 301 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.3% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Lemos De Souza in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Lemos De Souza's Fair A/E?
1.29, from 300 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 26 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).